My new FreeFX video: Year End's Risk Trends

[QUOTE=“Bartowke;737558”]@eddieb, I will certainly read about your strategies. And secondly thank you for that link. It seems indeed a very interesting thread. @ Pipmehappy, actually I like your trading style. I only got 1 problem with it and that is that I’m not sure that you can live from those trades. Secondly, before you were in the 60 pips profit that you have got now, you were (more than?) 500 in red, which is probably a huge unrealized loss. I don’t think that I would be able to see that unrealized loss going up and up every day. I would think “aah, damn, bad decision of me, I close this before it get worse”. Then the hardest question you ask me is what kind of trading I do. I almost get tears in my eyes when I’m starting to write my answer. I actually after 7 years still do gambling and no trading. Worst of all is that now almost all my savings are in my trading account and I’m scared every day that I will wipe all my money away in just a few minutes. I can do that. I did it before with an account that went from 2k to 7k and then I drank too much in the evening because of all the stress trading gives me. I thought “I will make another 3k now with Japan at 2AM (tired as hell, doing exams of university at the same week), then I have 10k in a week”. And I just gambled. Lost. Increased. Lost. My account the next day? 7$. Then I told myself: now you are going to trade a system and only the system. Don’t do revenge trading. I had a good system, with es mini futures. I executed it on a demo for several weeks. It worked, no losing days. After a few weeks I check the charts and see that my system wouldn’t have performed well at all. And then I throw it away. I have another system which is not really ready yet with EURUSD. It is almost perfect, but not perfect. I find it so hard to live with something that is not perfect while I know that a perfect trading system does not exist, I’m already searching for it for 7 years now. I have great daily systems, but then I say “profits come too slow and too little”. I did a lot of reading yesterday and today on this forum about revenge trading and trading discipline and I hope that I can do it. The most important lesson is simple: don’t see a losing trade as a personal failure. It just happens. Don’t do revenge trading ever again you crazy dumbass. I funded my account just last week. I already gambled the first evening. I told myself I wouldn’t do it. But then I thought I’m very smart and just watch the chart and make some dollars. Started the week with a loss of 10% of my account in half an hour. And in two days I gambled it back and now I ended the week with a little profit of a little bit more than 2% of my initial deposit. And of course the feeling is mixed but it is not good that I got rewarded for taking risks which are just unacceptable and could cause me really my death. I think my account could have decreased with 50% or so if those two trading days went wrong. It is just crazy. Ok I think you are very bored by now. So the thing is: discipline. Only trade a plan. Always plan the trade. Don’t care about a loss. When I get that really destructing urge to gamble I need to turn on a computer game as fast as possible or shut down the computer and jump on my bike or so. I like trading. I’m already studying on it for 7 years (more than 40 hours a week). It’s really a passion (addiction) and I hope I can make a career of it. But honestly I think it will cause me death instead. Now you will give me the advice to stop trading and do something else. Well that ain’t really possible. I suffer from serious concentration problems and tiredness which makes it almost impossible for me to do a “normal” job like a lawyer or tax consultant all day. Now you probably think: what the heck, what kind of crazy dude is this. I would fully understand. And sorry for my bad English by the way. Wish you all the best, Bart[/QUOTE]

Dude…seriously. Head over to marketgeomtry dot com. $170 per month. Best education you can get.

Dude, thanks for the advice but my problem is discipline rather than having a good system. And I think the website you mention is more about systems and setups.

[QUOTE=“Bartowke;737717”]Dude, thanks for the advice but my problem is discipline rather than having a good system. And I think the website you mention is more about systems and setups.[/QUOTE]

You’re absolutely right.

Why do you recommend it then? Are you the owner of it? Or are you being sarcastic?

[QUOTE=“Bartowke;737722”]Why do you recommend it then? Are you the owner of it? Or are you being sarcastic?[/QUOTE]

No I don’t own it. I have been a student going on three years. I’m a break even trader at best, used to be a losing trader, inching toward profitable.

It’s more about mastering yourself. Trading is not hard. It’s typically the trader who makes it hard.

I only recommend it because you said things I felt about trading. I’m now much better at the things you mentioned. And still working on it. It’s not easy.

In that case I would like to thank you for your reply. I just think I will never be able to trade while looking at the prices go up and down. I’m too impulsive for that kind of trading. For that reason I started developing automated trading systems, without good programming skills… I now have 1 that could be working, but I first want to see it going a little bit farther in time. Or, I do it like the system I use at the moment: I open trades at a certain hour, I revise them in the afternoon and in the evening and close them before US markets close. The prices can move how they want, I don’t care, I just look at them for 5 minutes and close the chart. Now I have to get the balls to go away from the computer and don’t look at the running profits all the afternoon. For that reason I’m now using a demo to execute my system. I already applied it 1 day live and it was an average day, with an account gain of 5%. But on the demo, there was a day with a loss of 20%. Still evaluating and optimizing.

And I am very happy to hear that you became better in those things. They are really deadly for your account. Thanks for sharing also. I wish you all the best.

And it is indeed true, trading is very simple (if you keep it simple) but emotions are the worst enemy.

Have a good week

Thanks for this, Eddie - yes, this is an excellent thread.

Speaking of the Commitment of Traders report:

Commitments of Traders | OANDA fxTrade Europe

Oanda here explains how this works; they also have a free tool here

Forex COT | Commitments of Traders Report | COT FX | OANDA fxTrade Europe

with a drop-down menu to select the desired currency…

This is a useful tool to see how net non-commercial positioning

is showing in the COT report, but in a more user-friendly way.

Well, fellow Babypippers!

Given that risk trends have temporarily resuscitated their appetite for bullishness,

it is no wonder that equities are having a bumper month…

Yet, all Yen-crosses and some commodities (including Oil, but that is a different story)

are perilously perched atop a vast abyss, waiting to be filled by nice red candles :slight_smile:

With this, it seems to me that risk appetite is trying to seek yields where it can, but there

is not much yield to be found, therefore this may explain the sudden resurgence in NZD and AUD,

among other assets, as they offer a higher yield than USD: however, are we truly to believe that

all is well in the financial markets? Is the asset bubble not at all a systemic and endemic threat

to the entire post-2008 world, which (with all the stress tests and restructuring of banks) promised

to shield us from another disaster but may actually find itself unable to stem the inevitable?

Think this: the US public debt is at over $19T (Trillion)… (See U.S. National Debt Clock : Real Time ) … Now, you

do not have to be a Harvard economist to figure out what that means, or what it could mean, in

the not-too-distant future…

I feel like Michael Burry in ‘The Big Short’… I have been short the equities since August of 2015 and

yet they truly are taking their time: you can hear the groaning of the S&P500, the creaking of the DAX,

the cracking of the FTSE100, and the shrieking of the Nikkei225, yet speculators will continue to ‘buy vols’

and push them back up at every dip, like after those in Aug. 2015 and Dec. 2015…

I am holding tight, because gravity is a law of physics, and what is overpriced MUST eventually fall.

:slight_smile:

Great and very informative video. I got lot of information about how to trade Forex and Risk trends. i think these type of videos can help a lot to a novice in Forex. so very helpful and informative video.

Thank you, Cledid nice to get feedback!

How is your trading?

Hello peeps,

given that I have now joined TheFXSet and that I am posting analysis videos there, I have not had time to post my own videos. However, I may update the FreeFX channel and post something about my own trading, depending on time.