I’m going through the course and trying to thoroughly understand leverage and margin. The lessons stress how much risk is associated with using leverage, and is more risky the more leverage you use. I have a question about this.
Consider two scenarios opening a mini account with $50k capital.
Scenario 1:
Opens 20 mini lot positions ($200k).
True leverage is 4:1 ($200k/$50k).
Chooses to use 50:1 leverage with the broker on the positions.
Used margin is $4k ($200k/50).
Usable margin is $46k.
In this scenario, the positions would have to move 2,300 pips for there to be a margin call ($46k/$20/pip).
That is unlikely to happen over the short term. For a pair like EURUSD, that would be about a 20% change in price.
Scenario 2:
Opens 20 mini lot positions ($200k).
True leverage is 4:1 ($200k/$50k).
Chooses to use 5:1 leverage with the broker on the positions.
Used margin is $40k ($200k/5).
Usable margin is $10k.
In this scenario, the positions would have to move only 500 pips for there to be a margin call ($10k/$20/pip).
This seems much much more plausible in the short term. For EURUSD, it would only be about a 4% change in price.
In these two scenarios, the true leverage remains 4:1 in both. The only difference is the amount of leverage used for the positions (50:1 vs 5:1). It seems the 5:1 leverage is more risky than the 50:1, since it takes a much smaller change in price to risk a margin call on the positions. Of course, in scenario 2, if we did get a margin call, we’d still have $40k in the account, whereas in scenario 1, we’d have only $4k. But scenario 2 is much more likely to happen than scenario 1.
When the course says that experienced traders rarely go above 3:1 leverage, and cap it at 5:1, are they talking about “true leverage” or position leverage?
It seems that if one’s “true leverage” (full amount of positions divided by total account) stays below 5:1, then using a higher position leverage is less risky. It uses less of one’s capital as margin for the positions, and so the risk of a margin call is far less.
Am I understanding this correctly, or have I done the math wrong? If experienced traders keep their “true leverage” below 5:1, what do they usually use for their position leverage?
Thank you.