Rosen's Daily

USD/CHF appears to be caught in a range between 1.0140 and 1.0030. The pair has been consolidating since the beginning of February, right after it ended a short lived move to the upside going from 0.9870 to 1.0120.

The US dollar is now trading at 1.0116 for a Franc, again beating the Swiss currency on strong US fundamentals. The pair was below parity just for a few days before the US bulls took over and bought the dip.

Main trend on the short-term remains bearish with immediate target at 1.0140, a double bottom. On the long-term major bull target is seen at 1.0340.

On the other hand, if the US economy fails to provide data that meets the expectations, price will most certainly retreat to levels below parity with major bear target at 0.9850.

EUR/USD has consolidated around 1.0580 in expectation of this week’s data. Market sentiment is predominantly bearish for the pair with major target at 1.0490. Below that, bears would have the advantage of weak support and the opportunity to go to parity.

EUR/USD reached lower today due to positive US data. The pair went to a low of 1.0532 and is now back up again above 1.0550 currently trading at 1.0560.

GBP/JPY has been trading in a narrow range for the last few weeks with price gravitating between 140 and 138. The pair got a a boost by strong US data released today, which drove investors to short-sell the Japanese currency and move over to the strong dollar.

Today, GBP/JPY reached a low of 138.40 and was supported by the fundamentals thus reaching an intraday high of 139.61. However, the move to the upside was short-lived as price has now retreated to lower levels around 139.30.

Main trend remains neutral and market participants would need to go above 140.50 or below 138.50 in order for a trend to begin a formation.

GBP/USD has been in consolidation ahead of activating the never-before-used article 50 that triggers a two year process of a country’s decision to leave the European union. The UK prime minister, Theresa May, is expected to start the divorce this month.

The resolutions that will come out of the talks will, to a large extent, determine the future of the United Kingdom. All of this is being reflected in the GBP/USD pair as price has been trading around 1.2150-1.22 for the last few days.

There isn’t a certain date when Article 50 will be triggered, so market participants are waiting in anticipation. The low volumes are expected to continue until we have something on the table.

Main support is seen at 1.20 while main resistance is way up at 1.27.

EUR/USD is trading steadily in the early European hours today with price around 1.0540. First support is seen at 1.0532, while first resistance is seen at 1.06.

EUR/USD continues to hover around 1.06 as market participants are expecting the latest NFP and jobs data. Price is expected to consolidate around current levels until the news release later today.

Gold keeps going South as price has now gone below 1.5-month low at $1,196. Now it appears that the future of the precious metal could be determined by the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise the interest rates. If next week the Fed does just that, Gold would most likely get hit harder. If not, Gold can hold up.

Today Gold went below the psychological level of $1,200 as bears did not even face a hint of resistance. Immediate support rests at $1,193, the Fib level of 61.8 falls on $1,176 and major support is $1,142.

If Gold is fortunate enough to stop at one of those levels, bull targets are seen at $1,230, $1,265 and $1,300.

It is also important to weigh Trump’s policies as a factor that will likely shift the Fed’s outlook.

EUR/USD is trading to the upside in today’s session after the pair started rallying in the end of last week. Price is now 1.0708 and market participants are expecting Mario Draghi’s speech in Frankfurt later today.

EUR/CAD made an impressive rally to the upside. The pair has been trading with high volumes going higher and higher from the last week of February until now. Price back then was 1.3800 and the Canadian dollar is now trading at 1.4404 for a Euro.

What’s interesting to notice is that the price has now reached a double bottom with the latest high at this level made in the end of November last year.

If price manages to power through the resistance level, bulls will have the upper hand in the trade with less obstacles in the way.

If, however, bears are able to halt the trend and turn it around, price might revisit prior support zones, the first of which is seen at 1.4220.

Have in mind that today’s speech of ECB President Mario Draghi might have a high impact on the pair.

EUR/USD is now trading at 1.0638 in anticipation of tomorrow’s US CPI and Retails Sales. The continuation of consolidation is expected to continue until the news release.

GBP/JPY continues to trade sideways with price fluctuating between 141.00 and 138.00. The pair entered into consolidation due to lack of fresh news that could drive investors and traders to either side.

Market participants are expecting the UK prime minister, Theresa May, to trigger article 50 this month and this is adding strength to the state of consolidation. Market sentiment remains bearish as price has been coming down from its 2015 high of 195.00.

Since then the market has been in a downtrend with a low of 122.40. Currently, the pair is trading at 139.80 in a predominantly bearish environment.

First support zone is seen at latest low around 138.00, first resistance is seen at 140.65. Bears need to close below 138.00 for the bearish trend to gain new momentum, while bulls need a close above 145.

EUR/USD is now trading at 1.0629 ahead of important US data to be released - CPI and Retail Sales. First support is now 1.06, first res 1.0655.

GBP/USD reached a high of 1.2256 in the early trading hours of today’s session. The pair swinged sharply higher from yesterday’s low of 1.2105 and is now trading at 12230. Partially, the climb is influenced by today’s vote in the Netherlands and on the other hand, the uncertainty that comes with triggering Article 50 this month. Obviously, some market participants are optimistic about the independent near-term future of the United Kingdom.

The spike, however, might prove to be short-lived as market often make what may seem like irrational moves ahead of important events. This might be regarded as a correction before the pair continues to move to the downside.

Major support is seen at 1.2000, while major resistance it seen at 1.2570.

The Federal Reserve raised the interest rates yesterday with 0.25 basis points. The US dollar reacted strongly bearishly on the announcement and the EUR/USD spiked to a high 1.0747 from a low of 1.0605.

Gold turned out to be the biggest gainer, alongside with Silver. Gold went from $1,199 to $1,227 this morning. It appears that market participants are getting optimistic about the future of precious metals.

Silver also registered a gain going from $16.82 to $17.49. A continuation of the upward move can be expected as we do not expect any major news or events that can shake the market at least until the end of the week. One mid-impact event is the Michigan Conference scheduled for Friday this week.

EUR/USD is somewhat unchanged today after an upbeat second half of the week due to the rate hike on Wednesday. CMP 1.0757.

Gold bugs ignited the spark that set the precious metal on fire after the Fed raised rates. Gold reached a high just a few points shy of $1,235 and is now trading at $1,227. Silver is also higher at cmp 17.29.

Gold opened higher in today’s early trading hours before the European session. The precious metal has now reached a high of $1,235 as an intraday high and is now trading slightly below at $1,234. Main trend on the short-term remains bullish due to the green light given by the Fed. The rate hike turned out to be very beneficial for Gold, as well as Silver, and now the metals rally.

A correction might be expected around $1,243. If that level is taken over, the latest top at $1,262 becomes a target and also a mid-term resistance level. The bulls will need to push above the 200SMA that falls around $1,260 if they want to conquer higher levels.

Bears, on the other side, have a first target of $1,214, second target is seen at $1,190 and major bear target is expected at $1,145.

EUR/USD is now trading higher at 1.0770 up from 1.0755 in the opening hours. The pair might be on its way to appreciation after the Fed raised the Interest rate last week. Major bull target is seen at 1.0836.

EUR/USD continues to climb higher in today’s session. The price is now trading at 1.0815 in the early minutes of the US session. First resistance can be expected at 1.0826.