[B]FOREX NEWS: ALL THE INGREDIENTS FOR A MARKET STORM ARE PRESENT. MAJOR US EVENTS SCHEDULED[/B]
Forex News: The US Dollar strengthened yesterday on the back of improved American consumer confidence as shown by a report which came out with a reading of 90.9 compared with the anticipated value of 85.5. Sellers controlled the day but the distance traveled wasn’t spectacular.
Price is close to the support located at 1.3400 and we consider that today this level will be touched. The technical aspect of the market will be greatly overshadowed by the fundamentals but keep in mind that the Relative Strength Index is moving again below the 30 level, a fact which indicates an oversold market and favors bullish moves. Support is still located at 1.3400 while resistance sits at 1.3480.
The first event of the day is the release of the German Consumer Price Index, scheduled at 12:00 pm GMT and expected to decrease slightly from the previous 0f 0.3% to 0.2%. Such a decrease would be detrimental for the Euro as German inflation accounts for the major part of Euro Zone’s inflation.
The ADP Non Farm Employment Change is released at 12:15 pm GMT, showing the change in the number of jobs created during the last month. The report is put together by a privately owned company and tries to mimic the more important Government issued data which comes out 2 days later. The expected number is 234K and better numbers usually
strengthen the greenback.
At 12:30 pm GMT the American Advance Gross Domestic Product is announced with a hefty increase expected: 3.1% while last month’s value was -2.9%. Such a big change would benefit the Dollar as the GDP is the main gauge of an economy’s performance and this is the earliest version which usually has the highest impact.
Later in the day, at 6:00 pm GMT the American interest rate is announced but no change is anticipated and the FOMC Statement which accompanies the rate decision will be a more important market mover as it outlines possible future rate changes and the pace of the bond-buying program.
The Pound was little affected by economic releases yesterday and Dollar strength took the pair below minor support.
A strong support level is ahead: 1.6920; price is likely to stall or even reverse here, considering also the position of the Relative Strength Index, but as we mentioned above, the US Dollar will be highly affected today by economic data and the technical aspect will be secondary. The next strong and confirmed support (if 1.6920 is broken) is located at 1.6700 while first resistance sits at 1.7010.
The United Kingdom didn’t schedule major news releases and all eyes will be focused on the United States.