No.. this is not true
you need to keep it simple
START- Wherever you are now
THE GOAL - A Certain amount of money for a certain reason (Define this)
Now. .. you don't need to be an expert or anything like that, You just need to work out how you can safely and consistantly get from A to B simple as that
of course this is in a oversimplification, but what you are doing is an over complication, so i need to bring you down to earth
Use mathematics to gain an advantage over the market, that's all it really boils down to.