*** Intra-Weekly Trading Strategy: SELL US Dollar / Japanese Yen
Sell Target: 116.1423
Enter New SELL on OPEN and exit SELL positions at Target price or at Stop price.
(NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)
Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!
A big bearish black candle has formed. Prices closed considerably lower than open. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area, a moving average, trend line, or price resistance level, the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Likewise, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 4 white candles versus 6 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.
The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 26 white candles versus 24 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.
A engulfing bearish line has formed where a black candle’s real body completely contains the previous white candle’s real body. The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend. It signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears.
If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend (which is the case with US Dollar / Japanese Yen), it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle’s real body.MACD is BEARISH as the MACD is below the signal line.
The MACD crossed below the signal line 4 week(s) ago. Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen’s price has decreased 3.09%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 123.538 to a low of 117.216.
The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.
There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.
The Stochastic Oscillator is currently below 20. This is an indication of the security being in an “oversold” condition. No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 165 Week(s) Ago.
The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Sell 30 week(s) ago.
The RSI has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 week(s). This is BEARISH signal.
Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.
The Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) currently is not indicating a specific price direction. Because this is a trend following system, it should not use to initiate any trades right now. The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL 19 week(s) ago.
A SAR Sell signal generated today. If you are long, this might be a good place to exit.
The close is currently
ABOVE its 200 weekly moving average
BELOW its 50 weekly moving average
BELOW its 20 weekly moving average
The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Mildly Bullish
US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed below the lower Bollinger Band by 11.8%. This combined with the steep downtrend suggests that the downward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing. However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely. Bollinger Bands are 34.95% narrower than normal. The current width of the Bollinger Bands (alone) does not suggest anything conclusive about the future volatility or movement of prices.