sometimes i feel like when biden was here it was easier to analyse usd pairs
the moves made more sense and it felt more stable
now it’s harder to read the charts and price reacts strange sometimes
anyone else notice this or have thoughts on why it’s like this?
I think it’s not just USD pairs but other pairs also.
I think it’s not just forex but other financial instruments also.
I think it’s not just other financial instruments but the global economy also.
I think it’s either mostly or entirely because the global economic community knows, deep down, that Trump is a dishonest and dangerous crook, that almost nothing is safe in his hands, and that there are virtually no adults in the room, this time around.
That’s causing extreme financial, global anxiety and the jitters.
Because it’s all really about Trump, you maybe notice it most concerning the US, and especially the USD.
Yeah he’s a “disruptor” and the markets don’t like it as they are based on sentiment.
Hmmm to be honest i feel like it is more with USD pairs because other assets, for example btc acts better and more predictable after Trump but i know what you mean, thank u for comment
yup, things are getting weird tbh, and might as well be the reason investors are moving funds to btc and gold. its like walking on eggshells.
Exactly -_- Lately, market’s been weird, can’t trust moves at all!
I mentioned this effect back when Pres trump was elected - same thing last time only this time it’s more pronounced because of tariff talk.
Now the market is second guessing that talk - e.g. most recent was the announcement of 50% EU tax last Friday - immed down went Eur & stocks - then the more recent phenomenon kicked in - ‘he’ll change that, buy the dip quickly’
And of course that’s what happened.
Fed’s Neel Kashkari has just commented that there is a debate (presume amongst policy makers) to look thru tariffs impact - the more that happens the more likely the ride will become smoother.
I liked the way you look at this! makes sense for me, people moving funds out of forex, lower funds, harder prediction, and they enter btc , more funds, easier prediction!
it’s interesting to hear how different administrations might affect pair behaviour. Is the general consensus that political stability directly translates to more predictable price action, or are there usually other, stronger economic drivers at play during those periods?
I don’t know, but “general consensuses” about economic circumstances are usually mistaken anyway, aren’t they?
My guess would be that overall, political stability probably translates to more stable price action,rather than to more predictable price action.