That’s a very astute observation.
To be good at this business we have to trade what we see not what we think.
Having preconceived notions of how a market should move works against us. Markets are designed to fool as many participants as possible.
I learned this the hard way. Back in 2008 I was heavily leveraged on silver - I thought it would go to $50 during the housing crisis - it got to $49 something.
When I was stopped out (at a very healthy profit) I got back in again. Stopped out a second time for a loss.
Went back in thinking how wrong the markets were - then silver collapsed into the low $20s in 5 days and I held it all the way down.
It was a hard lesson - but I wasn’t alone - many gold bugs are so married to their opinions they can’t see straight.
Besides gold has had a great run I’ve had two trades since xmas netted around 8 * risk.
They will happen again - infact there is a potential move coming monday from what I can see (I said potential - I didn’t say certainty!!)