3 ducks with envelopes journal


Motto:
Livermore quote:

“The only way you get a real education in the market is to invest cash, track your trade, and study your mistakes…. The examination of a losing trade is tortuous but necessary to ensure that it will not happen again.”

I came back to Forex after 4 years pause. Before I tried EAs and indicators with bad results on demo. Now I will trade with real money and mainly use price action and some very simple system.

This will be a journal trading with 3 ducks system by Andy http://forums.babypips.com/free-forex-trading-systems/6580-3-ducks-trading-system.html You can ask him for a free e-book.
This journal is brutally real. I put all my trades, so later I can learn and remind myself my mistakes and weaknesses. No need to sugar coat anything.

I added envelopes to gauge how extended the prices are from MA.
I trade live with LMAX UK.

Risk: 1% of the capital for every trade.
Risk:Reward is 1:2 when price is near MA or 1:1.5 when price is further from the MA.

If my accuracy will be higher than 33-40% I will be earning money.

I recognize existence of such laws:

  1. Price will extend to certain values from MA. The more extended it is the more probable it will snap back soon and fast.
  2. There are support and resistance zones, where bears and bulls have parked orders.
  3. Price in trend has inertia and it will continue its course till large opposite force will stop it.

Wish me perseverance in regular updates :slight_smile:
Constructive comments are welcome.

28.01.2015

Screenshot “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [GBPUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-28 15.58.06”

Screenshot “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [AUDCAD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-28 16.00.35”

More from 28.01

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [GBPUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-28 16.06.16”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [GBPJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-01-28 16.09.16”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [GBPUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-28 16.18.01”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [AUDCAD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-28 16.21.25”

Outlook for 29.01.2015:

These pairs fulfill 4h and 1h rule:
GBP USD
AUD CAD
GBP JPY (this has flat M5 MA as of 4 pm GMT today)

Haridas, can you pls share your envelopes setup.
Tks.

For 5m:

Enter trades zone: 0.2% for MA60
Usual extended zone: 0.4% for MA60 no entry
Extremely extended zone: 1% for MA60 - one can use it to catch movement back to the average.

Today I get up early and it makes a lot of positive difference when sitting to the markets at 8:00 am.

+2% of my capital gained today.

Today’s battlefield in screenshots and comments within:

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [AUDUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-29 15.57.09”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [AUDJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-01-29 16.00.07”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [AUDUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-29 16.04.15”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [EURUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-29 16.07.17”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [USDCAD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-29 16.19.03”

File “2096564844_ LMAX-LiveUK - [NZDUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-29 16.22.05”

Isn’t it overtrading?

Nice journal, I’ll try to follow it :57:

Thanks, I hope it will help others.

Today’s capital gain: 0%, over-trading and tight stop losses took away any gains.

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [USDCAD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-31 00.13.26.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [NZDJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-01-31 00.16.00.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [NZDJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-01-31 00.19.51.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [USDCAD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-31 00.25.08.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [NZDUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-31 00.28.30.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [AUDUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-01-31 00.31.03.png”

Today I train my strong will to overcome over-trading where there are no good setups.

However I took one trade which I shouldn’t:

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [GBPUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-02-02 15.35.05.png”

and how it looked on 1h TF:

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [GBPUSD.lmx,H1] 2015-02-02 15.37.53.png”

Today capital loss -2%.

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [GBPUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-02-03 21.42.16.png”

And

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [USDJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-02-03 21.48.35.png”

Hi haridas, nice thread. Possible to screenshot in babypips instead of link? Do you have hard rule to setup SL and TP?

Hi Kelvidpang,

It takes too much time to post screen in this forum. My SL near latest low/high swing and my TP must be at least 2xSL. If not possible or probable I will not enter. That’s why pullbacks are most probable setups.

I am currently travelling so no Forex for me till Monday.

You should post your total returns/losses as well with each trade so people can get an overall view of how your trading is going.

Thanks for the suggestion.
For now my capital loss is: -3.27%

Lazy Monday.

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [USDJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-02-09 17.58.29.png”

Today I was trading in the zone and recouped my losses. Capital net change is 0%. For now my forex education is free :slight_smile:

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [USDJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-02-10 15.29.43.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [USDJPY.lmx,H1] 2015-02-10 15.32.04.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [CADJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-02-10 15.36.17.png”

  1. And loss, nothing one can do about it.

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [EURGBP.lmx,M5] 2015-02-10 15.40.01.png”

After few days traveling, I could trade on Friday and did some mistakes again. Capital loss is -3%.

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [EURAUD.lmx,M5] 2015-02-13 21.59.58.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [EURAUD.lmx,M5] 2015-02-13 22.03.16.png”

And now moving to breakeven when I should not. If I would not move the stops I would have no losses today…

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [AUDCAD.lmx,M5] 2015-02-13 22.05.52.png”

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [NZDUSD.lmx,M5] 2015-02-13 22.07.17.png”

Lazy Monday again with US holidays. Only one trade. -4% capital.

File “2096564924_ LMAX-LiveUK - [NZDJPY.lmx,M5] 2015-02-17 09.08.43.png”