A Noobs Journal - time to give this a shot

Yup, I’m learning this. Took a while!

Nope I need to hear it. It is a problem.

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I’m wondering if I should do like a recap of news for myself, to remember what was going on in the market and stuff. Might help to understand what was going on in the world and the markets in general. I’ll think about it.

Last week.
26 trades
Won 20 out of 26,
77% win rate.
-2.82%
-664.4 pips
TP hits: 14
SL hits: 6
Manual Close winners: 6
Manual Close losers:
Avg Win: 13.30
Avg Loss: -155.05

Oh man, it was gearing up to be a great week. I was super excited. Hit 12 winners in a row. 15 out of 19 closed in profit.

And then I was on my phone and entered long on a pair I already had short position on that I was nursing. And bam! Down 400 pips. I scaled a bit out of that losing position earlier in the week, which is why my pip total is so bigly negative. But man, as soon as I entered the trade, I froze and then realized what I just did. FAT FAT FINGER. AGAIN!

Completely pissed. I was trying to get into a quick moving EURJPY trade. Mind wasn’t in the right place. FOMO trade for sure that bit me in the butt.

Basically gave back the previous week and then some.

What can I do but shake my head, tell myself to be more patient. ALWAYS ALWAYS check the chart. Zoom out, check positions. Maybe don’t open trades on mobile. Not sure about that one just yet. Learn from my mistake.

Definitely had longer holding times waiting for some trades to come around. It’s not for everybody. I’m locking up margin and paying interest. But it works for me.

But take out the big loser and my profit/loss does a full 180. Tough lesson.

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I agree with this one.

I think mobile trading is for when you are waiting for something very specific that can easily be seen on a phone—like a specific candle, or something.

Mobile phones’ screens are impractical for analysis, IMO.

But they’re tempting because they’re so convenient.

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Especially if they have a curved screen1 :sweat_smile:

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That’s my fault. Trading from the couch! Stick to the computer.

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That’s too funny!

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Last week.
23 trades
Won 20 out of 23,
87% win rate.
+11.70
844.8 pips
TP hits: 10
SL hits: 2
Manual Close winners: 10
Manual Close losers: 1
Avg Win: 46.11
Avg Loss: -25.77

What a big turn around from the week before. It was a great week. I kept a closer eye on the charts more than normal, used more SLs when away from the charts and more TPs also, which didn’t always work for me. I let some trades run longer than I usual do, around resistance areas. Normally I exit early to lock in some profit.

And of course all the volatility in the markets has helped a ton!

Some long term positions in GBPUSD is throwing off the avg hold time chart. So that’s not really saying anything about the short trades.

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Congratulations! Great job!

Keep going. I’m enjoying your journal.

Why the change? Did you just wanna try giving your trades a little more breathing room?

That’s it exactly. I think maybe Theodore mentioned something one time about noobs cutting trades too early. Yea, I think I do that way too much, but it’s “locking in profit!”. You know the saying. Don’t know how many other times I thought “I’ll let this ride longer” only to have the trade completely turn around on me and end with a loss.

But it’s like, anything above like 20-30 pips in profit I get scared of a quick change in direction. So I’m really trying to watch market structure, watch my channels. trendlines, supply and demand zones/order blocks/FVGs, and boy, really work on patience. I’m getting better, but still make mistakes weekly, FOMOing into what I think is a good setup, and all I needed to do was take a step back and look at my supporting evidence (or lack of it really).

How about you, how do you set targets?

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Last week.
22 trades
Won 17 out of 22,
77% win rate.
+4.60
352.2 pips
TP hits: 14
SL hits: 3
Manual Close winners: 3
Manual Close losers: 2
Avg Win: 27.38
Avg Loss: -22.64

Man, solid week. Not like the week before but I got some older trades I was managing closed out in profit, and then some that still are in the red - EURUSD and EURJPY shorts! I really wonder if the EUR will climb some more. It might be back into it’s upward trend from before the election last year. Hopefully not and I get a chance to close out some positions.

As you can see above, trading a little bit of everything. And like the previous week, some old positions (GBPUSD) are jacking up the average holding time stats.

I had 5 out of the 22 trades last longer than 1 day. The longest was 6 days, got me 19 pips (I’ll take it!), but it was only profitable for like 5% of the entire trade life.

I’m not sure if I’m seeing any trends in the “time profitable” stat just yet. It’s all over the place for the winners. Only the loser side, none of my losers cracked over the 40% time profitable. I had losers last 12 min all the way up to 2 days.

And my biggest winner, 52 pips, was down 74 pips at one point.

So still working on figuring what stats are actually important, other than average win size/loss size, win rate% and profit/gain.

If any readers want to share what they look at, sweet!

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I used to set TPs, but not any longer. Now, I just read the candles. However, no strategy can supplement patience.

A problem I have is that my trades last days, weeks, and in rare cases, months.

Because the trades last so long, there are so many opportunities to overanalyze. Not every candle means something.

That might be hardest part of all this, the patience part.

I actually had a couple trades last over a month. I mean, with those trades I didn’t want to realize the loss. Is that a strategy or part of a winning strategy? Probably not. But I got those trades turned around. But holding those positions open took away margin. And I guess it also took away the chance to take other trades that probably had a better chance of being profitable.

Yea analysis paralysis. I got to think about that last part though.

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Last week (03/16-0322)
18 trades
Won 16 out of 18,
89% win rate.
+3.36
280.3 pips
TP hits: 8
SL hits: 1
Manual Close winners: 8
Manual Close losers: 1
Avg Win: 19.29
Avg Loss: -14.20

Nice week. I completely cut down on losers almost completely this week, but definitely got the big losers out of my system. Yes! That’s been the big goal really. Also used a slightly larger position size for about 75% of the trades. I’ll take a week like this any time!

Stuck with my JPY pairs for good and bad. I’m learning not to put all my eggs in the same currency pair basket. Like EURJPY and GBPJPY, or even USDJPY. Once I hit a resistance zone, I’ll take profit, exit on one pair, and leave the other open if my analysis still looks good. I’ll keep the other correlated pair for a reversal trade, so the trades might move opposite directions for a bit. That seems to have kept me out of trouble.

I do have a bunch of positions in the red, mainly looking for JPY to take off but also USD to gain back some. I think the dollar is starting to move in the right direction this week. Can’t be sure if it will hold though.

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Looking good!

22 pip loser and then a single digit loser. So better than normal!

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Last 2 weeks (03/23-04/05)
20 trades
Won 18 out of 20,
90% win rate.
+5.72
480.6 pips
TP hits: 15
SL hits: 1
Manual Close winners: 3
Manual Close losers: 1
Avg Win: 28.33
Avg Loss: -14.65

March

April

I was actually on vacation last week and didn’t trade as much as usual. But I still had a really good two weeks. The markets have been really crazy and I just got lucky being on the charts at the right times.

5 trades in April and the rest were from March. Lots of yen trades. It’s another 2 weeks with minimal losers, and the losers I did have weren’t crazy huge at all. So I’m sticking to the goal of cutting out the big losers! That’s huge!

My biggest winner was an 84 pip move on USDJPY. Most of the other trades were a quarter to a half that winning size. But do it enough times, even if it’s small, it all adds up.

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You just described the majority of my trades…nice

I want bigger trades obviously, but they take longer to develop. I’m too impatient for it.

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Last week (04/06-04/13)
16 trades
Won 15 out of 16,
94% win rate.
+6.65
-194 pips
TP hits: 12
SL hits: 0
Manual Close winners: 3
Manual Close losers: 1
Avg Win: 46.41
Avg Loss: -890 (EURUSD short gone bad!)

Yea, great week, but weird stats. I scaled out of a big EURUSD loser, like 500 units…So the pip loss was huge, but actual $ lost was like $89. I mean big, buty only loss.

Volatility was crazy, but I caught some moves in a couple ranges. Weird how those still played out will all the craziness in the market.

I’m hoping this week USD and JPY get some love!

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Weird image upload issues. Squared away by the mods.

Anyway that EURUSD hold time looks off. Can’t be that long in the trade.

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