Anybody trading AUDJPY? Maybe I should ask outside of the journal.
Anyway, weekly trend up. Daily trend up. Seeing higher high and higher low. Hoping to break a recent high of 96.81. Price broke out of a channel 6 days ago, so maybe I’m late, but let’s see what happens. 6 days of green candles. Entered at 95.30. Got my TP and SL set. Let’s go!
Charts look good. I’d say we’re looking more risk on, but JPY has been completely backwards with the stock sell off, so who knows. Wednesday often has a retracement after big moves, so you might have jumped a bit early. Time will tell
Bust, what can I say. Big ole fat loser that last trade. Got to about 166.30 and then did an about face straight down to my SL. Tight TP would have got me somewhere. But I wasn’t watching the trade as closely as I should have been. Specially not moving the SL up as price moved up. Big mistake!
Need some structure in my life, so I’m giving Tommor’s simple strategy a go. Here are the details.
Uptrend - price is above 20EMA, which is above 50EMA and both EMA’s are recently sloping upwards
Pull-back - price makes 3 consecutive bars with lower highs and lower lows
Trigger - price breaks out upwards through (or closes above) the high of the 3rd lower range bar
Stop-loss - set this at entry price minus 2 x ATR(14)
Take profit - set this above the entry to at least equal to the stop-loss distance
I’ve found that USDJPY fits the bill right now. So I’m opening a trade at 133.76. ATR is showing 1.475 on the daily. So SL is at 130.81. I’ll try to check this in the morning when I wake up. And I’ll see what other trades can be found on this.
Still in it and up! Currently trading at 134.95. I got in at 133.76. Woohoo!
Still trying to figure out what to do with my stop. I guess I could move it 2 x ATR from it’s currently price., which would be 133.88. Not too far from where I started. Thing is, ATR changing between today and when I opened 6d ago.
Took this trade yesterday at 135.87. It’s moving! Up to 138.75.
Goes to show that some analysis from a top dog website said that momentum was fading and a drop was more likely.
So now I’m in that same situation. Up 100+ pips. What to do with this SL.I had it at 2 x ATR, so all the way down at 132.87 I think.
I’m moving it to BE at least. I could come back and check every couple hours or just wait until market close.
Not sure just yet. 137.64 is the next resistance level I think. It’s the closest high anyway. Maybe if it stalls there, I’ll take some profits. If it keeps going up, I’ll watch it every hour or so since it is a Friday.
I kept a journal for a long time too. But the truth is, I change the way I trade often just because of my mood that day. I have a main strategy that has a high win rate for scalping. But if I don’t want to wait for the setup, I have been placing pending orders in both directions on 5 or 6 pairs on a 1H chart with a small TP and a larger SL. That way I can be reasonably assured to make some profit that day the easy way.
So not a believer of the reward to risk, risk to reward of 1:1 or greater? It’s hard to take the advice of having a large enough SL but also keep your risk to reward at at least that.