AceTrader Jul 26 : DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON GBP/USD


DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON GBP/USD

26 Jul 2013 00:26GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Turning up

21 HR EMA
1.5354

55 HR EMA
1.5342

Trend Hourly Chart
Up

Hourly Indicators
Bearish divergences

13 HR RSI
59

14 HR DMI
+ve

Daily Analysis
Consolidation with upside bias

Resistance
1.5531 - Jun 21 high
1.5480 - Jun 25 high
1.5435 - Y’day’s high

Support
1.5346 - Previous hourly res
1.5263 - Y’day’s low
1.5232 - 50% r of 1.5028-1.5435

. GBP/USD - 1.5378… The pound swung wildly y’day, price ratcheted higher in Asia as traders bot cable in anticipation of a strg UK GDP, price climbed fm 1.5307 to 1.5386 but tanked to 1.5263 on profit taking after the data came in as per forecast but later rallied to a fresh 1-month peak at 1.5435 near NY close.

. Although y’day’s firm breach of Tue’s 1.5392 high to 1.5435 confirms the upmove fm Jul’s 3-year low at 1.4814 has once again resumed, the spike top formation on hourly chart n present retreat at Asian open suggests price may well do the usual consolidation in Asia n as long as 1.5329 (61.8% r of 1.5263-1.5436) holds, marginal gain is still likely, however, as hourly oscillators’ readings wud display ‘bearish divergences’ on next rise, reckon 1.5488, being 61.8% proj. of the intermediate upove fm 1.5028-1.5392 measured fm 1.5263, wud cap upside. Looking ahead, as daily macd has crossed abv the zero line, suggesting cable is en route to next daily chart obj. at 1.5480 n then twd 1.5607 in Aug.

. Today, buying cable is still cautiously favoured n below 1.5300/10 wud risk stronger retracement to 1.5263 but 1.5232 shud hold fm here.