AceTraderForex Jun 17: Intra-Day Market Moving News,Views & data to be released today

Trading Discussion Currencies
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AceTraderFx Jan 17: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 17 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1137… Although the single currency retreated from 1.1157 at Asian open to 1.1145 ahead of European open yesterday, price then gained to an 8-day high at 1.1172 ahead of New York open due partly to buying in eur/jpy cross. However, the pair met renewed selling there and tumbled to an intra-day low of 1.1129 in New York due to upbeat U.S. data before rebounding to 1.1142 in Asian morning today on short-covering.

Despite euro’s resumption of recent upmove from last Friday’s 2-week bottom at 1.1086 to 1.1172 yesterday, subsequent retreat to 1.1129 suggests temporary top is in place and consolidation with downside bias remains, below 1.1105 (Tuesday’s low) would bring re-test of 1.1086, where break would extend decline from Dec’s 4-1/2 month peak at 1.1239 to 1.1067/70.
Offers are tipped at 1.1145/50 with stops above 1.1170 while bids are noted at 1.1120, with more below and stops below 1.1100.

On the economic calendar today, Swiss will kick off with producer/import price, then France budget balance, Italy trade balance, CPI, and EU current account, construction output, HICP.

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AceTraderFx Jan 20: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -GBP/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 20 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

GBP/USD - 1.3003… The British pound went through a volatile session on Friday. Although cable gained from 1.3065 in Asian morning and then jumped to a 1-week high of 1.3120 (Reuters) in European morning, price erased its losses and dropped to 1.3028 as release of downbeat UK retail sales data increased speculation of an interest rate cut from the Bank of England later this moth. The pair then recovered to 1.3059 but only to fall again to 1.3007 ahead of New York close and then opened lower to 1.2980 (Reuters) in New Zealand before rebounding to 1.3008 at Asian open.

Despite cable’s strong rebound from last Tuesday’s 18-day low at 1.2955 to 1.3120 on Friday, subsequent selloff to 1.2980 today suggests correction has ended and re-test of said support would be seen after consolidation, where break would extend decline from 1.3283 (December 31) to 1.2905/10. Hence, selling on recovery is favoured.
Offers are tipped at 1.3015 with more above and stops above 1.3060 while bids are noted at 1.2970-65 with stops below 1.2955.

Although there will be no economic data coming out from UK later today, as Brexit deadline approaches on Jan. 31st, traders should pay attention to related headlines that may cause some volatility in the market.

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AceTraderFx Jan 21: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 21 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 109.95… Although dollar initially fell to 110.05 in New Zealand yesterday, price recovered to 110.21 at Asian open before moving broadly sideways in Europe and then in holiday-thinned North American session as U.S. markets were closed for Martin Luther King holiday. The pair then dropped sharply from 110.21 at Asian open today to 109.91 after PBOC lifted its official yuan midpoint to the highest in 6-1/2 months at 6.8606 per dollar and then rebounded.

Although dollar’s intra-day fall from 110.21 suggests further choppy trading below last Friday’s fresh 7-1/2 month peak at 110.28 would continue, as long as 109.69/72 holds, upside bias remains for medium term upmove from 2019 33-month trough at 104.46 to resume and extend towards 110.67 before prospect of correction due to loss of momentum.
Bids are noted at 109.95-90 with stops below 109.70 while offers are tipped at 110.30/40 with more above and stops above 110.70.

Pay attention to Bank of Japan’s rate decision (usually between 02:30-03:30GMT) and although the central bank is expected to keep policy on hold, investors should pay attention to Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s press conference at 06:30GMT about the economic outlook especially after the U.S. and China has signed off phase one of the trade deal earlier.

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AceTraderFx Jan 22: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 22 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1078… Euro remains on the back foot in Asia, trading just one tick above Monday’s near 3-week trough of 1.1077.

Despite catching a bid in European morning at 1.1086 on upbeat German ZEW data n rising to session highs of 1.1118 in New York morning, the pair erased intra-day gain as usd met renewed broad-based buying, price later tumbled 1.1081 ahead of the close. Intra-day weakness suggests recent decline from December’s 4-1/2 month peak at 1.1239 is en route to next daily target at 1.1041, so trading from short side is the way to go.
Offers have been lowered to 1.1085/90 n more above with stops above 1.1120.
Some bids are touted at 1.1075-70 with stops below 1.1065.

On the data front, France will release January business climate at 07:45GMT n then Italy’s industrial orders and sales data at 09:00GMT.

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AceTraderFx Jan 23: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 23 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 109.65… Dlr remains on the back foot in hectic Asian trading on renewed safe-haven yen buying as news of closure of airport n train station of Wuhan, the city in China where coronavirus started triggered another bout of risk-off trade, the pair fell from 109.86 (AUS) to 109.61 after tripping stops below 109.75.

Dlr’s intra-day firm break of yesterday’s 109.77 low signals recent upmove has made a temp. top at last Friday’s 7-1/2 month peak at 110.28 n downside bias remains for stronger retracement to 109.44, reckon 109.00/05 would hold. Offers have been lowered to 109.75/85 with stop above 110.00. Some bids are noted at 109.55-45 area with stops below there.

U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with initial weekly jobless claims, leading index n Kansas City mfg index.

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AceTraderFx Jan 24: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 24 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 109.45… Dollar met renewed selling at 109.86 in Australia yesterday and fell to 109.50 in European morning on dampened risk trading due to concerns over spreading of coronavirus in China as well as selloff in the Nikkei-225. Despite rebounding to 109.65 ahead of New York open, the pair then dropped to a 13-day low of 109.27 in New York on falling U.S. Treasury yields before recovering to 109.57 at Asian open today.

Yesterday’s fall below Tuesday’s 109.77 low to 109.27 suggests recent decline from last Friday’s fresh 7-1/2 month peak at 110.28 has once again resumed and further weakness to 108.95/00 would be seen after consolidation, however, reckon 108.62/66 should hold and yield rebound. Offers are tipped at 109.55/60 with stop above 109.80 while bids are noted at 109.10-00 with stops below there.

On the data front, U.S. will release Markit manufacturing PMI and Markit services PMI at 14:45 GMT.

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AceTraderFx Jan 29: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 29 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1015… The single currency went through a roller-coaster ride yesterday. Although price rebounded to 1.1025 in Asian morning, the pair retreated to 1.1013 in European morning, and then dropped to an 8-week low at 1.0999 in New York before staging a recovery to 1.1022 near the close on cross-buying in euro, then higher to 1.1027 at Asian open today before weakening.

Although euro’s rebound from yesterday’s 1.0999 low suggests recent decline from December’s 4-1/2 month peak at 1.1239 has made a temporary low, as long as 1.1037 res holds, consolidation with downside bias remains, below 1.0999 would bring re-test of November’s 1.0982 bottom, break would extend to 1.0942/45. Offers are tipped at 1.1035 with stops above there while bids are noted at 1.1005-00 with stops below 1.0980 and more below 1.0940.

On the calendar front, Germany will kick off with GfK consumer sentiment and import prices at 07:00 GMT, then France will release consumer confidence at 07:45 GMT, followed by Italy’s manufacturing business confidence and consumer confidence at 09:00 GMT, producer prices at 10:00 GMT. Swiss will also release investor sentiment at 09:00 GMT

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AceTraderFx Jan 30: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 30 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 108.94… Dlr remains under pressure in early Asian trading due to return of risk-off trade after staging a intra-day bounce from 108.99 in New York morning to 109.25 in post-FOMC trading. Traders citing dlr’s weakness after Fed Chair J. Powell’s comments at post-FOMC presser who expressed concerns on the negative impact of the coronavirus, his remarks led to intra-day selloff in US yields where the benchmark 10-year fell from 1.667% to as low as 1.579%, just above its 3-month bottom at 1.57% hit earlier on Tuesday.

Intra-day weakness to 108.91 on renewed safe-haven yen buying suggests recovery from Monday’s 2-week low at 108.74 has ended y’day at 109.26 (AUS) and stops below 108.70 are now in focus.
Offers have been lowered to 109.05/15 and more above with stops reported above 109.30.

BOJ Deputy Gov. Amamiya will be delivering a speech at Jiji news agency’s seminar un Tokyo at 07:00GMT. Later, U.S. will release a slew of eco. data at 13:30GMT, pay attention to Q4 core PCE n PCE prices, Q4 advance GDP n Deflator n weekly jobless claims.

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AceTraderFx Jan 31: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 31 Jan 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1031… The single currency moves narrowly in subdued Asian morning after extending near term rise from Wednesday’s fresh 8-week low of 1.0993 to 1.1038 in New York session as soft U.S. eco. data prompted short covering in the euro.

Although rebound from 1.0993 suggests recent decline from December’s 4-1/2 month peak at 1.1239 has made a temp. low and range trading is in store.
Offers are tipped at 1.1035/40 with stops touted above 1.1060.
Bids are noted at 1.1010-00 with stops reported below 1.0980.

The euro area countries will release a slew of eco. data, please refer to our EI section for details.

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AceTraderFx Feb 03: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 03 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 108.56… Although dlr re-tested Fri’s 3-week low of 108.32 in Australia but buying interest quickly emerged n lifted the pair. Price ratcheted higher at Tokyo open n climbed to 108.57 due to intra-day rebound in U.S. yields (benchmark 10-year recovered from Friday’s 3-1/2 month low of 1.5030%, circa 1.5358%).

Despite intra-day recovery, intra-day sharp selloff in Chinese stocks where benchmark Shanghai Composite down 8% at the open in reaction to recent China coronavirus concerns should prevent further strong usd’s recover, therefore, trading the greenback from short side in anticipation of another bout of safe-haven yen buying is recommended.
Offers are tipped at 108.60-70 with stops above 108.80 while some bids are noted at 108.40-30 with stops below there.

U.S. will later release a slew of eco. data starting with Markit mfg PMI, construction spending n ISM mfg PMI. We also have Atlanta Fed President Bostic (non-voting member in 2020) speaking at 21:00GMT.

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AceTraderFx Feb 04: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
Update Time: 04 Feb 2020 03:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1061
Yesterday’s cable-led decline to 1.1037 (New York) suggests euro’s early rise from last Wednesday’s 8-week trough at 1.0993 has possibly ended at 1.1096 on Friday, below said Monday’s low would add credence to this view and yield weakness towards said sup, then next daily objective at 1.0982 later.

On the upside, above 1.1096 would abort bearish view and risk stronger retracement of recent decline to 1.1108/18, however, reckon 1.1142/45 should cap upside and yield strong retreat.

Data to be released on Tuesday :
New Zealand building permits, GDT price index, Australia RBA interest rate decision.
France budget balance, UK Markit construction PMI, Italy consumer price index, CPI (EU norm), EU producer prices.
U.S. redbook, ISM New York index, durables ex-defense, durable goods, factory orders, durables ex-transport.

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AceTraderFx Feb 04: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 04 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1060… Euro trades quietly in Asia following y’day’s ‘cabel-led’ decline from 1.1095 (AUS) to 1.1037 in NY morning, however, renewed buying in eur vs yen n sterling lifted price to 1.1066 near New York midday.

Despite last week’s rally from a fresh 8-week trough of 1.0993 (Wed) to as high as 1.1096, subsequent weakness to 1.1037 suggests range trading is in store, a firm break of 1.1037 would signal recovery is over, then price would head back towards 1.1093. On the flip side, if euro climbs above 1.1096, then outlook would turn bullish for stronger retracement of recent fall to 1.1208/18, possibly towards 1.1142 later this week.
Offers are tipped at 1.1070/80 with stops above 1.1100 n bids are noted at 1.1045-35 with stops below 1.1030.

On the data front, we have a slew of eco. data from the euro area countries, please refer to our EI section for details.

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AceTraderFx Feb 05: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 05 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.1040… The single currency moved narrowly in subdued trading on Tuesday as market focus was on the Japanese yen n sterling. Price met renewed selling at 1.1064 at European open n edged lower due to intra-day selloff in sterling, despite a strg bounce in cable, euro hit session lows of 1.1034 in New York morning due to unwinding of long eur/gbp cross positions.

Euro’s decline from 1.1096 (Friday) to 1.1037 Monday, then 1.1034 y’day suggests early correction from last Wednesday’s 8-week trough at 1.0993 has ended and consolidation of downside bias is in store.
Offers are tipped at 1.1050/60 and more above with stops above 1.1070/80 while bids are noted at 1.1035-25 with stops below 1.1015.

On the eco. data front, today is PMI day in the euro area countries. Italy will kick off with Markit services PMI, then the same fm France, Germany, the EU as well as EU’s retail sales. ECB’s Vice President de Guindos and ECB Chief Economist Lane were scheduled to speak in European morning.

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AceTraderFx Feb 06: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 06 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 109.83 … Dlr remains on the front foot in Asian trading following y’day’s resumption of this week’s rise to a near 2-week high of 109.84 in NY due to return of risk sentiment on rally in U.S. yields n U.S. equities following release of robust U.S. ADP private payrolls, boosting market expectation of an upbeat reading in Fri’s U.S. NFP.

Intra-day brief break of said NY high suggests upside bias remains for gain to 110.00 after consolidation, however, loss of upward moemntum is expected to cap price below Jan’s 7-1/2 month peak at 110.28.
Bids have been raised to 109.60-50 n more below with stops below 109.25-20 while offers are tipped at 109.90/00 with some stops abv there, more stops are touted above 110.30.

U.S. will later release initialy weekly jobless claims, labor costs n productivity. Also, we have Dallas Fed President Kapan (FOMC voter) speaking at an economic forum in Dallas at 14:15GMT.

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AceTraderFx Feb 07: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
Update Time: 07 Feb 2020 03:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0982
Euro’s anticipated break of January’s 1.0993 low yesterday to a near 4-month trough of 1.0965 due to continued broad-based usd’s strength suggests early correction from 2019 bottom at 1.0880 (October) has ended at 1.1239 (Dec 31) and consolidaton with downside bias remains for further weakness, however, loss of downward momentum should keep price above 1.0900/10.

On the upside, only a daily close above Thursday’s 1.1013 high (downbeat U.S. jobs data perhaps) signals temporary low is made, then risk would shift to the upside for stronger recovery to 1.1047, then 1.1064/66 before prospect of retreat.

Data to be released on Friday :
Australia AIG construction index, Japan all household spending, coincident index, leading indicator, China exports, imports, trade balance.
UK Halifax house prices, Germany industrial output, exports, imports, trade balance, current account, France current account, industrial output, non-farm payrolls, trade balance, imports, exports, Italy retail sales.
U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, average earnings, wholesale inventories, wholesale sales, and Canada employment change, unemployment rate, Ivey PMI.

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AceTraderFx Feb 10: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 10 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0952… The single currency is nursing loss in subdued Asian morning after extending recent decline to a 4-month trough of 1.0943 in hectic trading on Friday following intra-day wild swings in post-NFP New York morning.

As Friday’s break of daily pivotal sup at 1.0982 (2019 November low) suggests correction from 2019 28-month bottom at 1.0880 (October) has ended, re-test of this key sup is on the cards after consolidation, therefore, selling the euro on recovery is the way to go and there is market chatter of stops building up below there.
Order book is fairly thin on this Monday with some offers tipped at 1.0965/75 with stops above 1.0985 while bids are noted at 1.0945-35 with some stops below 1.0925.

On the data front, we have Italy’s industrial output and EU’s Sentix investors’ confidence at 09:00GMT.

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AceTraderFx Feb 11: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 11 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0914… Euro remains on the back foot in subdued Asian trading (Japanese market is closed for holiday) after Monday’s resumption of recent downtrend to a fresh 4-month trough of 1.0909 in NY after tripping stops below 1.0940 due to broad-based selling in euro vs usd, yen, gbp n chf partly on political uncertainty in Germany (see earlier update on Monday for details).

Despite initial marginal weakness to 1.0908 after Asian open, lack of follow-through selling has helped euro to stage a minor recovery. Expect range trading before prospect of further fall towards 2019 28th bottom at 1.0880 where more stops are touted below there.
For now, offers have been lowered to 1.0925/35 with stops above 1.0945 while some bids are noted at 1.0905-00 and more above 1.0880 (profit taking).

Although no eco. data is due out from the euro area countries except release of European Commission economic growth forecasts at 10:00GMT, we have a no. of ECB officials speaking today, pay particular attention to ECB President Largards’s speech at 14:00GMT and then ECB Chief Economist Lane’s speech at 17:00GMT.

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AceTraderFx Feb 12: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 12 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 109.87… Despite yesterday’s retreat in New York session from 109.96 to 109.73 due to usd’s broad-based retreat, price edges higher in early Asian trading on modest yen-selling across the board due to improved risk sentiment on modest gains in U.S. stocks n rebound in U.S. yields.

The daily sideways swings following dlr’s retreat from Friday’s 2-week high of 110.02 to 109.54 in post-NFP New York suggest further choppy trading would continue, however, as long as 109.26/31 sup area holds, prospect of re-test of Jan’s 7-1/2 month peak at 110.28 remains, therefore, buy the pair on dips is still favoured.
Bids are noted at 109.70-60 with stops below 109.50 n more stops are touted below 109.25.
Offers are tipped at 109.95/00 with stops reported above 110.30.

U.S. will release mortgage applications n federal budget which will go unnoticed. Pay attention to 2nd of the 2-day testimony by Fed Chiarman J. Powell before the Senate Banking Committee at 15:00GMT, we also have Fed’s Daily n Fed’s Harker speaking during the day (see our EI section for details).

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AceTraderFx Feb 13: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 13 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

EUR/USD - 1.0872… Euro languishes near y’day’s 3-week trough of 1.0866 in subdued Asian trading. Despite intra-day cable-led recovery to 1.0925 in European morning, sellers quickly emerged and price edged lower, then intra-day fall accelerated in New York morning to 1.0866 after tripping stops below 2019 trough at 1.0880.

The fact that euro is unable to stage a recovery in Asia suggests price would remain on the back foot n is en route to next chart obj. at 1.0840 (2017 low) after consolidation. Therefore, trading the single currency across the board is the way to go but oversold condition is expected to keep price above 1.0800.
Offers have been lowered to 1.0880/90 with some stops above 1.0900 while bids (profit taking) are touted at 1.0850-40.

The euro area countries will release a slew of eco. data starting with France’s unemployment, then Germany’s CPI n HICP plus EU’s economic growth forecast. We also have a number of ECB officials scheduled to speak during the day, pls refer to our EI page for details.

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AceTraderFx Feb 14: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Update Time: 14 Feb 2020 04:30GMT

USD/JPY - 109.80… Dlr maintains a relatively steady posture in subdued Asian morning on Friday after yesterday’s volatile swings. Despite Thursday’s intra-day fall from 110.09 (AUS) to 109.81 ahead of Tokyo open on safe-haven yen buying after China reported a sharp jump in coronavirus cases under a new method, then to session lows of 109.63 in Europe, rebound in U.S. yields as well as renewed usd’s broad-based strength lifted price back to 109.86 near New York midday.

Although decline from 110.13 (Wednesday) suggests price is not ready to re-test Jan’s 7-1/2 month peak at 110.28, as long as 109.54 sup holds, daily upside bias remains.
Bids are noted at 109.70-65 with stops below 109.50 and offers are tipped at 110.00/10 with stops reported above 110.30.

T.G.I.F., BOJ Deputy Gov. Amamiya is scheduled to speak at a seminar organised by Tokyo Stock Exchange at 10:00GMT. U.S. will release a slew of eco. data (see our EI page for details), pay attention to release of key U.S. Jan’s retail sales at 13:30GMT and then University of Michigan consumer confidence at 15:00GMT.
Cleveland Fed President Mester (FOMC voter) will speak at a financial event in Florida at 16:45GMT.