Adventures in candlestick trading

Hi Slane
When you spot a patern and the BB’s are not in favour you can wait for 6 or seven more candles for thee BB’s to come into favour. The longer it is however then the weaker the signal. personally I only wait 4/5 candles or forget it. Also then check on the 5 min chart for BB’s and starc to be in agreement
besrt regards

Hi Kohkohnut
missed your post , sorry. If you can post the time also it would be helpful
best regards

Heres my first winning trade with this system. A dark cloud cover patteren is what I made it out to be. It wasn’t on the outer BB but mid BB was going in trade direction so I took it. :rolleyes:


Hi Simon
congrats on winning trade. Not sure of your pattern and wath for the outer BB as this is a reversal strategy and we want as much room as possible to mid BB
best regards
Dave

A picture speaks a thousand words. The BBs were never in favour of a reversal so there wasnt any chance to trade.

nice pattern, frustrating when BB’s against us but keeps us out of losing trades
best regards

Hi Dave,

I agree about the patteren. Looking at it now the bear candle doesn’t quite make the 50% of the bull candle required to make it a proper dark cloud cover.

Also does it matter if the bear wick falls below the bull candle?

regaurds

Simon

Hi Simon
In this case the long wick came close to the mid BB so at best if all else in favour a very cautious trade. I err on the cautious side better patterns are much more reliable
best regards
Dave

Well I’ll keep looking for that elusive perfect trade.:slight_smile:
we’ll see what the market gives us today…

Trades have been a little sparse on this system. Thanksgiving and Dubai have also had an effect . The more you practice the easier you will see the patterns, hang in there
best regards
Dave

I thought I had the makings of a piercing patteren here but the bull candle couldn’t quite reach the 50% mark and eventually turned.

A losing trade avoided:)


watch the bear candle in proximity to mid BB

What do you guys think of the Eur/USD?

the smaller chart in the background is the weekly chart, in the foreground, is the daily chart.

[ul]
[li]On the Weekly chart in the background, last shooting star is what Nison calls a “Falling off the roof”. Basically, Price finally breaks through a very powerful resistance but gets back under it. (reflected by a the final candle piercing above a power resistance, but couldn’t close above i) It is a sign that price couldn’t hold the above the resistance. and the following will be a reversal.
[/li]
[li] yet the daily chart (in the foreground)contradicts this conclusion with very strong support being met, with very strong low price rejection.
[/li][/ul]


I was jumping on to have a look back over the week to try and pick out some good patterns for practice. These graphs are the USD/JPY, 20min and 25min graphs. They bring up the following question.

If one time frame of graph has the bollinger against us, but one has it with us (or level). Is the fact that we have any graph showing a pattern good enough?

How would you feel if the pattern on the graph with bollinger against us was a perfect looking pattern, but the one with the bollinger with us wasn’t as perfect (but still acceptable).

The 25 min graph attached doesn’t have the bollinger with us, but it was close to it, and hence my question.

I am still in a learning curve myself, but from my personal experience, i would say that you need to have 2 different time frames that are at least some interval apart. 20 with 25 doesn’t really do the trick.

maybe something like 20m/40mins.

I will take the 25m trade. It looks far better as far bbs are concerned. If you are not able to spot patterns, you can spend that time by going back over time and look at charts to see if patterns formed and if they did, switch to 5m chart and spot the entries and exits. This way we can see how patterns formed and the frequencies of formation over time. Good job done on spotting these patterns Slane. Keep posting charts.

Regards,
Muthu.
Chennai.
India.

Hi,
It does not matter on which time frame we get a pattern that satisfies the conditions. Lets have a look at that time frame as stand alone and trade it. Dont worry about what has happened on other chart time frames and dont have them on mind after you entered a trade.

Regards,
Muthu.

Great job on spotting this pattern and even better job done on avoiding
this trade. Coming from a very strong down trend, we had this bull candle that did not close over or atleast at 50% of the bear candle. The bbs are excellent, however if the bull candle is not atleast 50% of the previous bear candle, i will not take it as rightly pointed out by the other member. I am feeling very happy to see such analysis by newbies and that only shows we are on the right track to spot and hit patterns like a sniper as Tymen used to call.

Regards,
Muthu.
Chennai.
India.

*****Kindly post bigger charts ******

Hi Slane
Each TF is veiwed on its own in this method. when you see a set up as in your 25 min chart, that is the chart to trade. The only other chart you should refer to is the 5 min for your entry and exit points if in agreement with main chart. I would maximise main chart to avoid comparison to other TF’s. Like a sniper you have identified your target (25 min pattern ) you take aim (5min chart). Any other distraction and you may miss the shot.
best regards
Dave

any opinions on the euro based on the candlesticks?

http://forums.babypips.com/153255-post213.html post 213