Hey it’s me again, nubee, the failed forex trader, taking a beating on GBPUSD since 13 august 2019
I don’t use stop losses because they ALWAYS get hit. On very rare occasions, I get lucky and my TP gets hit or I see a trade with 3 to 4 pips profit and I take it. This usually happens after floating a trade for weeks and my winners come in 1 out of every 9 trades.
this thread is a waste of time, he just is looking for ears to cry. whatever you tell him he will says “yes i know that” but its pretty obvious he doesnt know it, as he fails at applying it.
How do you know a downtrend when you see one?! People have studied and analysed 1000s of charts to understand trends and you know when you see one. The H1 made a higher low so you dont know a downtrend when you see one. Seeing as you have no stop loss you can sit on it forever until market goes back into a ‘downtrend’.
Therein lies the key - looking left first then deciding what’s likely to the right side of the chart - that’s the wrong way round.
First analyse what’s likely up ahead - the incoming week perhaps.
Your trade was on cable - so this week ahead check the market calendar - is there anything USD that could move price?
Then figure GBP - numbers are playing second fiddle to Brexit news - anything there upcoming?
Then having thought about where possible direction could go, have a look at the daily for a sense of the left side. But since GBP is involved then perhaps check Eur/Gbp which has been the Brexit indicator - check what happened the day after your trade on that chart.
August 12th was a Monday, previous day UK Tory newspapers were running a positive spin on Brexit - it was enough to turn price.
Edit: One of the headlines Aug 11th: Boris Johnson accepted an offer from Irish premier Leo Varadkar to meet to try to break the Brexit deadlock