It’s currently the weekend so I’m back-testing NAS100 today.
First off you can see that impulsive move downwards. Overall my sentiment to take a trade will be to short since it broke a lot of structure from the impulsive move.
Zooming in to the current price action:
I’m looking at this unmitigated supply zone. Currently, price action wicked into it and is showing momentum downwards which is favoring my bias.
Zooming in a little bit more to analyze the structure and see if it lines up with my confluences (candlesticks, market structure & order-flow):
Let’s look at the first sign of weakness occurring in
Area 1. There were lots of candles which resemble bearish pin-bars which is an indicator of bearishness especially if seen at the top of an up-trend.
Looking into another area:
Bearish engulfing candle in
Area 2, another sign of weakness but I’m still not entering because I like to enter off a rejection from a supply zone. There will be more opportunities I just had to be patient and let the candlesticks play out.
Area 3:
Believe it or not, but this sign of strength is good because this shows that the market’s going to rally slightly and possibly find another place to mitigate off of. When seeing this sign of strength I look closer at the chart because I know that my entry is probably going to be coming soon.
Last but not least, I saw that there was a ton of liquidity being engineered below asia lows which was cause for it to be taken. I saw an OB and an impulsive move down that broke structure and took liquidity from asia lows right before rallying back up.
Initially I had missed my entry point (which was to take the liquidity and ride the wave down) but it came back up and so I had set a sell limit (agressive entry) at the bottom of the OB and the stop loss at some previously engineered highs.
This was the trade I took and the final result of it.
Final risk to reward was 1:4 RR