Very good point!
This issue is a curious situation. There are streams of conversations on BP and elsewhere about why so many traders lose and yet the situation does not change. This has been discussed widely for so many years and yet the most astounding fact is not just that the numbers don’t improve but that it remains stubbornly at the same level! ESMA regulated brokers have been reporting these statistics for years now and they all consistenty report that about 70-80% of their retail traders lose their money.
This is remarkable when one thinks that traders come in all sorts of types, ages, nationalities, etc, and use such a wide range of different techniques, methods, systems, approaches, etc across a vast range of different instruments and with varying levels of equity balances - and yet the level of losing remains high and constant.
There has to be a universal reason for this which is not limited to any specific feature such as indicators or PA, patience or discipline, etc.
And I think you are close, @ria_rose when you mention wealth expectancy. I suspect a large number of newbies are drawn to the short-term intraday charts like 5-15min, even 1H, in the mistaken belief that one can make money faster in this area and that somehow this also avoids the conception of O/N risk, which is actually meaningless in a 24hr market (except weekends).
But I think this idea of making money fast in the intraday market is a total misconception. It can be done but it is so full of pitfalls and random market activity that inexperienced traders loses more than they gain.
The daily TF is the lowest that truly reflects the real current in a market but for many traders it is too slow and/or requires bigger potential stoplosses and/or smaller position sizes - i.e. doesn’t represent a fast rewards environment.
There is a lot of truth in the saying that:
“Better to become rich slowly than to become poor fast.”
And I really think this might be the common denominator behind this high, and unbelievably constant, level of loss rate amongst retail traders.
PS “random” in the sense used here means an intraday, microcosmic, look at the market which is constantly reacting to instantaneous disconnected buying and selling activity that is independent of, and unrelated to, any prevailing trend direction. For example, business transactions, input/export activity, portfolio adjustments, interbank settlements, etc.
Short term traders are obsessed with finding reason behind moves of 20-70 pips where, in fact, there is none.