Alright: before this turns into ‘one of those’ threads!!!
Clint: I appreciate it. I really do. Thank you.
metrix:
To be clear here: it didn’t take five years it took three years which, I NOW know, was WAY too soon to begin trading ‘other peoples money’ in addition to my own (for what it’s worth: I lost WAY more than they did although that’s no justification for my actions at the time). That being said: the only reason I decided to do it was because for a consistent six months, in the third year, I had made a 2 142% gain on my OWN money for that period (and that’s not a typo) trading, yes, forex pairs only. But then. as the proverbial saying goes, ‘the wheels fell off’, MAINLY because by that stage I thought I’d ‘cracked it’. Having all these additional funds gave me a ‘false sense of security’ and somehow it encouraged me to take far bigger risks than I was ALREADY taking with the thought process being that I now had enough ‘spare’ so if I DID make a ‘just a few mistakes’ I’d be able to recover. Obviously I was wrong and, well, the rest is history. I know NOW that the 2 142% gain was more ‘luck’ than anything else and obviously it was just a matter of time until my NO risk management caught up with me. Which it did: with a vengeance.
So there’s a bit of history for you for what it’s worth. And I’ll agree with you: it’s because of things like this happening that has given this entire business a bad name. No question about it. And believe me: I live with the ‘guilt’ every hour of every day and I SPEND every hour of every day trying to ‘make good’ to those people (and myself) and I do know that eventually this will happen (as long as I stick to trading equities and commodities that is)!!! LOL!!!
The above being said though (which is more personal than anything else): maybe it’s just the WAY that you made your point that DID ‘get under my skin’ (although I did my best to ‘cover it up’ of course). Let me say this: whether I DO or DO NOT understand WHAT and WHY the markets move is immaterial in my opinion. I do not, never have, and never will trade fundamentally. Therefore: the ‘what and why’ are immaterial in my opinion. I trade various trading systems and when I get signals I take them. I have proved, beyond ANY doubt, that these same trading systems DO NOT work on forex pairs and I believe that I know the reasons for this (as detailed in my LONG post above). Could it be that after my SPECTACULAR wipeout that the ‘shock’ made me sit back and look at equities and commodities instead??? Possibly although EVEN in the past two years: just about EVERY SINGLE TIME I get ‘brave’ and take a signal on a forex pair the trade has gone ‘pearshaped’. Same trading systems, and same trader with the same hard lessons having been learned: different result on equities and commodities. For this I have NO explanation and it only serves to reinforce my opinion that there IS a difference between the way that forex pairs and equities and commodities ‘move’ because all the other factors in the equation are ‘static’.
Anyway (now that my ‘dirty washing’ has again had to be aired): I believe that I have made some good points as to the difference between trading forex pairs and trading equities and commodities. It works for me and that’s all that counts to me (and my clients). I could be WAY wrong. I hope I am because I can tell you that there are WAY more retail forex traders than there are retail equities and commodities traders (good point actually i.e. this is just an OPINION but I wonder if there are any statistics available) which means that if I’m RIGHT there are WAY more people that are going to end up the same way as me for very much the same reasons.
So I hope that clears things up between all of us!!!
Now one thing I’d like to ADD here (as part of my LONG post above): many people say that indicators are useless. I have a theory for this (that only ocurred to me this morning while looking at my positions). As forex is a 24/5 ‘game’: remember that the indicators are still ‘ticking over’ even when there is little or NO trading activity (mainly between session times). In other words: on an hourly chart for example your indicators are still ‘ticking over’ during those periods which just HAS to be meaningless. With (exchange traded) equities and commodities: your indicators are only ‘ticking over’ when there is REAL and ACTUAL trading going on. This is why, for example, RSI is WAY more reliable when used with equities and commodities. In other words: RSI values are only being updated when there IS INDEED TRADING going on.
Anyway: as I did note before the only reason that my LONG post (above) was posted is because somebody asked me to post about my experiences and the reasons why I have my very serious doubts as to how anyone can make money in the long run trading forex other than the banks. I simply answered n_aftab and gave my reasons. In no way is my post intended to ‘pit’ forex traders against equities and commodities traders. At the end of the day: it’s the money that counts and nothing else. I’ll tell you: for those first three years I was more in ‘love’ with the business of trading (trading ANYTHING) than with the money that was to be made. My ‘wipeout’ humbled me somewhat and made me realise that it’s a business just like anything else and it should NOT be an obsession.
No matter WHAT you trade: I wish you well!!!
Regards,
Dale.