That is a very interesting question! I don’t think so. And I think the reason why it won’t is because humans are so bad at trading!!! That might sound complete gibberish (like most of what I write! ) but think about it this way:
Perhaps the best comment I heard about markets in general is that there is a floor level, below which things stop working, and there is a cap, above which things stop working, - and everything in between is simply what people are prepared to pay. It is in this broad midfield between those two extremes where we traders exist.
And the only reason we exist there is because there is such a large volume of incredibly diverse people with widely differing views and objectives, and all of which is in a constant state of change. If this market were to become totally dominated by AI then we would see far more “flash-crash” and “black swan” events as the “machines” all interpret everything in the same way and with the same response to price movements.
In other words, the human traders with their typically mediocre and erratic trading skills would be wiped out of existence and there would be no trading market left.
The other major impact of AI that is far worse than just “interesting” actually bothers me immensely. Even these articles you posted talk of the traditional “man v. machine” debate and who will ultimately annihilate the other. But I don’t think the danger is man v. machine . It is man v. man.
The article expresses the view that machines are not “Evil” as so often portrayed in sci fi. I also agree with this - the problem is that “Evil” lives in the human being, it is not the character of machines or animals. It is the one-side of the core character of humans. The other side of the human being is Good.
So the war of “man v. machine” is actually a war of “Good v. Bad”. And it is precisely this that disturbs me so much!.
The concern with AI is not its supreme capability and intelligence, it is how humans will manipulate that power.
I believe we are only at the start of this Great War with what we are seeing in development of social media.
I used to also have a Facebook profile but I closed it some years back. The only reason at that time was because it seemed like a boring waste of time spent on mindless chit-chat and silly pictures.
But social media has rapidly developed into something far more sinister than a simple communication channel between friends and an advertising medium. It is now a medium constantly and progressively monitored by security and police forces around the globe.
But the real fear in all this is not just that social media can penetrate into your home via your mobile, tablets and laptops. No, the real fear is how it can penetrate your mind! Think about that!
Social media is only the communication link - the highway into your private thoughts and opinions. The real adversary is the owner of the AI that is designed to collect data on the users, process and analyse it, formulate response tactics, and then feed back selected facts, thoughts, ideas and suggestions, and all in a format that is most receptive to the user’s identified profile.
The AI risk here is the ability to process such huge amounts of data about literally millions of people and thereby provide control over their thinking and opinions. We have seen the early stages of this in recent election campaigns.
The fear is that traditional warfare is now obsolete. The real war is being fought invisibly, digitally, and extremely cost-effectively. You do not need to physically destroy countries and populations with bombs, chemicals or biological weapons to defeat them - all you need to do is control their minds.
But, inevitably, these invisible weapons of modern warfare are not used for “Good” purposes, they are dominated by the “Evil” ambitions. But eventually “Evil”, having destroyed “Good”, will even destroy itself, that is the very nature and objective of “Evil”. And so, in the war of man v. machine, it will be the machine who wins - not because it is a machine, but because it became the tool that ultimately allows man to destroy man.
This may all sound a bit sci fi itself and like the basis of a novel, but we have seen symptoms of this trend already recently here on BP. I am referring to the recent posts by @PipMeHappy. The bright, intelligent, talented mind of an honest, open, well-respected young family man who loves his trading and posting on BP, is being penetrated and tortured by social media comments from another person who he has never met and (if I understand correctly) even lives on the other side of the globe. Please correct me if I am wrong here, @PipMeHappy?
The point here is that if one person can create such an impact, then what greater impact can an AI source create? What about “Me too” and “Gilets jeune”? Examples of the power of mass feed of fact and opinion to a mass audience that too often accepts what it is fed without questioning its accuracy or purpose.
That is my fear, and my expectation, unfortunately, of where AI is leading humanity.