i’m short at 1.0590 - technical only. have to wait n see what today brings - may be I get stopped out - may be I get a little profit – or the boring - it may just sit there for awhile. I also think a long is in order pretty soon – I’m just hoping not yet
Well, Aud/Nzd looks ripe to continue on its slow-but-sure journey higher, defeating all fundamental logic (what with the RBNZ being the most hawkish central bank in the G10)!
With the bounce happening off the 100 moving average and at oversold (RSI) territory, and from a major price level, the pair looks set to go quite a bit higher…
NB: the attached shows a daily chart for the pair.
Helped by RBNZ’s Gov. Wheeler’s comments on a too-high Kiwi Dollar last night, the AUD/NZD continued its push higher off the 100-day moving average, regaining the 1.10 level; here is the daily chart:
Stopped out of my long as the pair gained and then lost the 1.1200 level; P/L is -63 pips. I may re-enter but will wait for confirmation of further bullishness:
As posted on another thread, I ‘predicted’ that AUD/NZD would possibly return back down to trendline level near 1.100, before possibly pushing to higher highs: indeed, this is what has come to pass, in part, as the pair has come down hard and is now looking to test the 100-day moving average before a possible push higher…
Its counterpart, the New Zealand dollar, has been suffering from overdone interest rate speculation, and could lose more footing as we drive toward the end of the year with no sign of further hikes from the RBNZ…
This pair is still a slow but strong trender for me, so I will keep following it (although not trading it at present).