Australian Dollar Technical Outlook


We view the decline from .9496 as wave 4 within the 5 wave advance from .8512. Price is expected to exceed .9496 in the next few weeks and possibly test parity before a major reversal occurs. Within the 5 wave rally from .8512, wave 1 is 588 pips, and wave 3 is 622 pips. Wave 5 could be extended or could be close to the lengths of wave 1 and 3. This places the end of the AUDUSD rally near at least .9800-.9900. Near term, there are 5 wave up from .9218, so look to get long near structural support near .9300. Risk is .9218.

[B]STRATEGY[/B]: Look for longs near .9300, against .9218, target TBD