Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

Longer term, the AUDUSD is in the process of forming a major multi year top but that top is not confirmed yet.

We view the advance from the 2001 low as an A-B-C advance. The rally from the 2004 low at .6771 is wave C. The rally through the November 2007 high at .9400 satisfies minimum expectations for wave 5 of C from .8512. The longer term implications are that a multi-year top will form (possibly has already formed) and the AUDUSD will decline significantly.