Bollinger Band query

Hi folks, hopefully someone can help me here? I thought I understood BBs, but a statement in the School has confused me.

If you look on this page - Bollinger Bands | Common Chart Indicators | Learn Forex Trading - down near the bottom you can find this statement:

[I]Looking at the chart above, you can see the bands squeezing together. [B]The price has just started to break out of the top band[/B]. Based on this information, where do you think the price will go?

[B]Price shoots up[/B]

If you said up, you are correct again!

This is how a typical Bollinger squeeze works.[/I]

And that’s all good, it’s what I always understood. But then if you look on this page - What is the Most Profitable Indicator? | Common Chart Indicators | Learn Forex Trading - the first entry in the table says:

[I]Cover and go long when daily closing price crosses below lower band

Cover and [B]go short[/B] when daily closing price [B]crosses above upper band[/B][/I]

So, that doesn’t (in my mind) tie up with the first statement. So my question is, have I misunderstood or is this a typo?

Any help gratefully received, thanks.

Pete.

No, it’s not a typo. They are talking about two different strategies based on two different sets of market conditions and how to use an indicator that measures standard deviations.

First, remember this: Periods of low volatility lead to periods of high volatility and vice versa.

The first strategy mentioned in the BP school is a Bollinger Band breakout. When the upper and lower bands are close together it signifies a period of low volatility. When price breaks through one of the bands (going more than 2 standard deviations from the center line) you should expect price to continue in that direction as it may be the beginning of a period of high volatility.

The second strategy is for when it is NOT a period of low volatility and the bands are rather far apart and the market is ranging a bit. Then the Bollinger Bands notify you when price has reached an extreme for that particular market condition by exceeding 2 standard deviations and you can expect a reversion to the mean.

handlep,

Using Bolls Bands can be tricky, I would suggest you read John Bollinger’s book “Bollinger on Bollinger Bands” before using them trading with real money.

Unfortunately a lot of the information you find on the internet on the bolls bands is misleading. They can be a valuable tool but only when you use them correctly.

Hi Gents, many thanks for your responses.

d-pip, I wasn’t actually going to use them, rather I was just confused over what I thought were conflicting messages.

John, OK thanks, I think the bit I was missing was that the two descriptions were about two different conditions.

Thanks again both, Pete.

John explained it best, it is two different strategies and market conditions. The breakout is best if the bands have tightened and you are hoping to catch the beginning of a trend but the other example is more a counter trend strategy where you use the signal from the BB to go against the current trend.

Yes, the BP school didn’t really make the distinctions and just tossed the strategy descriptions out there.