British Pound Technical Outlook

We are treating the drop from 2.0396 as a leading diagonal (wave 1 of C within the A-B-C decline from 2.1160). Under this interpretation, the GBPUSD rally from 1.9599 is wave 2 within the 5 wave drop (wave C) from 2.0396.

However, the decline from 2.0025 is choppy and may be a correction. Until proven wrong (which requires a rally through 1.9909), we are sticking with the bearish bias. A resistance line from mid-March has held and keeps bears in control.