I didn’t want to start a new thread, but really couldn’t find one that related to my topic. I did find the one on share your fxbook, but there were no answers to my questions. Nor did I want to just hijack someone’s ongoing exchanges.
Since this forum is about Holy Grails and Trading Systems, especially free, I thought it would be appropriate here. I expect this one to be short-lived and I don’t expect a lot of contributions beyond my getting some basic thinking squared away which may also be helpful to others. I will certainly appreciate input from any number of more experienced and smarter traders than myself.
My question is whether myfxbook can be trusted or is it subject to manipulation. If I see an fxbook showing 15,000% growth, 18% max drawdown, on a real account, with 1:100 leverage, from early November 2011 until now, verified privileges and track record, can I believe that? Or, has someone found a way to falsify results? More modestly, from a current poster on this site, a 204% gain since April 10, this year, 27% drawdown, demo account, 1:500, verified privileges and track record. Are these statistics trustworthy and out of reach of those who would rig them? If fxbook can be manipulated, what I say from here is moot. If fxbook is essentially inviolable, we may be underutilizing a most valuable tool.
It does appear that most traders trust this information. Many presentations begin by citing the fxbook as scripture and going from there to further convince us to buy or buy into their trading method. From a personal view, I know I would be much more willing to actually purchase something or invest the time to pursue a lengthy thread if someone started with some verifiable evidence of trading competence.
If fxbook can be trusted, this is a way to avoid a lot of dead ends and gurus who just want to blow smoke for whatever reasons. Start by showing me what you’ve done or start now so I can check in from time to time and see how you’re getting on. Wouldn’t this be the way to separate the talkers from the doers?
This and other similar sites have literally thousands upon thousands of methods, systems, ea’s, indi’s, ideas, etc. Most of them are in the back closets of the forums, never accessed or referred to again. The current thread list shows only the latest hot topics. Are we to conclude that there is nothing of value in all that previous work? How could we know unless someone took time to apply the constructs to actual trading and showed us the result? How do we know any of the current topics are worth pursuing?
One judgment I have most certainly already drawn. Maybe you will show me why fxbook can’t be trusted. If so, maybe you can show me some other ways I might find evidence that one who purports to be a trader actually knows something about trading, someone I would be interested in learning from. If one is not making some kind of effort to show results, I am left with the conclusion that they don’t have any to show.