I make a big bet on the FOMC meeting dragging the dollar down. So I take up long positions in the GBP/USD and the NZD/USD and made about $1000 with my $2000 account. But I lost all betting that the USD/JPY would make a 50% retracement. It eventually did but my stop loss was triggered before it happened.
I’m frustrated that scalping is not going as well as I want it to and it seems at best a 5%-10% edge per month is possible, and that’s only achievable by the top 5% of traders.
I noticed that if you had bought USD/JPY last year at 77.00 you’d be up around 2000 pips. Which would be a gain of 100%-1000%+ depending on how much leverage you use.
Now how many scalpers can make 100%-1000% a year?
Despite losing all my profits today I did get a chance to enter at 97.85 later on and take a sizable position of 37,000 units.
Is it possible to hold this position for a year or more as long as the price never drops below 97.85? My broker is Oanda.
I believe the USD will gain over the JPY over the long run because both countries are employing QE but America has a fundamentally stronger position because of Geography, Demographics, and it’s wealth in natural resources.
Of course I’m going to ask my Broker. But I just want to get validation from an outside source.