Canadian Dollar Technical Outlook

I wrote the last few days that “5 waves down from 1.2510 are probably complete so a correction, back to at least 1.1768 (former 4th wave price extreme) is expected. As the correction plays out this week, I’ll look to identify the top.” A top may be in place as the rally from 1.1475 is overlapping (corrective) and the USDCAD reversed from the former 4th wave extreme (an Elliott guideline). However, given that the rally from 1.1475 is probable a 4th wave, a larger correction is possible. 4th waves are often drawn out affairs (complex).