Also - when you make areal money trade, you might find it educational to do the exact reverse at the same time - in “Demo” - just to see how it works out
[EDit - calm down Ben - It IS OK - For you to STOP now and revert to DEMO Account - Your money is important. Nobody here will think less of you for posting “Demo” trades - Well IF they do - I’ll THUMP em’
Thanks, falstaff If it goes down to $210
I’ll definitely trade demo for another two weeks to compare the difference in attitude.
Also, practicing my unsure strategies on demo wouldn’t be a bad idea, especially news and day trading. I’ll leave my swing trade on my real account.
I am more serious when it comes to my own money and put more emphasis in learning. It’s money I can comfortably lose, however, if I want to be successful, every cent matters to me . I’ll hustle for every one cent
Also, I know that if I keep honing my skills in trading, the better I will get. These failed trade ideas will mean nothing in a year or two anyways. They’re only $1 or $2 dollar mistakes lol, gotta keep positive. Keep working on my risk management that suits my trading style, if I do demo, I won’t be working on my actual risk management requirements.
If it gets bad this week, I’ll practice on demo. Which will motivate me to avoid because I dont want to slow down my progress in learning and being serious.
The US DXY is showing slight strength and decided that I will bet against the major economies for today and consider my swing trade for USDJPY on a better day.
My focus is in distributing my risk depending on the probability of success, therefore, I have arranged my position accordingly to my intuition of probability of success. I will probably need to keep tally on the performance of each trade after next week, creating a trade performance journal.
I took a day trade based on the likelihood of the US DXY correcting temporary, I lowered my position sized and plan on closing this trade before the economic event of GBP and EURO.
This will happen in 2 hours roughly and if the economic events show confusing statements, I’ll choose the currency that will have the highest probability of success, which will be linked with the correction of the US DXY and bad economic data from either economies.
Currently my trade is NZDUSD (day trade position size 300, risk amount- S/L 0.17%, T/P 0.23%):
I took a Swing trade based on technicals alone and will be holding it for 3-5 days.
I based my decision on the recent strong downtrend and price action showing slight bullish move on the GBP with stochastic oversold and MA looking to head upwards.
This time I placed my T/P and S/L according to psychological areas and support/resistance levels, so my probability of hitting the area is higher. I put a sell order, knowing this area is an area of resistance.
I can see why some news can be irrelevant when the trend is stronger than the actual news, but I do think fundamental reading and economic events are still essential to know and need to be implemented while trading. Anyways, at the moment, Market sentiment and recognising the trend is probably more relevant on a higher time frame.
With very positive news on the NZD “trade balance,” there was no unusual moves on the economic event, where atm, all the major economies were bearish against the USD, which makes the news lose its potential to change the currency strength much. If most of the economies were bullish against the USD, then bullish moves on the news would of been rewarded.
IMO, the rally of GBP from the previous bull of all major currencies against USD was over did. Hence why, I took another trade against the GBP with CAD, it might not have the best fundamentals but it had the best technical base trade. Fundamentally, Oil is going down also, which moves the CAD in close correlation. But overall, Oil prices ain’t that low, which will make it slightly a stronger economy than UK.
I profit $2.81 from my GBP/USD trade and entered a new trade on EUR/CAD. This is based on Oil price in a recovery zone, EUR overreaction of last fundamental movements with JPY. Also, Stochastic oversold with the higher timeframe as 1D and 1W.
Hi Ben, just a suggestion… you could use a WMA (22) Coloured Slope Indicator which will simplify market direction over the 2 MA’s you have now, just makes the chart clearer and may give a more defined market direction.