@Ben1987
Hi bro. Bit concerned over this statement. Strength is something gauged over months. Daily we are subject to the whims and whins of the market as they forward run order books balancing inventory. Looking at monthly charts it’s clear that the USD is weak and weakening. However it is reaching an important support zone. Thus it will react to speculation to create an illusion of strengthening.
Now, whether this starts bullish run on the USD time will only tell. But it will be played out over weeks and months. Our job as day traders is not to care. But to react to the here and now of the marketplace, get in and get out. Best of luck.
@Trendswithbenefits. Not interested in arguing with you. Just using the example and offering an alternate pov. Looks like the sarcasm crew still doesn’t want to play with you.
Every post from you Bob is an argument with someone…its the only reason you’ve posted directly after me…
If I say it’s black … you’ll say it’s white and visa versa… it’s just you Bob…
Not many of you Muppets left…left you to self combust with other members…
For some odd reason, I did some hectic overtrading last night, hence why I changed my position size to 500 today. I should forbid myself from journalising and trading at the same time, it affects my trading decision and makes me do spasm trading. I will display my trade plan rather than trade and journalise at the same time lol.
Current capital - (don’t deviate from the trade plan)
I have a position open for the AUDUSD showing signs that the USD is strengthening temporary and is correcting itself from the previous bullish run from all major economies.
AUD/USD day chart - position size 500 - T/P 60 S/L 30
the upcoming news is from JPY at 3:30 pm SYD AUS time, hence why I have no position open for the YEN, I plan on closing my trade before the 7 pm SYD AUS time because news of EURO is coming out and will affect my trades.
As you can see, I do not use technical indicators but economic events and market trend to base my decisions. If I do poorly, I adjust my risk management according to my capital.
My trade idea at 7 pm is to close my AUDUSD trade.
Also, see whether the economic event is positive or negative and if it goes against the trend use it as a news retracement to continue the USD retracement, vice versa. Consider whether GBP - Average Earnings Index 3m/y is going to change support and resistance levels on the higher timeframe.
I might disregard trading the EURO news because GBP news has a very likely chance of changing support and resistance levels on the higher timeframe and focus on my GBP trade at 8:30 pm to see the new direction for my future trades.
Well, I made some mistakes last night and I need to be more patience in my trading which is probably going to be the hardest thing for me to develop, but good things take time.
watching the price action, take profit psychological points, bull exhaustion on the USD, high timeframe candlestick pattern close to complete. I will make a trade against the USD and believe its a high probability trade and all major economies will gain strength today. This trade will be held until 8:30pm.
once March starts, I’ll be aiming for a compound capital return of 3% a month, which in turn will turn into 42.58% yearly return. Whether I achieve this will be a question mark, but at least I have a target now for my year which is 40% since two months have passed roughly.
Hmm, trendwithbenefits mentioned Dennis 3450 and I probably have a similar style, but I do not use technical analysis tbh as you can see. I base all of my trades solely on price action, economic events and market trend.
If I follow someone else’s style, it’ll probably affect my trading.
I am a scalper, Indra day and day trader, which I have noticed. Hence why it is difficult for me to journalise my trading compare to swing trading.
Today, pretty clueless where the market is heading, but I know the market agrees that major economies against the US should be relatively stronger and should pick up next week. Since its Friday, the price should be consolidating for most of the day. I went long on the NZD and lost $0.58. But I think the market is indecisive also whether it should be up or down, making my current trade a high probability trade. Therefore I took another long position but at a better entry point on NZD.
I was doing multiple timeframe analysis and noticed on the day chart that potentially NZDUSD could complete the bottom of the previous close yesterday, so I closed it. I lost $0.49 in that trade.
The good thing I exited both trades when it didn’t go my way.
Since it completed yesterdays previous bottom, on the NZDUSD chart, is it time for the currencies to pick up strength against the USD today? Is the biggest question for me.
Do I want to double my risk exposure against the USD on the uncertainty of the trend, I will wait patiently to clarify my thoughts and only have one trade open, which will be the NZDUSD again for the third time but in a better position .
If NZDUSD breaks past previous days lows, then I will know that the USD will continue to strengthen for the rest of the day. Exit my NZDUSD trade and probably open two positions for the USD. It’ll probably be the USD/JPY long and some other currency.
Sorry for the delay, needed some time to work on myself.
Ok, after some self-actualisation and soul-searching , I wrote a trade system and a trade plan that I want to post for others to use or help me make improvements, whichever works. This trade system is not finalised yet, but if it helps someone get new ideas for their trade system, that’ll be great. I couldn’t upload the whole document, so I’ll just show step-by-step guide with my visual aid for decision making.
Btw the profit target is not updated, but whatever you get the point.
I did end up losing more, however, all was not lost as I gained valuable experience to actually see which trade strategies would make sense or not. I also deposited an extra $320 on top.
As you described earlier about economic events, unfortunately, I came to the same conclusion and you do get mixed results trying to trade them. But the attempt was not futile but was helpful for me to recognize a lot of things about trading. For my swing trading decisions, I completely ignore economic events, however, with my day trading, I do not.
I try to swing trade cross currencies and leave the Major pairs for my day or scalping trading.
Now I am recognising my GBP and EUR is positively correlated.