Daily Forex Market by FXCC

alayoua · February 26, 2013, 5:29am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Feb 26 2013

Italians lead the country to ungovernability
Italians are leading the country to the ungovernability, and after a neck-to-neck battle to take control over the lower house between the center-left Bersani’s party and Mr. Grillo’s five star movement, with the first claiming a marginal victory, the big problem now lies in the advance from the center-right Berlusconi’s group and Mr- Grillo in the Senate, where there is no majority by any party. According to the latest reports, which show a 99.9% ballot scrutiny conducted, Italy’s center-left Bersani won by a slim margin the lower house while the Senate is confirmed to be deadlocked. The failure to build a coalition between the center-left Bersani’s party in both chambers, will now make any austerity-led implementation laws taken by the uncertain government a slow and difficult process.

As the Wall Street Journal notes: “The result is that Italy may, over the next few weeks, try to form a temporary government backed by a grand coalition of left and right-wing forces with the sole aim of changing Italy’s electoral law and then going to a vote again as early as summer. It isn’t clear who would run such a short-lived government.” Overall, what the results show is a fragmented Italian society, where almost 1/4 of the population failed to turn up at the polling stations, but most worrisome of all is the situation in the Senate, where even with Monti’s support, neither Bersani’s nor Grillo’s party will be able to pass key laws it appears, thus heightening fears over the austeritarian path Italy had undertaken under Monti’s technocrat government being no longer viable. A temporary hung parliament through a grand coalition government? Possibility of a second election being called? At the moment the landscape in Italian politics is extremely uncertain. What appears to have gained clarity though, is that Italian bonds are likely to be dumped until the political mess clears up.
Forex Technical & Market Analysis: February 26 2013

Forex Economic Calendar
2013-02-26 10:00 GMT | United Kingdom. Inflation Report Hearings
2013-02-26 14:00 GMT | United States. Housing Price Index (MoM) (Dec)
2013-02-26 15:00 GMT | United States. Fed’s Bernanke testifies
2013-02-26 21:45 GMT | New Zeland. Trade Balance (MoM) (Jan)

Forex News
2013-02-26 05:36 GMT | EUR/USD to bounce on Bernanke testimony – Westpac
2013-02-26 05:20 GMT | GBP/USD above 1.52, against all
2013-02-26 04:45 GMT | EUR/JPY sellers win 38.2% fib battle; breaks sub 120.00 again
2013-02-26 04:08 GMT | USD/JPY returns to the downside below key 92.20

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

EURUSD

HIGH: 1.30889 | LOW: 1.30384 | BID: 1.30558 | ASK: 1.30567 | CHANGE: -0.04% | TIME: 09 : 00:22

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Down
TREND CONDITION: Down Trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS – Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Instrument stabilized after the losses provided yesterday and we expect neutral formation development prior further volatility increase. Intraday bull’s power might activate when the pair approach resistance level at 1.3092 (R1). Our next target is seen at 1.3118 (R2) and 1.3143 (R3). Downwards scenario: Penetration below the local low at 1.3036 (S1) might maintain a negative tone and prolong downtrend formation. Price devaluation would then be targeting our supportive measures at 1.3011 (S2) and 1.2985 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3092, 1.3118, 1.3143
Support Levels: 1.3036, 1.3011, 1.2985

GBPUSD

HIGH: 1.52188 | LOW: 1.51404 | BID: 1.51855 | ASK: 1.51864 | CHANGE: 0.17% | TIME: 09 : 00:23

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Up
TREND CONDITION: Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: Medium

Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum, turning intraday bias to the positive side. Next resistance ahead is seen at 1.5220 (R1). Upwards penetration above it might drive market price towards to initial targets at 1.5253 (R2) and 1.5284 (R3). Downwards scenario: Opportunities for bearish oriented traders are seen below the important support level at 1.5153 (S1). Loss here would open door for the downtrend expansion towards to interim targets at 1.5118 (S2) and 1.5081 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5220, 1.5253, 1.5284
Support Levels: 1.5153, 1.5118, 1.5081

USDJPY

HIGH: 92.745 | LOW: 91.744 | BID: 91.791 | ASK: 91.798 | CHANGE: -0.03% | TIME: 09 : 00:24

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Down
TREND CONDITION: Down Trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: Medium

Upwards scenario: Instrument has over performed yesterday, being unable to made significant correction. Our focus returned to the resistive barrier at 92.59 (R1). If the price manages to surpass it, market participants have a chance to establish recovery formation towards to next targets at 92.89 (R2) and 93.18 (R3). Downwards scenario: Markets simply ignored all supportive measures yesterday and formed clear bearish bias. Risk of further decline is seen below the key support level at 91.74 (S1). Break here is required to enable lower target at 91.47 (S2) and 91.18 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 92.59, 92.89, 93.18
Support Levels: 91.74, 91.47, 91.18

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Best Forex Trading Platform | Forex ECN Broker | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · February 27, 2013, 4:58am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Feb 27 2013

Europe concerned with Italian election outcome
The post election stalemate in Italy, where no political group secured a clear majority in parliament, is causing concerns among European officials and a stir in the markets. Italian FTSE MIB fell by 4.60% on Tuesday while the yield on the country’s benchmark 10-year bond rose to 4.79%. Throughout the day various European officials have been expressing their concerns with the outcome of the elections. German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle stressed the need for a strong government in Italy, which would carry on with the reform plan initiated by Mario Monti. European Commission spokesman Olivier Bailly said that boosting growth and creating jobs should be the most important points on the new government’s agenda.

Spanish Minister of Economy Luis de Guindos said in the European morning that he hopes Italy would continue introducing measures to fight the crisis, while his French counterpart Pierre Moscovici expressed hope that Pier Luigi Bersani would form a government inclined to implement further reforms. Also BoE MPC members, speaking before the UK Treasury Committee, emphasized that a prolonged political instability in Italy might considerably harm the Eurozone economy.
Forex Technical & Market Analysis: February 27 2013

Forex Economic Calendar
2013-02-27 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q4)
2013-02-27 13:30 GMT | United States. US Durable Goods Orders (Jan)
2013-02-27 15:00 GMT | United States. Fed’s Bernanke testifies
2013-02-27 17:30 GMT | E.M.U. ECB President Draghi’s Speech

Forex News
2013-02-27 05:39 GMT | Euro speaks Italian these days, capire?
2013-02-27 05:18 GMT | GBP/USD threatening 1.5100 support
2013-02-27 04:41 GMT | USD/JPY Q2 target at 97 – JPM
2013-02-27 02:58 GMT | Gold higher on Bernanke testimony

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

EURUSD

HIGH: 1.30738 | LOW: 1.30413 | BID: 1.30661 | ASK: 1.30670 | CHANGE: 0.03% | TIME: 08 : 01:04

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Down
TREND CONDITION: Sideways
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: High

MARKET ANALYSIS – Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Instrument consolidates after the initial price cut on the 25-02-2013. Our reference point for the upside penetration locates at 1.3092 (R1). Clearance here is required to enable higher targets at 1.3134 (R2) and 1.3173 (R3). Downwards scenario: Further downside extension is limited now to the important resistance level at 1.3036 (S1). Below here we see potential for the price acceleration towards to next initial targets at 1.2997 (S2) and 1.2957 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3092, 1.3134, 1.3173
Support Levels: 1.3036, 1.2997, 1.2957

GBPUSD

HIGH: 1.51357 | LOW: 1.50804 | BID: 1.50831 | ASK: 1.50843 | CHANGE: -0.27% | TIME: 08 : 01:05

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Down
TREND CONDITION: Down Trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: High

Upwards scenario: Corrective action might take a place above the next resistance at 1.5139 (R1). Break here would open route towards to higher target at 1.5180 (R2) and any further price advance would then be limited to 1.5220 (R3). Downwards scenario: Recently instrument tested negative side however it might face next hurdle on the important technical level -1.5072 (S1). Break here is required to open road for the downtrend resuming. Our intraday targets for today are 1.5032 (S2) and 1.4995 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5139, 1.5180, 1.5220
Support Levels: 1.5072, 1.5032, 1.4995

USDJPY

HIGH: 92.261 | LOW: 91.627 | BID: 91.731 | ASK: 91.737 | CHANGE: -0.26% | TIME: 08 : 01:07

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Down
TREND CONDITION: Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: High

Upwards scenario: Price finally stabilized after the initial market decline and currently is looking for priority in direction. Break above the fractal level at 92.27 (R1) is required to generate recovery action and expose our intraday targets at 92.64 (R2) and 93.03 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the next resistance level our medium-term outlook would be negative. Next on tap is support level at 91.39 (S1). Instrument might face next hurdle at 91.00 (S2) and 90.59 (S3) in case of positive retest here.

Resistance Levels: 92.27, 92.64, 93.03
Support Levels: 91.39, 91.00, 90.59

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Trading Software | ECN Trade Account | Forex Course | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · February 28, 2013, 4:20am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Feb 28 2013

Moody’s: Euro zone debt markets vulnerable to further shocks
Moody’s rating agency continues to warn Euro area countries that debt markets in the region remain vulnerable to further shocks to investor confidence. Find below the main quotes from the official communique: “Market volatility in recent days proves that the euro area sovereign debt markets remain vulnerable to further shocks to investor confidence because of the limited fundamental changes in euro area countries’ economic indicators, debt trajectories or institutional reforms since last July.”

“The growth outlook for peripheral countries is still weak, and progress in reversing debt trajectories remains slow and halting. Political and implementation risks remain significant, with little evidence of cohesion among policymakers and a rising risk of complacency setting in as market pressure for reforms subsides. And while the introduction of the Outright Monetary Transaction facility by the European Central Bank has successfully reversed the rise in sovereign debt yields for now, the potential for further shocks remains, for example with investors in Greece © and Cyprus (Caa3, negative) still exposed to heightened default risk.” “Overall, for most euro area countries, the balance of macroeconomic, political and implementation risks as well as the ‘event’ risks of further shocks to confidence remain firmly to the downside, supporting Moody’s negative outlooks for most euro area sovereign ratings.”
Forex Technical & Market Analysis: February 28 2013

Forex Economic Calendar
2013-02-28 08:55 GMT | Germany. DE Unemployment Change (Feb)
2013-02-28 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. Consumer Price Index – Core (YoY) (Jan)
2013-02-28 13:00 GMT | Germany. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2013-02-28 13:30 GMT | United States. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4)

Forex News
2013-02-27 13:52 GMT | USD/JPY falls after US durable goods orders
2013-02-27 13:50 GMT | EUR/USD back to 1.3085/90 after US data
2013-02-27 13:31 GMT | US: Durable Good Orders fell 5.2% in January
2013-02-27 12:38 GMT | GBP/USD easing from 1.5140 zone

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

EURUSD

HIGH: 1.31615 | LOW: 1.31284 | BID: 1.31468 | ASK: 1.31476 | CHANGE: 0.09% | TIME: 08 : 43:26

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Up
TREND CONDITION: Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: High

MARKET ANALYSIS – Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Potential is seen for break above the resistance at 1.3163 (R1) today and develop some recovery from the initial downtrend formation. In such scenario we would suggest next target at 1.3189 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to 1.3214 (R3). Downwards scenario: Although we do expect some pull-backs on the downside below our next support level at 1.3132 (S1). Short-term momentum on the negative side might open the way towards to immediate supports at 1.3104 (S2) and 1.3076 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3163, 1.3189, 1.3214
Support Levels: 1.3132, 1.3104, 1.3076

GBPUSD

HIGH: 1.51769 | LOW: 1.51589 | BID: 1.51683 | ASK: 1.51693 | CHANGE: 0.08% | TIME: 08 : 43:27

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Neutral
TREND CONDITION: Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: High

Upwards scenario: Market sentiment has improved for the bullish oriented traders. Fresh high formed today offers next resistance level at 1.5177 (R1). In case of market appreciation above that level our focus would then be shifted to the higher targets at 1.5219 (R2) and 1.5258 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of market weakening is seen below the key support at 1.5119 (S1). Loss here is required to allow further declines and expose our support barrier at 1.5080 (S3) en route towards to final target for today at 1.5039 (S3)

Resistance Levels: 1.5177, 1.5219, 1.5258
Support Levels: 1.5119, 1.5080, 1.5039

USDJPY

HIGH: 92.668 | LOW: 92.157 | BID: 92.376 | ASK: 92.379 | CHANGE: 0.18% | TIME: 08 : 43:28

OUTLOOK SUMMARY: Up
TREND CONDITION: Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT: Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY: Medium

Upwards scenario: Market having failed to establish directional movement yesterday. Possible price strengthening might arise above the next resistance level at 92.66 (R1). Next interim target holds at 92.97 (R2) en route toward to our major aim at 93.27 (R3). Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support at 92.15 (S1) is liable to put more downward pressure on the instrument in the near-term perspective. As a result our supportive means at 91.85 (S2) and 91.54 (S3) might be triggered.

Resistance Levels: 92.66, 92.97, 93.27
Support Levels: 92.15, 91.85, 91.54

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )[/B]

alayoua · March 1, 2013, 5:59am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 01 2013

It’s official, the US sequestration kicks in

The sequestration, for those unfamiliar with the term, is defined by the US Federal Budget as “the practice of using mandatory spending cuts in the federal budget if the cost of running the government exceeds either an arbitrary amount or the the gross revenue it brings during the fiscal year.” These automatic federal budget cuts are officially kicking in within as we write these lines, after a final bill presented by Democrats and Republicans in the Senate failed to win enough support. What this means is that the US will now go through an across-the-board spending cuts in the face of annual budget deficits, which are thought to amount over $85 billion in the current fiscal year. “Assuming that every dollar cut in spending reduces GDP by a dollar, the sequester will shave US growth by around 0.5% this year” comments Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at BBH.

Marc adds: “The sequester itself is a bit of a farce in the sense that it was never intended to be enacted. It was purposely designed to be absurd to give the political class incentive to find an alternative.” The analyst suspects that what is behind the ‘sequester’ is the fact that main political players did their calculations concluding is the best worst alternative. Obama crossed the wires later Thursday, saying that "tomorrow I will bring together leaders from both parties to discuss a path forward; as a nation, we can’t keep lurching from one manufactured crisis to another. Middle-class families can’t keep paying the price for dysfunction in Washington.” Kathy Lien, co-founder at BK Asset Management, notes: “We’ve been down this road before with the debt ceiling and survived.” But as Kathy adds, here comes the kicker: “The Obama Administration has another 30 days to come up with a deal to cancel and avoid the cuts. The more important deadline is March 27th, when the government runs out of money and will be forced to shutdown if no additional measures are taken.” Investors are holding out hope for a last minute deal, Kathy says.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/01032013/

Forex Economic Calendar
2013-03-01 09:28 GMT | United Kingdom. Markit Manufacturing PMI (Feb)
2013-03-01 13:30 GMT | United States. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Prices Index (YoY) (Jan)
2013-03-01 13:30 GMT | Canada. Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Dec)
2013-03-01 13:58 GMT | United States. Markit Manufacturing PMI (Feb)

Forex News
2013-03-01 05:57 GMT | GBP/USD above 1.5150; slows down avrg vol
2013-03-01 05:34 GMT | EUR/USD continues sequestered by sellers
2013-03-01 03:50 GMT | Gold below $1590 as ‘sequester’ looms
2013-03-01 02:55 GMT | AUD/USD little moved around 1.0220

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30836 LOW 1.30532 BID 1.30775 ASK 1.30783 CHANGE 0.17% TIME 08 : 02:53

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Price get momentum on the downside yesterday however we see potential to overcome our next resistance level at 1.3094 (R1). Clearance here might pull the pair towards to eventual targets at 1.3121 (R2) and 1.3146 (R3). Downwards scenario: Near term outlook is negative for the EURUSD as the price setup is taken a form of a downside formation. Expected progress below the initial support level at 1.3051 (S1) might expose intraday targets at 1.3024 (S2) and then 1.2996 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3094, 1.3121, 1.3146
Support Levels: 1.3051, 1.3024, 1.2996

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.51824 LOW 1.51513 BID 1.51811 ASK 1.51824 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08 : 02:54

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Sideways formation remains in power today. Next on tap is resistance level at 1.5198 (R1). Clearance here might open a route towards to our initial target at 1.5227 (R2) and then further price appreciation would be limited to last resistance at 1.5258 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, yesterday lows at 1.5148 (S1) offers an important technical level. Clearance here is required to keep the downside extension intact and expose our lower targets at 1.5118 (S2) and 1.5086 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5198, 1.5227, 1.5258
Support Levels: 1.5148, 1.5118, 1.5086

USDJPY :
HIGH 92.731 LOW 92.466 BID 92.536 ASK 92.541 CHANGE -0.03% TIME 08 : 02:55

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Ascending uptrend formation remains in power today. Next resistance is seen at 92.73 (R1). If the pair manages to successfully climb above it, we expect next targets to be exposed at 92.97 (R2) and 93.20 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other side, price depreciation below the supportive barrier at 92.45 (S1) might provide sufficient space for the recovery action. In such case e we would suggest next intraday targets at 92.23 (R2) and then 92.01 (R3).

Resistance Levels: 92.73, 92.97, 93.20
Support Levels: 92.45, 92.23, 92.01

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Exchange Market FX Brokers | Automated Forex Trading System | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 4, 2013, 5:16am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 04 2013

BoJ Kuroda will do whatever it takes to end deflation

The confirmation hearing for Mr. Kuroda as the new chief of the BOJ is taking place in the parliament, and the first comments are crossing the wires. Among the standout headlines, he said that monetary policy will be deployed to conquer deflation, adding that BOJ has not bought enough assets to end deflation, also saying that the BOJ independence is secured by law. Lastly, there was some notorious comments on his assertiveness to implement policies, although with little effects to the Yen so far, as he also said - ‘a la Draghi Japanese version’ - that he will do whatever it takes to end deflation.

He also noted: “The BOJ must clearly send out the message, through communication with markets, that it will do whatever it can to beat deflation.” On the different options to ease policy further, BoJ Kuroda said the most natural way is to increase JBG purchases, buying longer-dated JGBs, although additional market behaviour inspection on potential repercussions should first be examined. He continued saying that the BOJ must expand economic stimulus both through assets volume increases and the type of assets it buys. Also that he might consider a new era of open-ended asset buying soon. To sum up, his comments sound very much as a recipe for disappointment - expectations being set very high - unless the bank starts executing an aggressive balance sheet expansion through domestic long term bond purchases and other risky assets in the coming months. If next April 4 BoJ meeting sees no much changes in policies, there might be more risk of Yen appreciation.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/04032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
N/A E.M.U. Eurogroup meeting
2013-03-04 09:30 GMT United Kingdom. PMI Construction (Feb)
2013-03-04 10:00 GMT E.M.U. Producer Price Index (YoY) (Jan)
2013-03-04 13:00 GMT United States. FOMC Member Yellen Speech

Forex News :
2013-03-04 05:31 GMT GBP/USD below 1.5050 ahead of UK Construction PMI
2013-03-04 05:20 GMT EUR/USD wrestling around 1.30
2013-03-04 04:54 GMT AUD/USD breaks down to 8-month lows
2013-03-04 04:22 GMT Kiwi prints fresh 2013 lows

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30309 LOW 1.30017 BID 1.30109 ASK 1.30117 CHANGE -0.04% TIME 08 : 18:34

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: We expect next barrier on the upside at 1.3046 (R1). Surpassing of this level might enable our initial target at 1.3080 (R2) and any further gains would then be limited to last resistive structure at 1.3114 (R3). Downwards scenario: Next support level locates at 1.2965 (S1), breaching of this level would provide a signal of possible price regress towards to next target at 1.2933 (S2). If the price manages to overcome it, our final support for today could be found at 1.2900 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3046, 1.3080, 1.3114
Support Levels: 1.2965, 1.2933, 1.2900

GBPUSD :

HIGH 1.50437 LOW 1.50222 BID 1.50325 ASK 1.50338 CHANGE -0.01% TIME 08 : 18:35

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Our technical outlook for the medium-term perspective remains bearish oriented however a break through next resistance level at 1.5049 (R1) would enable corrective action and might expose our next targets at 1.5087 (R2) and 1.5125 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: While instrument trades below the next resistance level, our medium-term bias forecast would be negative. Penetration below the support level at 1.4984 (S1) might open the way towards to lower targets at 1.4946 (S2) and 1.4909 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5049, 1.5087, 1.5125
Support Levels: 1.4984, 1.4946, 1.4909

USDJPY :

HIGH 93.723 LOW 93.284 BID 93.416 ASK 93.421 CHANGE -0.13% TIME 08 : 18:36

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Hourly chart consensus remains in play. Buyers might face next challenge at 93.72 (R1). Break here is required to establish bullish pressure, targeting 93.92 (R2) en route towards to last resistance for today at 94.12 (R3). Downwards scenario: The downside trend evolvement is limited now to the next support level at 93.27 (S1), break here would put near-term bulls on hold. Marks at 93.07 (S2) and 92.86 (S3) is the next supportive bastion on the way.

Resistance Levels: 93.72, 93.92, 94.12
Support Levels: 93.27, 93.07, 92.86

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Blog | Best ECN Forex Brokers | Currency Converter | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 5, 2013, 5:43am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 05 2013

Cyprus rescue deal nears

Cyprus is well on track to be bailed out by the Euro-zone, after the bloc’s finance ministers made a determined pledge this Monday to extend the much-needed final assistance to the cash-strapped country. The decision should be made official by the end of March, with details on how it will be rescued still unknown. The Eurogroup welcomed the new Cypriot Finance Minister, Michalis Sarris, and the information he provided on the situation in Cyprus following the presidential elections and on the policy intentions of the new government. The first exchanges with the new Cypriot government have been useful. With the new government now in place in Cyprus, the Eurogroup is confident that a swift conclusion of the negotiations towards a Memorandum of Understanding can be reached.

The Eurogroup welcomes the commitment of President Anastasiades, reiterated by Minister Sarris, to closely cooperate with Cyprus’s European partners towards the earliest possible completion of the loan agreement. For its part, the Eurogroup reiterates its readiness to assist Cyprus in its adjustment effort, including of its banking sector, in order to bring the economy to a sustainable growth path with sound public finances and to safeguard financial stability. The Eurogroup has been informed that the preparatory work for concluding a Memorandum of Understanding is advanced and that the new government has agreed on an independent evaluation of the implementation of the anti-money laundering framework in Cypriot financial institutions. The Eurogroup called on the international institutions and Cyprus to accelerate their work on the building blocks of a programme, and agreed to target political endorsement of the programme around the second half of March. The Eurogroup will reconvene again in the near term in view of the progress of the discussions between the Cypriot authorities and the international institutions.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/05032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
N/A E.M.U. EcoFin Meeting
2013-03-05 09:28 GMT United Kingdom. Markit Services PMI (Feb)
2013-03-05 10:00 GMT E.M.U. Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan)
2013-03-05 15:00 GMT United States. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Feb)

Forex News :
2013-03-05 05:54 GMT USD/JPY breaks below 93.00
2013-03-05 05:40 GMT GBP/USD again quiet in Asia-Pacific above 1.51
2013-03-05 04:35 GMT EUR/USD at peace with 1.30 vicinity
2013-03-05 03:41 GMT AUD/USD higher post-RBA on hold

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30462 LOW 1.3018 BID 1.30409 ASK 1.30415 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08 : 06:44

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Instrument formed fresh high of the day recently however retail trades sentiment shifted to the bearish side. Further market rise is limited now to the key barrier at 1.3052 (R1), clearance here is required to enable next resistances at 1.3086 (R2) and last one at 1.3118 (R3). Downwards scenario: Next challenge on the downside is seen at 1.3012 (S1). Breakthrough of this level would open way for a stronger expansion and could possibly trigger our initial targets at 1.2977 (S2) and 1.2941 (R3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.3052, 1.3086, 1.3118
Support Levels: 1.3012, 1.2977, 1.2941

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.51398 LOW 1.51041 BID 1.51217 ASK 1.51230 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08 : 06:45

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Market tested positive side today and formed gradual ascending move. Next resistance in focus holds at 1.5140 (R1). If the break occur here we might see stronger move, targeting next attractive points at 1.5165 (R2) and 1.5190 (R3). Downwards scenario: Market decline below the support level at 1.5099 (S1) might change short-term technical picture and shift market sentiment to the bearish side. In such scenario we expect next targets to be exposed at 1.5070 (S2) and 1.5041 (S3)

Resistance Levels: 1.5140, 1.5165, 1.5190
Support Levels: 1.5099, 1.5070, 1.5041

USDJPY :
HIGH 93.537 LOW 92.913 BID 93.066 ASK 93.072 CHANGE -0.43% TIME 08 : 06:46

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Possibility of price progress is seen above the next resistance level at 93.28 (R1). Breakthrough here would suggest our interim target at 93.54 (R2) and then target at 93.80 (R3) acts as last supportive measure for today. Downwards scenario: The low of the day offers key supportive barrier at 92.89 (S1). Break here might provide sufficient momentum for the downside expansion later on today. Our initial support levels locates today at 92.63 (S2) and 92.37 (S3)

Resistance Levels: 93.28, 93.54, 93.80
Support Levels: 92.89, 92.63, 92.37

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( FX Central Clearing Ltd )[/B]

alayoua · March 6, 2013, 5:19am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 06 2013

Keep an eye on the oil market after Chavez’s death

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Following the breaking news of Venezuela’s president Hugo Chavez death, which has no direct impact on the currency market, traders should, nevertheless, keep an eye on the Oil market, as it may produce some volatility. Venezuelan Vice President Mr. Maduro is expected to win the elections and become Chavez’s successor. There was some incendiary comments from Maduro after the announcement of Chavez’s death, which Reuters reports: ”We have no doubt that commander Chavez was attacked with this illness,” Maduro said, repeating a charge first made by Chavez himself that the cancer was an attack by “imperialist” foes in the United States in league with domestic enemies.

“This report should be bullish for oil” says Eamonn Sheridan, editor at Forexlive. At the time of writing, US Oil futures are quoted at 90.83 after sharp fall off a double top from early February in the 98.00 vicinity. Venezuela enjoys the world’s largest oil reserves and the oil-related bonds being traded are of enormous size, suggesting that the oil community may go through a phase of hyper-sensitivity on any indications of political unrest in the country. As Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXstreet.com notes: “Although the news has little to do right now with the forex market, Venezuela is an oil producer, and therefore, we may see some wild action in oil and that could affect forex market.” She tips to keep an eye on this and its correlation with oil, “particularly at the European and the US opening” she said.
FXCC Market Update 06-03-2013

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-06 09:45 GMT | United Kingdom. BoE’s Governor King Speech
2013-03-06 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (Q4)
2013-03-06 15:00 GMT | Canada. BoC Interest Rate Decision (Mar 6)
2013-03-06 19:00 GMT | United States. Fed’s Beige Book

Forex News :
2013-03-06 01:18 GMT | USD/JPY pressing against 93.00
2013-03-06 00:45 GMT | AUD/USD above 1.0280 after Aus GDP
2013-03-06 00:19 GMT | EUR/JPY still capped below 122.00
2013-03-05 22:50 GMT | AUD/JPY pushing against 6-day highs ahead of Aus GDP

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30704 LOW 1.30421 BID 1.30683 ASK 1.30688 CHANGE 0.14% TIME 08:06:51

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Local high, formed today at 1.3070 (R1) is the key point for further uptrend formation on the medium-term perspective. Break here is required to validate next upcoming targets at 1.3090 (R2) and 1.3113 (R3). Downwards scenario: Immediate risk of further market decline is seen below the key support level at 1.3045 (S1). Loss here might downgrade currency rate towards to the next supportive means at 1.3022 (S2) and 1.3000 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.3070, 1.3090, 1.3113
Support Levels: 1.3045, 1.3022, 1.3000

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.51543 LOW 1.51236 BID 1.51441 ASK 1.51451 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08:06:52

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

Upwards scenario: Market sentiment is slightly improved during the Asian session however further appreciation needs to clear barrier at 1.5154 (R1) to enable our interim target at 1.5175 (R2) and then further gains would be limited to resistance at 1.5197 (R3). Downwards scenario: The downside formation might face next supportive barrier at 1.5129 (S1). Clearance here is required to open the way towards to our initial support at 1.5108 (S2) and any further price regress would then be limited to final support and 1.5087 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5154, 1.5175, 1.5197
Support Levels: 1.5129, 1.5108, 1.5087

USDJPY :
HIGH 93.38 LOW 92.995 BID 93.186 ASK 93.192 CHANGE -0.1% TIME 08 : 06:53

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Instrument stabilized below the next resistance level at 93.29 (R1). Penetration above it might encourage orders execution and drive market price towards to the next resistive means at 93.51 (R2) and 93.72 (R3). Downwards scenario: An important technical level is seen at 92.99 (S1). Market decline below this level might initiate bearish pressure and drive market price towards to our initial targets at 92.78 (S2) and 92.56 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 93.29, 93.51, 93.72
Support Levels: 92.99, 92.78, 92.56

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Account | Best ECN Forex Brokers | Forex Trading Systems | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 7, 2013, 6:00am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 07 2013

ECB moving closer to a cut; BoE eyeing additional QE

Economic data coming out of the Eurozone in recent months has been rather poor but even though the ECB has still limited room to cut rates, it is generally not expected to make this move at the upcoming meeting. The BoE´s monetary policy decision is the source of more speculation this month as the minutes from the last meeting revealed that three MCP members expressed their support for additional QE. Even though the majority of the analysts polled for the special forecast report expect the ECB to cut interest rates sometime this year, they rather do not see the central bank making this decision in March. “The markets are nervous about the recent elections results in Italy as well as about a possible QE decrease by the Fed so I do not think Mario would want to add fuel to the fire,” Adam Narczewski suggests, while others point also to the successful announcement of the OMT as a factor reducing the need for a cut. Only Steve Ruffley sees the ECB bringing “rates to 0.5%, in line with that of the BOE” on March 7, as “the economic horizon for the EU remains very treacherous.”

Attention will center on the ECB press conference following the interest rate announcement, during which president Mario Draghi might, in the opinion of Bill Hubard, “revise inflation projections to the downside.” He is also likely to “try and balance between the current economic situation which is quite depressing, and the optimism for growth in H2 2013, coming now from higher business confidence, mostly in Germany,” as Yohay Elam believes. The outcome of the BoE´s March monetary policy meeting is less clear for the experts as the minutes from the January meeting surprised with the information that three out of the nine MPC members (including the governor Mervyn King) voted in favor of an additional expansion of the asset purchase program by £25 billion to £400 billion. “The downgrade by Moody’s, together with the growing support for more QE and the lack of fiscal stimulus from the government will likely lead the MPC to action, even though the effects of QE on the economy are questionable,” Yohay Elam predicts, but the majority of the economists polled believe the expansion could be carried out later in the year.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/07032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-07 12:00 GMT | United Kingdom. BoE Interest Rate Decision (Mar 7)
2013-03-07 12:45 GMT | E.M.U. ECB Interest Rate Decision (Mar 7)
2013-03-07 13:30 GMT | United States. Trade Balance (Jan)
2013-03-07 21:30 GMT | United States. Bank Stress Test Info

Forex News :
2013-03-07 05:51 GMT | GBP/JPY still in uptrend - JPMorgan
2013-03-07 05:17 GMT | BoJ holds steady; Cable prints fresh lows
2013-03-07 04:55 GMT | NZDUSD bearish potential intact - Saxo Bank
2013-03-07 03:44 GMT | USD/JPY slightly to the downside as no surprise from BoJ

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.29963 LOW 1.29686 BID 1.29911 ASK 1.29916 CHANGE 0.2% TIME 07 : 57:45

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: An evidence of uptrend formation might be provided if the price manages to surpass key resistive structure at 1.3009 (R1). Price evaluation above this level would put in focus our higher targets at 1.3038 (R2) and 1.0388 (R3). Downwards scenario: Instrument is moving with a ranging momentum on a slightly shorter timeframe and might retest our next support level at 1.2965 (S1). Market decline below it might lead to the further easing towards to next targets at 1.2938 (S2) and 1.2910 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3070, 1.3090, 1.3113
Support Levels: 1.3045, 1.3022, 1.3000

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.50175 LOW 1.49669 BID 1.50019 ASK 1.50031 CHANGE -0.1% TIME 07 : 57:46

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

Upwards scenario: Next actual resistance level is seen at 1.5043 (R1). If the market manages to surge higher, our focus would returned to the next target at 1.5075 (R2) and further uptrend formation could be exhausted at 1.5107 (R3) intraday. Downwards scenario: Technical indicators are bearish and if the price manages to break our next support level at 1.4968 (S1) we would expect further depreciation towards to our next targets, located at 1.4935 (S2) and 1.4904 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5043, 1.5075, 1.5107
Support Levels: 1.4968, 1.4935, 1.4904

USDJPY :
HIGH 94.115 LOW 93.792 BID 93.926 ASK 93.932 CHANGE -0.15% TIME 07 : 57:47

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Consolidation pattern formation likely comes to the end and appreciation above the resistance at 94.13 (R1) might start of a new step of the ascending structure. Our intraday targets today are placed at 94.42 (R2) and 94.70 (R3). Downwards scenario: Local low formed today is pointing to a short-term key support at 93.77 (S1). Penetration below it might change near-term tone to the negative side and expose our initial targets at 93.47 (S2) and 93.19 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 94.13, 94.42, 94.70
Support Levels: 93.77, 93.47, 93.19

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Trading News | ECN Trading Account | Forex ECN Broker | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 12, 2013, 5:57am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 12 2013

Troika inclined towards extending Portugal’s rescue loan maturity

Pellentesque habitant morbi tristique senectus et netus et malesuada fames ac turpis egestas. Vestibulum tortor quam, feugiat vitae, ultricies eget, tempor sit amet, ante. Donec eu libero sit amet quam egestas semper. Aenean ultricies mi vitae est. Mauris placerat eleifend leo. Quisque sit amet est et sapien ullamcorper pharetra. Vestibulum erat wisi, condimentum sed, commodo vitae, ornare sit amet, wisi. Aenean fermentum, elit eget tincidunt condimentum, eros ipsum rutrum orci, sagittis tempus lacus enim ac dui. Donec non enim in turpis pulvinar facilisis. Ut felis. Praesent dapibus, neque id cursus faucibus,

For the London session ahead UK Manufacturing production for January on monthly basis at 09:30 GMT will be key risk event of the day, along with UK Trade balance and Industrial production at same hour. The British Manufacturing Production indicator measures the changes in output produced by manufacturers and in the turning of inventory. Manufacturing is a critical sector of the economy, and strong readings are an indication of economic growth. After a string of weak releases, Manufacturing Production shot up 1.6% in February, well above the market estimate of 0.7%. However, the markets are bracing for a much weaker figure for March, with an estimate of a paltry gain of just 0.1%. Will the indicator surprise the market with another strong reading?
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/12032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-12 07:00 GMT | Germany. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2013-03-12 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. Goods Trade Balance (Jan)
2013-03-12 15:00 GMT | United Kingdom. NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) (Feb)
2013-03-12 21:00 GMT | New Zeland. REINZ House Price Index (MoM) (Feb)

Forex News :
2013-03-12 05:52 GMT | EUR/USD firmer above 1.30
2013-03-12 05:19 GMT | USD/JPY makes new highs; BoJ may call emergency meeting
2013-03-12 04:05 GMT | GBP/USD below 1.49 ahead of key UK data
2013-03-12 03:39 GMT | AUD/USD 1.0340/75 key zone to move higher - JPM

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30464 LOW 1.30229 BID 1.30250 ASK 1.30256 CHANGE -0.15% TIME 08 : 10:39

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Medium-term negative bias pressure the price lower however instrument might find buyers above the important resistance level at 1.3035 (R1). Break here might open route towards to our initial targets at 1.3052 (R2) and 1.3070 (R3) Downwards scenario: Although market players may prefer to increase exposure on the short positions and push the price below the support level at 1.0318 (S1). Possible price devaluation would suggest next initial targets at 1.0306 (S2) and then 1.0295 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3035, 1.3052, 1.3070
Support Levels: 1.0318, 1.0306, 1.0295

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.49188 LOW 1.48857 BID 1.48955 ASK 1.48967 CHANGE -0.12% TIME 08 : 10:39

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Immediate resistance at 1.4935 (R1) remains in near-term focus, climb above this level might open way for a stronger move towards to next interim target at 1.4969 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistive measure at 1.5001 (R3) Downwards scenario: Market stabilized after the previous day’s losses and looks ready for a new step of downtrend extension. Key support level lies at 1.4866 (S1), clearance here would suggest lower targets at 1.4834 (S2) and 1.4803 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.4935, 1.4969, 1.5001
Support Levels: 1.4866, 1.4834, 1.4803

USDJPY :
HIGH 96.708 LOW 96.268 BID 96.442 ASK 96.445 CHANGE 0.17% TIME 08 : 10:40

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: After the strong appreciation provided last week we expect some consolidation development ahead, though medium-term bias remains bullish. Marks at 96.68 (R1), 97.07 (R2) and last one at 97.49 (R3) acts as resistive measures on the upside. Downwards scenario: A short-term technical structure might turn into negative side in case of price regress below the support level at 96.01 (S1). Possible correction below this level would then be targeting initial support at 95.60 (S2) en route towards to final target at 95.20 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 96.68, 97.07, 97.49
Support Levels: 96.01, 95.60, 95.20

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Broker Account | Best Forex Trading Platform | Forex Blog | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 13, 2013, 6:30am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 13 2013

Rehn defends Eurozone’s austerity policy

European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs Olli Rehn spoke against the critics of budget cutting measures recommended by the European Union in an interview published today in a Finnish newspaper. Rehn responded to voices of such economists as Paul Krugman who suggest that Brussels should stop reducing spending and encourage the most indebted countries to stimulate their economies, instead of making them believe that this is a way to regain market confidence. The disagreement sprang up after the European Commission published various projections which pointed to a deeper and more prolonged recession in the countries in the south of Europe, which are implementing harsh austerity measures.

Olli Rehn believes that the experts who agree with Krugman distorted the results of a study carried out by the IMF in 2012 regarding the consequences of austerity, which said that the impact of spending cuts on growth could be greater than expected. According to the commissioner, “It is essential that the IMF paper does not give rise to the conclusion that economic adjustment would not be desirable” and that is why he believes that the critics are putting forward their own interpretation in order to attack the Eurozone policy. Rehn assured that he expects “people who are more intelligent” to present alternative and realistic propositions in order to improve the flow of credit in Europe, as until now this did not happen yet.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/13032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-13 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY) (Jan)
2013-03-13 12:30 GMT | United States. Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb)
2013-03-13 17:00 GMT | United States. 10-Year Note Auction
2013-03-13 20:00 GMT | New Zeland. Monetary Policy Statement

Forex News :
2013-03-13 05:22 GMT | EUR/USD eyes US retail sales
2013-03-13 04:36 GMT | USD/JPY mixed on BoJ nominees, holds above 95.60
2013-03-13 03:33 GMT | GBP/USD prints fresh weekly highs, knocks 1.4950
2013-03-13 01:16 GMT | USD/CAD momentum fading - TDS

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30438 LOW 1.30227 BID 1.30390 ASK 1.30398 CHANGE 0.05% TIME 07 : 58:37

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: EURUSD lost momentum recently and trapped to the range mode trading. On the upside next hurdle ahead is seen at 1.3053 (R1). Clearance here would suggest next intraday targets at 1.3069 (R2) and 1.3084 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Risk of price depreciation is seen below the support level at 1.3022 (S1). A fall below it might prolong the weakness towards to next target at 1.3006 (S2) and any further market decline would then be limited to final support at 1.2988 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3053, 1.3069, 1.3084
Support Levels: 1.3022, 1.3006, 1.2988

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.49524 LOW 1.48927 BID 1.49360 ASK 1.49370 CHANGE 0.25% TIME 07 : 58:38

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Retail trader’s sentiment on the bullish side today. Further uptrend evolvement is limited now to the important resistive bastion at 1.4952 (R1). Break here is required to enable higher targets at 1.4976 (R2) and 1.5001 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our support level is placed on the important fractal level- 1.4916 (S1). Below here is seen potential of price acceleration towards to our initial targets at 1.4890 (S2) and then final one at 1.4865 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.4952, 1.4976, 1.5001
Support Levels: 1.4916, 1.4890, 1.4865

USDJPY :

HIGH 96.101 LOW 95.589 BID 95.711 ASK 95.718 CHANGE -0.38% TIME 07 : 58:39

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: USDJPY corrected from the initial upside development yesterday and currently looking for priority in direction for today. Possibility of market appreciation is seen above the resistance level at 96.10 (R1). Break here is required to validate our targets at 96.40 (R2) and 96.69 (R3). Downwards scenario: Clearance of our next support level at 95.59 (S1) is required to enable further retracement phase and expose our target at 95.31 (S2). Further market decline looks limited to final support level at 95.03 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 96.10, 96.40, 96.69
Support Levels: 95.59, 95.31, 95.03

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( FX Central Clearing Ltd )[/B]

alayoua · March 14, 2013, 6:16am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 14 2013

Eurogroup talks on Cyprus at Friday meeting might be unofficial

Eurozone Finance Ministers are expected to continue their negotiations on the rescue loan for Cyprus during the meeting scheduled for Friday, although some sources claim that these negotiations will be led on the sidelines of the main talks. Cyprus and the Troika are trying to bring down the amount of the aid to 10 billion euros from the previously estimated 17 billion euros. According to Peter Jackson from FxBriefs.com “Cyprus may be forced to raise money from levies on deposits, other taxes such as corporate tax (which could be raised to 12.5% from 10%), as well as the possibility of a much opposed financial transaction tax.”

Representatives of the international lenders will meet with president Nicos Anastasiades for preparatory talks before the Friday summit on Thursday evening in Nicosia. It was given to understand that there was a possibility of striking the bailout deal already on Friday. Nevertheless, a German government official said in the European afternoon that the talks on the rescue program for Cyprus would be informal, thus no final decision could be made this week. He also added that Germany is waiting for the Troika’s evaluation of Cyprus before making any decisions. The EU Finance Ministers’ meeting is due to start on Friday at 16:00 GMT, Eurogroup chairman Jeroen Dijsselbloem informed on his Twitter account.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/14032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-14 08:30 GMT | Switzerland. SNB Interest Rate Decision
2013-03-14 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. Employment Change (YoY) (Q4)
2013-03-14 12:30 GMT | United States. Producer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2013-03-14 21:30 GMT | United States. Bank Stress Test Info

Forex News :
2013-03-14 06:08 GMT | EUR/USD, calls for lower lows persist
2013-03-14 05:23 GMT | Aussie skyrockets after ‘beyond belief’ Aus jobs
2013-03-14 03:50 GMT | USD/JPY call spreads attractive - Standard Chartered
2013-03-14 01:37 GMT | EUR/JPY puts pressure on 123.80/124.15 proven demand

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.29814 LOW 1.29431 BID 1.29552 ASK 1.29561 CHANGE -0.04% TIME 08 : 49:08

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Price tested negative territory today however clearance of next resistive structure at 1.2982 (R1) might open the way towards to our initial target at 1.2997 (R2) and any further market rise would then be targeting 1.3013 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, an element of supportive measures is found at 1.2942 (S1). Clearance of this level would suggest further downtrend development with possible targets at 1.2927 (S2) and 1.2911 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.2982, 1.2997, 1.3013
Support Levels: 1.2942, 1.2927, 1.2911

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.49564 LOW 1.49124 BID 1.49401 ASK 1.49411 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08 : 49:08

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

Upwards scenario: Market remains sideways oriented. Next hurdle on the upside might be found at 1.4957 (R1), break here would open road towards to our next target at 1.4979 (R2) and enable final intraday resistive structure at 1.5001 (R3). Downwards scenario: Any downside fluctuations remains for now limited to the next support level at 1.4916 (S1), only clear break here would be a signal of possible market easing towards to next targets at 1.4890 (S2) and potentially to 1.4865 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.4957, 1.4979, 1.5001
Support Levels: 1.4916, 1.4890, 1.4865

USDJPY :
HIGH 96.146 LOW 95.684 BID 95.953 ASK 95.959 CHANGE -0.17% TIME 08 : 49:09

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downwar penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Upside risk aversion is seen above the next resistance level at 96.17 (R1). Appreciation above it would suggest us about the positive intraday bias formation towards to our next targets at 96.43 (R2) and 96.69 (R3). Downwards scenario: Fresh low formed today offers an important supportive mark at 95.66 (S1). Depreciation below it might shift medium-term tendency to the bearish side and validate our next intraday targets at 95.43 (S2) and 95.18 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 96.17, 96.43, 96.69
Support Levels: 95.66, 95.43, 95.18

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Best Forex Trading Software | Forex Currency Trading blog | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 15, 2013, 6:58am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 15 2013

Van Rompuy issues day-1 EU summit statement

After concluding the first evening of talks among Euro zone leaders, President of the European Council Herman Van Rompuy issued a first statement proving details over how best to guide European economic policies. Van Rompuy said: “We reconfirmed our overall economic strategy. It has four strands: First. Restoring financial stability, and maintaining it: this is vital for confidence of consumers and investors, a key condition for internal demand and growth; Second. Ensuring sound public finances, structurally sound; Third. Urgently fighting unemployment – especially for youth, for whom the situation is dramatic in some countries. Four. And reforming for long-term growth and competitiveness.”

The statement adds: “We all agree we need to keep turning our commitments into actions and results. Implementation continues to be key. The good progress towards structurally balanced budgets must continue. For each individual country, it’s about making choices that make sense in the long run: Pursuing well-designed structural reforms; Being ruthless on tax evasion. Shifting taxation away from labour; Expenditure cuts where it makes us fitter, not sacrificing vital areas like innovation or education; And launching fast-acting and targeted measures to boost growth and employment, in particular for the youth.” Starting in June, Van Rompuy made the pledge to start looking not only at national reform and jobs plans, “but also at the results of the Growth Compact concluded last year” he said, adding that “as a matter of fact, the President of the European Commission made a first report on the results of the Growth Compact already this evening.”
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/15032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
N/A | E.M.U. European Council meeting
2013-03-15 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2013-03-15 12:30 GMT | United States. Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2013-03-15 13:55 GMT | United States. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Mar)

Forex News :
2013-03-15 06:01 GMT | Euro buyers insist to defend $1.30; volatility to be on the rise
2013-03-15 04:48 GMT | USD/JPY unlikely to go lower on Japanese foreign investment - Nomura
2013-03-15 04:37 GMT | AUD/NZD higher, stalls below 1.2700/200 day SMA
2013-03-15 03:55 GMT | GBP could decline further – HSBC

EURUSD
HIGH 1.30267 LOW 1.29992 BID 1.30192 ASK 1.30198 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08 : 12:27

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Current price setup is aiming to resume initial upwards formation. Next resistive bastion lies at 1.3031 (R1). If the pair manages to overcome it we expect further progress towards to our initial targets at 1.3044 (R2) and 1.3057 (R3). Downwards scenario: Although, consolidation development looks reasonable on the hourly timeframe. If the market manages break our next support at 1.2997 (S1) we would suggest next supportive measures at 1.2985 (S2) and 1.2975 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3031, 1.3044, 1.3057
Support Levels: 1.2997, 1.2985, 1.2975

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.51039 LOW 1.50686 BID 1.50857 ASK 1.50867 CHANGE 0.04% TIME 08 : 12:28

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Market remains under the uptrend formation and a break above the resistance level at 1.5119 (R1) might resume bullish pressure. In such scenario, we would suggest next target at 1.5138 (R2) and 1.5156 (R3). Downwards scenario: Market decline below the next supportive mean at 1.5068 (S1) might trigger bearish pressure and enable lower target at 1.5047 (S2) and even 1.5027 (R3) mark could be exposed if the pair accelerates on the downside.

Resistance Levels: 1.5119, 1.5138, 1.5156
Support Levels: 1.5068, 1.5047, 1.5027

USDJPY :
HIGH 96.274 LOW 95.882 BID 96.089 ASK 96.093 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08 : 12:29

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: USDJPY continues moving sideways however we see possibility to overcome our next resistive barrier at 96.26 (R1). Progress above it would suggest next intraday targets at 96.48 (R2) and 96.70 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Any downside penetration is limited to the initial support level at 95.88 (S1). A breach of which would open a route towards to next target at 95.67 (S2) and potentially could expose our final support for today at 95.42 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 96.26, 96.48, 96.70
Support Levels: 95.88, 95.67, 95.42

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Currency Trading Blog | Forex Account | ECN Forex Software | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 18, 2013, 5:58am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 18 2013

Cyprus faces ‘corralito’ à la Argentinean

Back in May 2012, fears that Greece may leave the EU triggered bank runs in the country, and many economist speculated with the possibility of the country establishing a “corralito”- the economic measures taken in Argentina at the end of 2001 that almost completely froze bank accounts and forbade withdrawals from U.S. dollar-denominated accounts. Bank runs extended then to Spain and Italy, although they finally come under control. But revival came back this weekend: Cyprus bail-out approval cost almost €6 billion to taxpayers, which next Tuesday –Monday will be declared bank holiday-, will find something different in their bank accounts: a one-off 9.9% levy imposed on all deposits over the insurance threshold of €100,000. For accounts below the insurance ceiling, the onetime tax will be of 6.75%.

Cyprus PM Michael Sarris, admitted it was a tough decision, and even stated “I wish I was not the minister to do this,” although he added that “much more money could have been lost in a bankruptcy of the banking system or indeed of the country.” Without a rescue, Cyprus would default and threaten to unravel investor confidence in the EU that has been fostered by ECB’s president Mario Draghi promise to do “whatever it takes” to shore up the currency bloc. However, a precedent has been set, and this partial “corralito” may trigger exactly what is trying to prevent: an erosion in investors’ confidence in the EU, and bank runs, if not in Cyprus, in the rest of the peripheral troubled countries. Monday European opening may see bank runs, particularly in Spain and Italy, and a domino effect may force governments to take extraordinary measures. “Corralito” arrived to Europe, and may be here to stay.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/18032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-18 06:45 GMT | Switzerland. SECO Economic Forecasts
2013-03-18 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. Trade Balance n.s.a. (Jan)
2013-03-18 12:30 GMT | Canada. Foreign portfolio investment in Canadian securities (Jan)
2013-03-18 23:15 GMT | Australia. RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speech

Forex News :
2013-03-18 05:52 GMT | GBP/USD stable around 1.51 despite the turmoil
2013-03-18 05:27 GMT | Cyprus all over the place and EUR/USD below 1.29
2013-03-18 03:25 GMT | EUR/GBP tumbles through 0.8550 as Euro sell-offs
2013-03-18 02:43 GMT | EUR/JPY, break of 122.00 exposes 121.10/20 - V.Bednarik

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.29315 LOW 1.28818 BID 1.29038 ASK 1.29043 CHANGE -1.3% TIME 08 : 57:38

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Market dropped on the news from Cyprus and determined negative bias on the medium-term perspective. However break above the resistance at 1.2943 (R1) would suggest next target at 1.2971 (R1) en route towards to higher mark at 1.2999 (R3). Downwards scenario: The Asian session momentum on the downside suggests a possible move lower ahead. Key supportive bastion lie at 1.2881 (S1). Prolonged movement below it might then expose our intraday targets at 1.2857 (S2) and 1.2832 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.2943, 1.2971, 1.2999
Support Levels: 1.2881, 1.2857, 1.2832

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.51305 LOW 1.50717 BID 1.51041 ASK 1.51052 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08 : 57:39

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

Upwards scenario: GBPUSD trapped to the consolidation phase. Fractals level at 1.5115 (R1) offers a good resistance level. Break here is required to take the pair towards to initial targets, located at 1.5135 (R2) and 1.5156 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the moving averages our short-term outlook would be negative. Any extension lower the 1.5082 (S1) is being able to drive market price towards to our next targets at 1.5061 (S2) and 1.5040 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5115, 1.5135, 1.5156
Support Levels: 1.5082, 1.5061, 1.5040

USDJPY :
HIGH 94.987 LOW 94.311 BID 94.464 ASK 94.467 CHANGE -0.83% TIME 08 : 57:40

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

Upwards scenario: USDJPY has gradually climbed eased during the Asian session, having made fresh low but lately lost momentum. In terms of technical levels next resistance level could be found at 94.98 (R1). Appreciation above it would enable higher marks at 95.22 (R2) and 95.45 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our medium-term outlook remains negative. If the pair accelerates on the downside and manage to break our next support level at 94.31 (S1), it is likely to expose our next support level at 94.08 (S2) and 93.85 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 94.98, 95.22, 95.45
Support Levels: 94.31, 94.08, 93.85

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )[/B]

alayoua · March 19, 2013, 7:45am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 19 2013

Will Cyprus Bailout Set Tone for Trading this Week?

The sharp sell-off in currencies and European equities overnight indicate that investors are shocked by Cyprus’ bailout news as they should be since this would be the first time in Eurozone history that depositors have taken a loss. The EUR/USD may have rebounded off its lows on speculation about a modified deal that is less aggressive but regardless of how much depositors above or below 100,000 euros are taxed, the mere possibility that they will be taxed at all undermines the credibility of the entire banking system. Optimists argue that this situation is unique to Cyprus but we don’t know how reassuring a watered down deal will be as this could set a precedent for the entire region. We won’t even go into how unfair it is that senior bondholders are being saved at the expense of moms and pops and that depositors with money under their mattresses are safer than depositors in the bank. What we do know is that the Cyprus bailout has set the tone for trading in an extremely data and event risk heavy week by reawakening the fear of contagion. The vote in parliament on the bailout deal has been postponed until Tuesday and this means that this risk off tone will remain prevalent for the immediate future.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/19032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
N/A | United Kingdom. BOE Inflation Letter
2013-03-19 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2013-03-19 10:00 GMT | Germany. ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (Mar)
2013-03-19 12:30 GMT | United States. Housing Starts (MoM) (Feb)

Forex News :
2013-03-19 05:30 GMT | GBP/USD going nowhere around 1.5100
2013-03-19 05:23 GMT | Euro buying interest fades ahead of 1.30
2013-03-19 03:41 GMT | AUD/USD reverses on Rio Tinto’s comments
2013-03-19 02:31 GMT | USD/JPY breaks above 95.50

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.29694 LOW 1.29339 BID 1.29358 ASK 1.29367 CHANGE -0.16% TIME 08 : 02:47

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Currently price is stabilized however on a slightly longer term market sentiment remains negative. Appreciation above the resistance level at 1.2969 (R1) might prolong corrective action towards to next targets at 1.2993 (R2) and 1.3016 (R3). Downwards scenario: Signal of instrument depreciation would be created if EURUSD depreciates below the next support level at 1.2934 (S1). We would suggest next interim targets at 1.2912 (S2) and then aim at 1.2890 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.2969, 1.2993, 1.3016
Support Levels: 1.2934, 1.2912, 1.2890

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.51128 LOW 1.5084 BID 1.50923 ASK 1.50937 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 08 : 02:48

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: So far Instrument traded in consolidative phase and being unable to made significant price deviation from its average price. Our resistive barrier at 1.5115 (R1) limits upside expansion. Break here is required to establish upwards formation targeting 1.5135 (R2) and 1.5156 (R3). Downwards scenario: Bearish pressure could find momentum below the support at 1.5082 (S1). Possible downtrend expansion would open road towards to next target at 1.5061 (S2) and any further losses would then be limited to 1.5040 (S3) mark.

Resistance Levels: 1.5115, 1.5135, 1.5156
Support Levels: 1.5082, 1.5061, 1.5040

USDJPY :
HIGH 95.746 LOW 95.123 BID 95.430 ASK 95.437 CHANGE 0.24% TIME 08 : 02:48

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Instrument has bounced back and currently trades within the bullish pattern. If It manages to break above the next resistance level at 95.75 (R1), we expect to see appreciation towards to next targets at 95.94 (R2) and 96.13 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of further price depreciation is seen below the support at 95.38 (S1). Loss here might enable bearish pressure and drive market price towards to next target at 95.19 (S2) and potentially could even expose our final target at 94.99 (S3) later on today.

Resistance Levels: 95.75, 95.94, 96.13
Support Levels: 95.38, 95.19, 94.99

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Best Forex Trading Platforms | Forex Practice Account | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 20, 2013, 6:22am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 20 2013

Cypriot levy rejected, European leaders weigh in

Cyprus’s parliament rejected an unprecedented levy on bank deposits, rendering a blow to European plans of coercing depositors to shoulder part of the country’s rescue in a standoff that risks renewed tumult in the euro area. Cypriot legislators in Nicosia voted 36 against to none in favor of the proposal in a show of hands today along with 19 abstentions – hammered out by euro-area finance leaders over the weekend, the deal had sought to raise €5.8B by drawing funds from Cyprus bank accounts in return for €10.0B in international aid. Stocks dropped and the euro fell to a three-month low against the dollar at the prospect of impasse in Cyprus. European officials including Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem had said that Cyprus must contribute to its own bailout, while stressing that the Cypriot situation is unique. German coalition lawmakers said that Cyprus can expect no aid without meeting the terms.

“Cyprus has rebuffed the outstretched hand” of its partners, Hans Michelbach, a German lawmaker from Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic bloc and the ranking member on parliament’s finance committee, noted in a statement. The vote is “an act of collective unreason” and “the people of Cyprus must now pay a high price.”The ECB said it “takes note of the decision of the Cypriot Parliament and is in contact with its Troika partners” from the International Monetary Fund and the European Commission, according to a statement. “The ECB reaffirms its commitment to provide liquidity as needed within the existing rules.”
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/20032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-20 07:00 GMT | Germany. Producer Price Index (YoY) (Feb)
2013-03-20 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. Bank of England Minutes
2013-03-20 18:00 GMT | United States. Fed Interest Rate Decision
2013-03-20 21:45 GMT | New Zeland. Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) (Q4)

Forex News :
2013-03-20 05:50 GMT | GBP/USD below 1.5100 ahead of a very very busy day
2013-03-20 04:40 GMT | AUD/USD back to session highs, still sideways
2013-03-20 02:39 GMT | Euro area faces new challenge on Cyprus drama - Nomura
2013-03-20 01:53 GMT | USD/JPY kept below 95.00, sellers dominant s/t

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.2879 LOW 1.28566 BID 1.28755 ASK 1.28762 CHANGE -0.06% TIME 08 : 07:31

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: EURUSD discounted value determined negative bias on the medium-term perspective. From the technical side, next resistance is seen at 1.2916 (R1). Only clearance here would allow further gains, targeting 1.2937 (R2) and 1.2959 (R3). Downwards scenario: Descending channel formation on the hourly chart frame is limited now to the session low - 1.2856 (S1). If the price manages to surpass it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.2835 (S2) and 1.2813 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.2916, 1.2937, 1.2959
Support Levels: 1.2856, 1.2835, 1.2813

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.51065 LOW 1.50798 BID 1.50891 ASK 1.50902 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08 : 07:32

OUTLOOK SUMMARY Neutral
TREND CONDITION Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY High

Upwards scenario: GBPUSD is consolidating on the hourly chart however we see potential for further appreciation towards to our targets at 1.5128 (R2) and 1.5149 (R3) if the price manages to overcome key resistance measure at 1.5107 (R1). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, price pattern suggests bearish potential if the instrument manages to overcome next support level at 1.5072 (S1). Possible price regress could exposed our initial targets at 1.5053 (S2) and 1.5033 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.5107, 1.5128, 1.5149
Support Levels: 1.5072, 1.5053, 1.5033

USDJPY :
HIGH 95.202 LOW 94.829 BID 95.035 ASK 95.040 CHANGE -0.13% TIME 08 : 07:33

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium

Upwards scenario: Instrument consolidates after the initial price cut yesterday though our medium-term outlook is positive. Our reference point for the upside penetration locates at 95.22 (R1). Clearance here is required to enable higher targets at 95.39 (R2) and 95.55 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside our attention is put to the immediate support level at 94.99 (S1). Break here is required to enable bearish forces and expose our intraday targets at 94.83 (S2) and 94.67 (S3

Resistance Levels: 95.22, 95.39, 95.55
Support Levels: 94.99, 94.83, 94.67

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( ECN Forex Trading Accounts | ECN Broker List | Currency Converter | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 21, 2013, 6:25am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 21 2013

Fitch downgrades Italy to BBB+, outlook negative

Fitch Ratings decided to downgrade Italy’s rating to ‘BBB+’ from ‘A-’, citing the inconclusive results of the Italian parliamentary elections and deeper recession as the main reasons. Fitch also kept negative outlook on the country, meaning Italy could see another downgrade. “The inconclusive results of the Italian parliamentary elections on 24-25 February make it unlikely that a stable new government can be formed in the next few weeks”, said Fitch. “The increased political uncertainty and non-conducive backdrop for further structural reform measures constitute a further adverse shock to the real economy amidst the deep recession”. Fitch also said that the ongoing recession in Italy is one of the deepest in Europe as confirmed by Q412 data.

Following what could be described as a ‘remarkable’ jobs number in the United States last Friday, with the jobless rate down to 7.7% and the economy creating 236K new jobs, highest since early 2012, the US Dollar continues to be one of the big winners in the currency market. Are the stars aligning for further Greenback strength? Before touching on the prospects for further USD appreciation, especially against the Euro, an interesting phenomenon not to ignore last Friday is the positive correlation between the US Dollar and the equity market, an occurrence which has seen commentators of the market busy speculating such behaviour as an early sign of improvement in market confidence.
https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/11032013/

Forex Economic Calendar :
2013-03-11 07:00 GMT | Germany. Trade Balance s.a. (Jan)
2013-03-11 09:00 GMT | Italy. Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q4)
2013-03-11 21:00 GMT | New Zeland. REINZ House Price Index (MoM) (Feb)
2013-03-11 23:50 GMT | Japan. BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

Forex News :
2013-03-11 05:46 GMT | EUR/USD, the 1.30 flirt goes on …
2013-03-11 05:22 GMT | GBP/USD resting above 1.4900
2013-03-11 03:28 GMT | AUD/JPY holding above 98 on the back of Yen weakness
2013-03-11 01:15 GMT | EUR/JPY unchanged below 125.00

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.3009 LOW 1.29792 BID 1.30027 ASK 1.30035 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08 : 04:55

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Our medium-term outlook is negative for the EURUSD though possibility of price deviation is seen above the next resistance level at 1.3016 (R1). Retracement targets could be exposed at 1.3035 (R2) and 1.3054 (R3). Downwards scenario: Activation of bearish forces is possible below the support level at 1.2979 (S1). Clearance here would suggest next interim target at 1.2960 (S2) and if the price holds its momentum on the downside we would suggest final target for today at 1.2941 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3016, 1.3035, 1.3054
Support Levels: 1.2979, 1.2960, 1.2941

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.49273 LOW 1.49009 BID 1.49263 ASK 1.49274 CHANGE 0.07% TIME 08 : 04:55

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

Upwards scenario: Breaching of resistance at 1.4958 (R1) is required to provide an evidence of corrective action. Possible targets could be exposed at 1.4990 (R2) and 1.5022 (R3) later on today in such scenario. Downwards scenario: Fresh low formed today offers an important support level at 1.4899 (S1). Discounted value of GBPUSD might push through this mark and enable next visible target at 1.4866 (S2) en route to support at 1.4834 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.4958, 1.4990, 1.5022
Support Levels: 1.4899, 1.4866, 1.4834

USDJPY :
HIGH 96.256 LOW 95.94 BID 96.125 ASK 96.131 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08 : 04:56

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High

Upwards scenario: Next immediate resistive barrier is seen at 96.30 (R1). If instrument gains momentum on the upside and manage to overcome it we would focus on the intraday targets at 96.68 (R2) and 97.07 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Although market price remained relatively stable, depreciation below the next support level at 95.49 (S1) might assist to recovery formation evolvement. We expect that our intraday target at 95.10 (S2) and 94.70 (S3) could be exposed later on today in such case.

Resistance Levels: 96.30, 96.68, 97.07
Support Levels: 95.49, 95.10, 94.70

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( FX Central Clearing Ltd )[/B]

alayoua · March 25, 2013, 5:47am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 25 2013

Eurogroup reaches agreement with Cypriot authorities

Already finished Eurogroup and FMI press conference, attending IMF chief Christine Lagarde, Eurogroup Chairman Jeroen Dijsselbloem, EU’s commissioner for economic affairs Olli Rehn, European Central Bank (ECB) board member Jorg Asmussen, and ESM managing director Klaus Regling, the Eurogroup has reached an agreement with the Cypriot authorities “on the key elements necessary for a future macroeconomic adjustment programme,” the official Eurogroup statement reads. The agreement comes from all sides of the table, including all Euro area members states, along with the ECB, the IMF, and the ESM, also known as Troika. No further Cyprus parliament voting will be needed as the levy part of the deal has been “avoided”, EU chairman said, remarking “should be no doubts about that,” referring to any kind of discount on deposits below insured € 100k accounts.

Main focus on the deal has been reduced to the banking sector, also explained Mr Dijsselbloem, where “solution focuses on troubled banks,” and the insured deposits. Among other measures, solution passes through a “split in a good and a bad bank”, said EU’s chairman, with the “bad” one “gone” in some uncertain future time. Laiki Bank, the “bad” bank, “will ultimately disappear," said IMF’s Lagarde. Bank of Cyprus would be the “good” one, where under € 100k secured deposits would be transferred. Asked if there is any chance the “bad bank” survives, Dijsselbloem said there could be a small part left, but that only time could tell. For the amount of haircuts in unsecured deposits, no concrete answers were also given, saying “numbers will have to be calculated,” noted Dijsselbloem, adding: “can’t put a number on that yet.” Olli Rehn also referred to upcoming EU memorandum by mid April as a source for further answers. When questioned if all this agreement was mainly just to “buy some time,” EU commissioner denied it.-FXCC Market Update 25-03-2013

Forex Economic Calendar :
N/A | United States. Fed’s William Dudley speech
2013-03-25 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. BBA Mortgage Approvals (Feb)
2013-03-25 17:15 GMT | United States. Fed’s Bernanke Speech
2013-03-25 21:45 GMT | New Zeland. Trade Balance (YoY) (Feb)

Forex News :
2013-03-25 06:24 GMT | EUR/USD still bearish despite the good news - UBS
2013-03-25 04:01 GMT | Eurogroup reaches agreement with Cypriot authorities
2013-03-25 01:42 GMT | EUR/JPY soars on Cyprus tentative deal
2013-03-25 01:13 GMT | AUD/USD holds below 1.0460

EURUSD :
HIGH 1.30482 LOW 1.29414 BID 1.30342 ASK 1.30348 CHANGE 0.34% TIME 08 : 35:13

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: The pair accelerates on the upside and determined positive market sentiment. If it manages to climb above the resistance level at 1.3049 (R1) there is a chance for a move towards to next targets at 1.3065 (R2) and 1.3081 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, pair looks overbought and possibility of correction is high. Next on tap is seen support level at 1.3010 (S1). Below here locates initial targets at 1.2993 (S2) and 1.2975 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.3049, 1.3065, 1.3081
Support Levels: 1.3010, 1.2993, 1.2975

GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.52598 LOW 1.52233 BID 1.52434 ASK 1.52445 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08 : 35:13

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

Upwards scenario: Our technical outlook for the medium-term perspective remains bullish oriented. Clearance of next resistance level at 1.5260 (R1) would enable bullish pressure and might expose our next targets at 1.5291 (R2) and 1.5322 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: On a slightly longer term we expect pullback formation. Risk of market depreciation is seen below the next support level at 1.5208 (S1). Clearance here would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5177 (S2) and 1.5144 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5260, 1.5291, 1.5322
Support Levels: 1.5208, 1.5177, 1.5144

USDJPY :
HIGH 94.962 LOW 94.354 BID 94.657 ASK 94.664 CHANGE 0.21% TIME 08 : 35:14

OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low

Upwards scenario: Market tested positive side today and formed gradual ascending move. Next resistance in focus stays at 94.97 (R1). If the break occur here we might see stronger move, targeting next attractive points at 95.20 (R2) and 95.43 (R3). Downwards scenario: Progress below the initial support level at 94.48 (S1) might trigger protective orders and stopped current consolidation development. Our intraday targets are seen at 94.25 (S2) and 94.01 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 94.97, 95.20, 95.43
Support Levels: 94.48, 94.25, 94.01

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Forex Software | Free Forex Demo Account | Best Forex Broker | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 26, 2013, 6:20am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 26 2013

Cypriot central bank to meet tonight on capital controls

In an effort to avoid the money’s outflow, the Cypriot central bank will meet tonight in an extraordinary session to introduce capital restrictions according to the Cyprus’ president Anastasiades. The president also said, in a recent speech, the capital controls will be a temporary measure but difficult measures will be implemented in the following days. Meanwhile, Cypriot banks will open on Tuesday except Bank of Cyprus and Laiki. Earlier on the day, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, head of the Eurogroup of eurozone finance ministers, affirmed that the Cypriot plan would be used as template for another countries in the eurozone. Investors were afraid for more levys and capital restrictions across the union. Renewed jitters on Cyprus and fears of contagion to other indebted sovereigns in the bloc periphery have been weighting on EUR after the increased vulnerability seen in Cypriot deposits.

And speaking of anti-climaxes, Cyprus appears to have reached an agreement to avoid bankruptcy but, whilst it protects savers with less than €100,000 on account in Cypriot banks, bond holders in Laiki Bank will lose their funds and depositors with more than €100,000 in Laiki will lose a substantial part of those funds. The accounts will be frozen while the bank is closed down and most of its debt transferred to Bank of Cyprus and that could result in larger investors losing up to 90% of their funds. That isn’t going to make Cyprus popular with their Russian and Eastern European tax avoiders and it won’t make Europe popular with Russia either. That’s could be a problem because Russia controls a massive amount of the energy used by Europe. If Cyprus and the EU wanted to make enemies, other than invading Russia, they couldn’t have hatched a better plan.
FXCC Forex Trading Blog

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :

2013-03-26 07:00 GMT | United Kingdom. Nationwide Housing Prices n.s.a (YoY)
2013-03-26 12:30 GMT | United States. Durable Goods Orders (Feb)
2013-03-26 14:00 GMT | United States. Consumer Confidence (Mar)
2013-03-26 14:00 GMT | United States. New Home Sales (MoM) (Feb)

FOREX NEWS :

2013-03-26 05:51 GMT | AUD/USD unchanged as RBS Stevens speech a non event
2013-03-26 05:19 GMT | EUR/USD down to 1.2660 now and option
2013-03-26 01:41 GMT | USD/JPY higher on Kuroda’s promises; Again
2013-03-26 01:32 GMT | GBP/JPY recovers ground as Kuroda speaks

MARKET ANALYSIS – Intraday Analysis

Forex Technical Analysis EURUSD

Upwards scenario: EUR extended its decline versus the USD and determined negative medium-term technical outlook. However above the resistance at 1.2894 (R1) opens a route towards to next resistive measures at 1.2919 (R2) and 1.2945 (R3) Downwards scenario: In terms of technical levels, risk of price depreciation is seen below the next support level at 1.2829 (S1). Loss here would suggest to monitor marks at 1.2806 (S2) and 1.2784 (S3) as possible intraday targets.

Resistance Levels: 1.2894, 1.2919, 1.2945
Support Levels: 1.2829, 1.2806, 1.278

Forex Technical Analysis GBPUSD

Upwards scenario: Instrument formed fresh low yesterday however retail trades sentiment shifted to the bullish side on the short-term perspective. Further market rise is limited now to the key barrier at 1.5208 (R1), clearance here is required to enable next resistances at 1.5234 (R2) and last one at 1.5261 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish further gains might lead to the price depreciation. Next immediate support could be found at 1.5142 (S1). Break here is required to open route towards to our targets at 1.5118 (S2) and 1.5093 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5208, 1.5234, 1.5261
Support Levels: 1.5142, 1.5118, 1.5093

Forex Technical Analysis USDJPY

Upwards scenario: Medium- term tendency remains bearish as both moving averages are pointing down. Though risk of market strengthening is seen above the resistance level at 94.45 (R1). Clearance here would open way towards to next targets at 94.67 (R2) and 94.90 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of market decline is seen below the key support level at 93.86 (S1). Loss here might downgrade currency rate towards to the next supportive means at 93.64 (S2) and 93.43 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 94.45, 94.67, 94.90
Support Levels: 93.86, 93.64, 93.43

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )[/B]

alayoua · March 27, 2013, 6:26am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 27 2013

European Parliament considers bailing-in large depositors

The euro dropped in the European afternoon on information from Reuters that the European Parliament would be inclined to bail-in big savers, who hold deposits of over 100,000 euros at distressed banks. MEP Gunnar Hokmark, who is taking part in creating a new law aimed at dealing with such banks told Reuters that: “Deposits below 100,000 euros are protected … deposits above 100,000 euros are not protected and shall be treated as part of the capital that can be bailed in.” Eurogroup chief Jeroen Dijsselbloem’s comments on Monday, suggesting that the bailout deal struck between Cyprus and the Troika might be a model for rescue programs for other EU countries in the future, caused the European stock markets to drop sharply in late trading.

Wall Street rises despite bad US data and Cyprus. The US stocks market traded higher on Tuesday as market didn’t pay much attention to the lower-than-expected US consumer confidence but better-than-expected home prices. The Dow surged to new all-time high. The Dow Jones advaced 111.90 points or 0.77% to close at 14,559.65. The S&P 500 added 12.08 points or 0.78% to end the day at 1,563.77. And the Nasdaq Composite gained 17.18 points or 0.53% to finish at 3,252.48.-Fxstreet.com

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-03-27 09:30 GMT | United Kingdom. UK Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q4)
2013-03-27 10:00 GMT | E.M.U. Consumer Confidence (Mar)
2013-03-27 12:30 GMT | Canada. Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index
2013-03-27 14:00 GMT | United States. Pending Home Sales (YoY)

FOREX NEWS :
2013-03-27 07:24 GMT | EUR/USD muted after German data
2013-03-27 06:25 GMT | Time to build a short position in JPY again – RBS
2013-03-27 04:28 GMT | USD/JPY climbs above 94.80 helped by USD buying across the board
2013-03-27 03:27 GMT | NZD/USD, exporters keen buyers of NZD dips – BNZ

MARKET ANALYSIS – Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: Neutral channel formation remains in play on the hourly chart. Our next resistance level is placed above the local peak at 1.2868 (R1). Strengthening above it would point to resistive structure at 1.2890 (R2) onto 1.2912 (R3). Downwards scenario: While both moving averages are pointing down, medium-term technical outlook would be negative. Key support level lie at 1.2837 (S1), below here opens a route towards to our initial targets at 1.2815 (S2) and 1.2793 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.2868, 1.2890, 1.2912
Support Levels: 1.2837, 1.2815, 1.2793

Forex Technical Analysis GBPUSDUpwards scenario: Next resistance level is seen at 1.5170 (R1), subsequently loss here might create upside momentum and drive market price towards to next targets at 1.5190 (R2) and 1.5210 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: If the price failed to establish further positive bias today, we expect to see retest of our key support level at 1.5147 (S1). Break here is required to enable initial targets at 1.5128 (S2) and 1.5 109 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.5170, 1.5190, 1.5210
Support Levels: 1.5147, 1.5128, 1.5109

Upwards scenario: Next hurdle on the upside is seen at important technical level – 94.90 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we expect further acceleration towards to our initial targets at 95.08 (R2) and 95.25 (R3). Downwards scenario: Instrument might retest our next support level at 94.58 (S1) later on today. Market decline below it would create bearish sentiment and enable our interim target at 94.40 (S2). Final support for today locates at 94.22 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 94.90, 95.08, 95.25

Support Levels: ……

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Currency Converter | ECN Broker | Forex Trading Account | FXCC )[/B]

alayoua · March 28, 2013, 6:04am

[B]Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Mar 28 2013

Capital controls in Cyprus to affect international transactions

he Cypriot government has revealed the details of the capital controls it intends to impose on transfers before banks reopen on Thursday. The restrictions are aimed at preventing an outflow of money and are supposed to last seven days. The capital controls, which will affect all accounts regardless of their currency, will involve a ban on taking out sums of money in cash greater than 3000 euros on one trip out of the country and a monthly 5000 euro limit on credit and debit card transactions abroad. Additionally, cashing cheques will be prohibited and savings accounts frozen until their expiry date. Restrictions on ATM withdrawals have not been listed among the capital control measures, even though they currently exist.

The financial markets are still mulling over the repercussions of the Cyprus drama and their angst is being fuelled by comments by Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem, that the EU sees the Cyprus deal as a template for any further bailouts. i.e. bond holders will lose their fund entirely and larger savers would have some of their funds syphoned off to aid the bailout. That was later denied according to a report on Bloomberg but investors with funds in EU banks are understandably edgy and all eyes will be on the Cypriot withdrawals over the weeks ahead. The fear of a run on European banks and the political pressure that would produce is ever-present and there are many reports about the rise of the German Anti-Euro political party. The Euro remains at the weaker end of its range in anticipation of those events
FXCC Forex Trading Blog

FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :

2013-03-28 07:00 GMT | Germany. Unemployment Change (Mar)
2013-03-28 12:30 GMT | United States. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4)
2013-03-28 12:30 GMT | Canada. Gross Domestic Product (MoM) (Jan)
2013-03-28 23:30 GMT | Japan. Unemployment Rate (Feb)

FOREX NEWS :

2013-03-28 02:23 GMT | AUD/USD turns bearish as stocks decline in Asia
2013-03-28 02:22 GMT | USD/JPY dips to 94.10 lows post-Kuroda
2013-03-28 02:03 GMT | New Zealand: M3 Money Supply (YoY) (Feb): 6.6% vs 6.4%
2013-03-28 01:40 GMT | EUR/AUD keeps pushing below 1.2250

Forex Technical Analysis EURUSD

MARKET ANALYSIS – Intraday Analysis

Upwards scenario: The low of the 26-03-2013 offers an important resistive level at 1.2829 (R1). Any penetration above it might shift the balance to the bullish side and validate our intraday targets at 1.2859 (R2) and 1.2889 (R3). Downwards scenario: Further downtrend evolvement might occur below the immediate support level at 1.2752 (S1). Clearance here is required to enable our next targets at 1.2722 (S2) and 1.2693 (S3) in potential.

Resistance Levels: 1.2829, 1.2859, 1.2889
Support Levels: 1.2752, 1.2722, 1.2693

Forex Technical Analysis GBPUSD

Upwards scenario: Next hurdle that limit uptrend development lies above the local high at 1.5149 (R1). If the break occurs here, next attractive level could be exposed at 1.5165 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to 1.5181 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, possibility of market decline is seen below the next support level at 1.5127 (S1). Loss here would suggest next targets at 1.5110 (S2) and 1.5092 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 1.5149, 1.5165, 1.5181
Support Levels: 1.5127, 1.5110, 1.5092

Forex Technical Analysis USDJPY

Upwards scenario: Possibility of market strengthening is seen above the resistance level at 94.27 (R1). Clearance here is required to validate next interim target at 94.42 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting mark at 94.58 (R3). Downwards scenario: However the downside direction remains favored according to the technical indicators. Fresh low offers a key support measure at 93.98 (S1). Decline below it would enable next targets located at 93.83 (S2) and 93.69 (S3).

Resistance Levels: 94.27, 94.42, 94.58
Support Levels: 93.98, 93.83, 93.69

Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( Best Forex Trading Platform | ECN Broker Account | FXCC )[/B]

Daily Forex Market by FXCC

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Resistance Levels: 1.2894, 1.2919, 1.2945 Support Levels: 1.2829, 1.2806, 1.278

Resistance Levels: 1.2894, 1.2919, 1.2945
Support Levels: 1.2829, 1.2806, 1.278