Daily Gold Analysis

:bar_chart: XAUUSD (Gold) Daily Technical Analysis – July 16, 2025

Timeframe: M30
Current Price: 3339.66
Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish
Key Focus: Breakout or Rejection at Resistance Zone

:mag: Market Overview:

Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3339 after a volatile session over the last few days. Price has formed a double-top structure near 3368 and rejected sharply, indicating seller dominance around that level. A series of lower highs is also visible on the M30 chart, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.

:small_orange_diamond: Technical Levels to Watch:

Major Resistance Zone: 3358 – 3368

Minor Resistance: 3348

Current Zone: 3339

Immediate Support: 3325

Strong Support Zone: 3305 – 3310

:repeat: Trade Setup Ideas for Today:

:white_check_mark: Sell Setup:

:chart_with_downwards_trend: Sell Limit: 3348 – 3355
:dart: Target 1: 3325
:dart: Target 2: 3308
:stop_sign: Stop Loss: 3365

Reason: Price is retesting the previous supply zone. A bearish engulfing or pin bar in this area will confirm seller strength. Use confirmation candlestick patterns on M15-M30 before entering.

:white_check_mark: Buy Setup (Only if breakout happens):

:chart_with_upwards_trend: Buy Stop: Above 3368 (after 15min candle close)
:dart: Target 1: 3382
:dart: Target 2: 3395
:stop_sign: Stop Loss: 3350

Reason: Clean breakout and retest of 3368 level can invite bulls again. Volume and momentum must support the breakout.

:pushpin: Summary:

We are currently at a decision zone. Market is likely to reject from 3348–3355 for a short-term sell opportunity unless we see a strong breakout above 3368. Watch price action closely in that area.

:brain: Trading Tip of the Day:

β€œDon’t chase the trade, let the trade come to your level.” – Wait for confirmation before entry. Follow proper risk management.

Gold Consolidates Below $3,365

Gold retreated below $3,365 on Monday, reversing part of Friday’s sharp gains. Volatility followed Powell’s dovish tone at Jackson Hole, which boosted the likelihood of a September rate cut. CME FedWatch placed those odds at 88%, up from 75% before his remarks.

Downside risks for gold remain limited, with easier Fed policy expectations weighing on the US Dollar and keeping the non-yielding metal supported.

Resistance is at $3,374, with support at $3,352.

R1: 3374 S1: 3352
R2: 3420 S2: 3310
R3: 3450 S3: 3275