The Dollar Continues Range-bound Trading Ahead of US Employment Data
Despite a busy start to the current five-day period, major currency pairs remain near previously reached extremes. Here’s what happened in recent trading sessions:
- The US ISM manufacturing PMI data was released (worse than expected: 48.7 vs. 49.8)
- The ADP employment report was released (worse than expected: 152K vs. 173K)
- The Bank of Canada meeting resulted in a 0.25% cut in the base interest rate to 4.75%
USD/CAD
According to the technical analysis of the USD/CAD pair on the daily timeframe, range-bound trading between 1.3740-1.3590 prevails. The price has remained within this corridor for over four weeks, making it difficult to predict the future direction without a decisive breakout. Currently, a bounce from the upper boundary is observed, and with an appropriate news impulse, a retest of 1.3610-1.3590 can be expected. Key upcoming events to watch:
- Today at 15:30 (GMT +3:00): Initial jobless claims in the US
- Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT +3:00): Change in non-farm payrolls in the US (forecast: 185K)
- Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT +3:00): Change in full employment in Canada
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