Daily Market Outlook from ACFX

[B][U]Daily Market Outlook[/U][/B]

Posted by on January 16, 2013

[B] Important Financial Indicators of the day Forecast Previous[/B]
USD 15:30 (GMT) Core CPI m/m 0.2% 1.1%
Currencies

[B]EUR/USD [/B]The euro’s 8.4 percent gain against the U.S. dollar in the past six months is posing a fresh threat to the European economy just as it shows signs of escaping the debt crisis, said Jean-Claude Juncker, who leads the group of euro-area finance ministers.
    The European currency dropped as much as 0.9 percent after Juncker’s comments, the biggest intraday decline since Jan. 3. The euro traded at $1.3306 at 5 p.m. New York time, down 0.6 percent. It touched an intraday high of $1.3404 on Jan. 14, the strongest since Feb. 29, 2012.

[B]USD/JPY[/B] The yen headed for its biggest two- day gain in eight months amid speculation the Bank of Japan (8301) will fail to impress investors with extra policy measures at its Jan. 21-22 meeting.
    The yen rose 0.7 percent to 88.16 per dollar as of 2:15
    p.m. in Tokyo, following a 0.8 percent jump yesterday. It would
    be the sharpest back-to-back gain since May 18. The Japanese
    currency reached 89.67 on Jan. 14, a level unseen since June
    2010. The euro slid 0.1 percent to $1.3289 after dropping 0.6
    percent yesterday. It touched $1.3404 on Jan. 14, the strongest
    since Feb. 29. The currency fell 0.9 percent to 117.14 yen.

[B]USD/CAD[/B] The Canadian dollar weakened the most in six months against the yen on speculation the central bank may limit policies to devalue the currency after Japan’s economy minister said the country faces economic risks.
    The Canadian dollar, called the loonie for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, was little changed at 98.43 cents per U.S. dollar at 5:07 p.m. in Toronto, after declining the most since Jan. 4. One loonie buys $1.0160.

[B]Commodities[/B]

[B]Oil[/B] traded near the lowest level in almost a week in New York after U.S. crude stockpiles increased and the World Bank cut its economic growth forecasts.
    Crude for February delivery was at $93.51 a barrel, up 23 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:46 p.m. Singapore time. The contract declined 0.9 percent to $93.28 yesterday, the biggest drop since Dec. 21 and the lowest close since Jan. 9.
    Brent for February settlement, which expires today, was up
    37 cents at $110.67 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures
    Europe exchange. The more active March contract rose 35 cents to
    $109.98. The front-month European benchmark contract was at a
    premium of $17.16 to WTI. It closed at $17.02 yesterday, the
    narrowest spread since Sept. 19.

[B]Gold[/B] advanced for a third day toward
a two-week high as expectations that global policy makers will
need to stimulate growth boosted demand for a store of value.
Platinum fell from the most expensive in three months.
    Spot gold gained as much as 0.3 percent to $1,684.75 an ounce and traded at $1,682.45 at 12:48 p.m. in Singapore. The metal reached $1,685.25 yesterday, the costliest since Jan. 3, after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the previous day that while the U.S. economy is responding to monetary stimulus there is still “quite a ways to go.”

[B]Equities[/B]

[B]Asian stocks[/B] fell, with the regional
benchmark index heading for its first loss in three days, amid
signs markets are overbought. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average slid
by the most in eight months.

    The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) slid 0.8 percent to 131.61 as of 3:03 p.m. Tokyo time, with almost three stocks falling for each that rose. The gauge has rallied since November after reports showed China’s economy is recovering and Japanese shares gained on speculation Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will pursue more aggressive policies to stimulate the world’s third-largest economy

[B]European stocks[/B] were little changed as concern that debt-ceiling talks will harm the
U.S. economy and a report showing weaker-than-forecast German growth
offset Spain’s better-than-targeted sale of debt.

    The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) lost less than 0.1 percent to 285.97 at the close of trading. The measure has still gained 2.3 percent since the start of the year after U.S. lawmakers agreed on a budget, avoiding tax increases and spending cuts that threatened to push the world’s biggest economy into a recession.

[B]U.S stocks[/B] advanced, rebounding from earlier losses in the Standard & Poor’s
500 Index, as a rally in retail and transportation companies
overshadowed concern about discussions on raising the debt ceiling.

    The S&P 500 rose 0.1 percent to 1,472.34 at 4 p.m. New York time, after falling as much as 0.5 percent earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 27.57 points, or 0.2 percent, to 13,534.89. The Dow Jones Transportation Average gained 0.7 percent to a record 5,639.64. About 5.8 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 5.7 percent.

[B][U]Daily Market Outlook[/U][/B]

Posted by on January 17, 2013

[B]Important Financial Indicators of the day 	Forecast 	Previous[/B]

USD 15:30 (GMT) Building Permits 0.91M 0.90M
USD 15:30 (GMT) Unemployement Claims 369K 371K
USD 17:00 (GMT) Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 7.1 8.1
NZD 23:45 (GMT) CPI q/q 0.1% 0.3%
Currencies

[B]AUD/USD[/B] Australia’s dollar slid versus all of its 16 major counterparts after a report today showed employers in the country unexpectedly cut payrolls last month, adding to concern the domestic economy is slowing.
    Australia’s dollar lost 0.6 percent to $1.0507 at 2:53 p.m. in Sydney. It dropped 0.7 percent to 92.80 yen, extending its 1.2 percent decline in the previous two days. New Zealand’s currency slid 0.2 percent to 83.90 U.S. cents after rising 0.2 percent yesterday. It weakened 0.3 percent to 74.09 yen

[B]USD/JPY[/B] The yen fell, snapping a two-day gain, as investors weighed the likelihood of new monetary easing measures by the Bank of Japan (8301) next week.
    The yen slid 0.4 percent to 88.74 per dollar at 3:09 p.m. in Tokyo, after gaining 1.2 percent over the previous two days. It sank to 89.67 on Jan. 14, the lowest since June 2010. It fell 0.5 percent to 117.96 per euro. The euro was little changed at $1.3295.

[B]USD/CAD[/B] The Canadian dollar fell against most of its major peers as government officials in Russia and Japan criticized monetary policies that have devalued major currencies in an attempt to spark economic growth.
    The Canadian dollar, known as the loonie for the image of the waterfowl on the C$1 coin, declined 0.2 percent to 98.59 cents per U.S. dollar at 5:05 p.m. in Toronto. One loonie buys $1.0143

[B]Commodities[/B]

[B]Oil [/B]fell in New York as investors
speculated a rally to the highest level in four months was
exaggerated amid concern the global economic recovery may
falter, curbing fuel demand
    Crude for February delivery declined as much as 44 cents to
    $93.80 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile
    Exchange and was at $93.83 at 1:12 p.m. Singapore time. The
    contract climbed 96 cents to $94.24 yesterday, the most since
    Jan. 2. It was the highest close since Sept. 18.
    Brent oil for March settlement on the London-based ICE
    Futures Europe exchange decreased as much as 23 cents to $109.45
    a barrel. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of
    $15.27 to New York-traded West Texas Intermediate for the same
    month. The spread ended yesterday’s session at $16.37, the
    narrowest since Sept. 19.

[B]Gold [/B]traded little changed near a
two-week high as investors weighed concern about slowing global
economic growth and expectations for more stimulus. Palladium
was near the highest level since September 2011.

    Spot gold was at $1,680.05 an ounce at 10:29 a.m. in Singapore from $1,679.95 yesterday. The metal reached $1,685.25 on Jan. 15, the most expensive since Jan. 3, as U.S. lawmakers wrangled over increasing the $16.4 trillion debt ceiling. Since 1960, Congress has raised or revised the debt limit 79 times, including 49 times under Republican presidents, according to the Treasury Department.

[B]Equities[/B]

[B]Asian stocks [/B]declined, with the regional benchmark index poised to fall a second day, after touching a 17-month high this week. The Nikkei 225 (NKY) Stock Average headed for its biggest two-day drop since November 2011 after the yen reversed its losses.
    The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 0.5 percent to 130.84
    as of 1:42 p.m. Tokyo time, erasing gains of as much as 0.6
    percent. The gauge rallied 9.8 percent from Nov. 14 through
    yesterday as Japanese shares surged on speculation Prime
    Minister Shinzo Abe will pursue more aggressive stimulus
    policies and reports showed recovery in the U.S. and China.

[B]European stocks[/B] were little changed,
erasing an earlier retreat for the region’s benchmark Stoxx
Europe 600 Index, as U.S. industrial production climbed and
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s earnings topped estimates.

    The Stoxx 600 rose less than 0.1 percent to 286.03 at the
    close of trading, after earlier falling as much as 0.4 percent.
    The gauge has advanced 2.3 percent since the start of the year
    after U.S. lawmakers agreed on a budget, avoiding tax increases
    and spending cuts

[B]U.S stocks[/B] fell, following yesterday’s gain, as a cut in the World Bank’s growth forecasts offset a rally in Apple Inc. as investors watched earnings.
.
    Three stocks retreated for every two rising on U.S. exchanges at 4 p.m. New York time. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advanced less than 0.1 percent to 1,472.63. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 23.66 points, or 0.2 percent, to 13,511.23. About 5.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 8.6 percent below the three-month average.