FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 08th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
CADJPY - on its way to support at 88.90
Today CADJPY broke below support at 90.70 level. Currently declines stopped at weak support at 90.10 and we should see a return movement attempts. If price will move back above 90.70 today’s movement will be a false breakout and next targets for upward movement will be the levels 91.20, 91.80, 92.40. More likely scenario is rebound - if price could reach 90.70.
Since August 25 CADJPY moves in consolidation between 93.00, 88.90. Last time at November 19 price tested upper limit of consolidation so there is a huge probability that right now lower limit of consolidation 88.90 will be tested. Breaking one of the pointed levels will give us a confirmation of consolidation end.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 09th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDJPY - correction in upward trend
In last week 90.40 level was tested and caused rebound. Yesterday price broke below support at 89.60 level (visible at daily time-frame) and currently price will test next support 88.00. On the way there is an uptrend line, however it is more likely that price will test 88.00 and rebound after it. If supply will be strong enough another strong support is at 86.20 level.
Wider view, time-frame D1
Since the beginning of September 2015 AUDJPY moves in an uptrend. Last week price with strong candle broke above 89.60 level. However current week began and continues as a correction. It is likely that 88.00 could be a good level for a rebound. AUDJPY is characterized by high volatility and until there are higher highs and higher lows at daily time-frame declines should be seen as a correction in an uptrend.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 09th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDJPY - monthly support has been broken
Since last month USDJPY moves in a narrow consolidation between 122.30 - 123.60. Today demand gave up after 4 defenses of support at 122.30 level. Currently return movement to the broken support is very likely. The behavior of price in this area will determine the future direction of the movement. If price will go back to consolidation, movement to 123.60 level should be easy. However if supply will confirm today’s breakout, nearest target of falls is 121.45 level. Further targets for the supply were pointed below on the higher time-frame.
Wider view, time-frame W1
Since 2012 USDJPY moves in an uptrend. Trend is strong, what is confirmed by the fact that for more than a year uptrend line hasn’t been tested (dotted line on the chart below). If declines will still continue, next strong supports are at levels: area 119.00 (trend line reinforced by support), 116.00 (strong support).
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 10th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
NZDUSD - upward movement after RBNZ decision
Yesterday Reserve Bank of New Zealand announced its interest rate decision. As forecasted, main rate was reduced. This caused volatility on the NZDUSD. First, price false broke below support at 0.6610 and second dynamic upward candle reached to 0.6780 level. Further attempt to break above indicated resistance and upward movement to 0.6850 is very likely.
Wider view, time-frame D1
Since 5 months NZDUSD moves in consolidation between 0.6260 - 0.6850. Last time lower limit of the consolidation was tested in September 2015. Currently price approaches range upper limit. However price still stays below downtrend line and that suggests return to declines in the future. Right now break above 0.6900 will change sentiment and gives a hope to trend reversal.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 10th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPCHF - high volatility under the influence of central banks
Today at GBPCHF traders that were range-trading should earn a lot. Those ones who waited for a range breakout might dent their deposits. In the morning SNB took a decision on interest rates. Interest rates remained at the same level. GBPCHF failed to break above resistance and rebounded. After that it reached a daily low. Demand was supported by Bank of England and here interest rates were also unchanged what brought another upward impuls.
Time-frame M30:
If break above 1.5000 level will succeed target for upward movement is at 1.5070. Only above this level it will prove whether this rebound is likely to be a new uptrend. But if new wave of fall activates, the nearest strong support is at 1.4890 level.
Time-frame M30:
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 11th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD - markets awaits FED decision
After last week’s fast upward movement, in current week demand does not give up. On Wednesday we saw a test of 50% fibo level of the previous downward movement. After that there was a shallow correction. Currently, upward movement continues and it is likely that high from last days will be exceeded.
Next Wednesday investors will know the FED decision on interest rates. If there won’t be a first hike it will be a big surprise for the markets. From the fundamental side there is a divergence between the central banks policy which should result in a further weakening of the euro against the dollar. However the decision is not yet published and technically EURUSD has a chance to test the 61,8% fibo level, which is located in the area 1.1120. That level is also strengthened by resistance. Nearest resistances: 1.1030, 1.1120. Supports: 1.0910, 1.0860, 1.0810, 1.0685, 1.0630.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 12th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPUSD - on three weeks high
Today US inflation data was published. That was one of the last important macro reading before next week FED meeting. As federal reserve expected, inflation increased more rapidly than forecasted. The time of FOMC meeting is approaching and it may cause big volatility because nobody knows what will be the markets reaction on first rate hike.
At GBPUSD (H1) today demand broke above resistance at 1.5190 level and approached next resistance at 1.5240. What’s interesting, this month’s upward movement took the form of simple ABCD correction and price already reached D point, where AB=CD.
Wider view, time-frame D1
GBPUSD continues rebound that started on December 2nd. Nearest resistance is 1.5240 level (blue line at chart D1). Stronger resistance (monthly high) is at 1.5330 level (red dotted line at chart H1).
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 14th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURAUD - reached to resistance, for the last week point for the bulls
At the beginning of December there was a test of support at 1.4400 level. That level caused dynamical rebound. After impressing last week’s candle (at weekly time-frame), price reached to the resistance that stopped upward movement. Currently this upward movement should be treated as a correction.
However it is likely that price will reach to 1.5500 level where is resistance and fibo 50% of last downward movement or even to 1.5720 level where is fibo 61,8%. On each of that important levels: 1.5270, 1.5500, 1.5720 bears will be looking oportunity to end that correction. When declines will back we will be able to determine in what condition are the bulls. Then it turns out if it is a chance to return to upward movement, which last at EURAUD since April 2015.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 14th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDCAD - new highs, but resistance is on the horizon
Previous analysis USDCAD from November 26 gave more than a 400 pips profit. I wrote: “In the coming days demand should carry out another attack at the resistance 1.3400” and “if this resistance will be broken, next target for demand is at the level 1.3860”. Actually continuation of upward movement is very dynamic and today price tested 1.3780 level.
Since 2004 price wasn’t at such high levels. Currently next resistances should be looking for at monthly time-frame. It should be noted that levels from monthly time-frame aren’t precise. Nearest resistances are at area: 1.3860, 1.4070. If there will be a correction nearest support is at 1.3430 level.
Time-frame H4
Time-frame monthly
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 15th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD - the highest since 1,5 months
EURUSD continues it’s upward movement. In last few days there was a shallow correction and today price break above last few days highs. Since October 30 EURUSD wasn’t so high (1.1058 level was tested). Currently price keeping up above 1.1000 level. Next target for bulls is 1.1120 level there are resistance and 61,8 Fibonacci level of last downward movement. There will be a huge volatility during tomorrows FOMC meeting. First will be FOMC decision about rate hikes and second a press conference of Janet Yellen (FED’s chief).
It is likely that first reaction on EURUSD will be different than the right one that appears later. It is worth to follow the event on Wednesday evening, and certainly you shouldn’t leave at that moment open position “without a care”. Nearest supports if descents will back: 1.0990, 1.0930, 1.0860, 1.0810, 1.0685, 1.0630.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 15th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDCHF reached to strong support and Fibonacci 61,8% level
Last analysis USDCHF from November 20 gave profit more than 300 pips, I wrote: “Since a month there is a dynamic upward movement without any bigger correction. Currently price reached to resistance and that level should bring declines or maybe even a deeper correction”.
Rebound was very dynamically however it may approach to the end. Currently USDCHF reached to Fibonacci 61,8% level of last upward movement and this level is reinforced by strong support. It is likely that price will move upward and strength of this rebound will show direction of further movement. Swiss SNB maintains that CHF is currently overvalued and will do everything to weaken the CHF. This should give new downward impuls on USDCHF. Nearest supports: 0.9790, 0.9590, 0.9470, 0.9300. But if price will back to uptrend nearest resistances are at levels: 0.9940, 1.0090.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 16th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPNZD - after 4 months of declines rebound is likely
Since the beginning of this year to August GBPNZD gain almost 25%. In August there was a correction that lasts until today. Currently there is a great moment to rebound. Price reached to Fibonacci 50% level of previous upward movement. That level is strengthened by supports formed in 2010 and 2011. If price will rebound, it could back to this year’s high. Resistances are at levels: 2.2660, 2.3000, 2.3500, 2.4000, 2.4520.
However if bulls fails, target for bears are located at levels: 2.1570 (Fibonacci 61,8% and support), area 2.0800. In that last area there is Fibonacci 78,6%, support and equal length of the current correction AB = CD. If there won’t be rebound before that level that last area is strongest level to stop falls.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 16th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPUSD - supply is not giving up
Last GBPUSD analysis from October 2 gave 250 pips profit. I showed important support which should rebound and targets for that move. I wrote: “if rebound occurs, the next resistances will be at: 1.5120, 1.5240, 1.5370”. In fact after rebound price at Friday reached 1.5239 level and declines returned.
GBPUSD moves in a downward trend. It is confirmed by blue dotted line on the chart. Today support at 1.5000 was tested. Next supports are located at levels: 1.4870, 1.4740. Today we are waiting for the most important event of the month (or maybe of the year), which can be first rates hike in USA. It’s impossible to predict what will be the reaction of the market because that information should be already priced in. If price rebound again nearest resistance is at 1.5120. However more important will be break above 1.5240 level. It should allow bigger upward movement.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 17th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDJPY - upward movement in uptrend channel
As markets expected on Wednesday evening there was a lot of volatility, and all tis due to the FED decision about interest rates. Finally there was no surprise and FED announced first rates hike since 9 years. Volatility was high just after the announcement however movement was two-sided. There wasn’t so much unpredictable movements like after ECB event, which was in early December.
Beside EURUSD high volality was also at AUDJPY. During yesterday’s event there were an attempt of broke above resistance at 88.100. For 6 hours price remained above that level and declines were back. Currently price broke again that resistance and upward movement should be continued.
Situation looks Clearly on AUDJPY at daily time-frame.
After sudden drop which was at August 24 (and broke below support at 89.250) price gains in value. New higher high and higher low are established. The movement took a form of uptrend channel. At any time, it may be an attack on the indicated resistance and it is likely that it will be successfully. The nearest resistances: 88.560, 89.250, 90.600. Important support 86.500.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 17th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
CADJPY - breakout of support confirmed by a re-test
In previous analysis from December 8 entitled “on its way to support at 88.90” I wrote that after breaking 90.70 level, falls will test 88.90 level. That in fact happened, but supply didn’t stop the pressure at that level and last Friday support was broken. Until yesterday there was a rebound which ended today and price already returned to declines.
Currently situation looks very bad for demand side. Upward movement which we saw this week was just a re-test of new resistance. It is likely that declines will become a further direction. Only return above 88.90 level could change declining sentiment on CADJPY. The nearest support can be found at: 87.40, and another in the area 85.00. Resistances are at levels: 88.90, 90.70
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 18th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
NZDCAD - upward rally is coming to an end?
Since a month NZDCAD moves in a one direction. It is an upward impulse. In that period price gain 800 pips. Volatility of NZDCAD is huge, so it is likely that it will change direction and same dynamic movement will begin in the opposite direction. In last days there were attempts of breaking above resistance at 0.9350 which so far failed. Stronger resistance is 100 pips higher at 0.9450 it is strengthened by Fibonacci 88,6% of earlier downward movement.
December’s monthly candle is historically extremely long which may mean that potential for further upward movement is running out. These 800 pips was carried out without correction. Nearest resistances: 0.9350, 0.9450, nearest supports 0.9320, 0.9180, 0.9040.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 18th Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDJPY - high volatility after BoJ announcement
Perturbation after Bank of Japan event caused huge volatility at JPY currency pairs. BoJ surprised investors with its decision to allocate 300 billion yen for the ETFs investing primarily in companies from the Nikkei400 index. Just after that decision there were contradictory informations about the activities of the bank which resulted in higher volatility.
Yesterday USDJPY returned inside the consolidation in which it moved since November 7. Short after BoJ announcement price tested upper limit of consolidation and dynamic falls broke below support at 122.25 level. It is likely that declines will be continued. Targets for supply are at levels: 120.80, 118.80.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 21st Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDNZD - high volatility and trouble with identifying direction
From June to October 2015 AUDNZD moved in consolidation between levels 1.1390 - 1.0920. After breaking below the lower limit of the channel, declines stopped at 1.0500. At that support there were a dynamic rebound which led price back to the consolidation. Joy of demand was too early and after 14 days AUDNZD broke below lower limit of the channel again.
Currently falls reached support at 1.0580, after it breaks, supply will have to deal with 6-months low at 1.0500. Another supports are at levels: 1.0370, 1.0290, 1.0190, 1.0040. If rebound occurs, important level which should cause trend reversal is 1.1300. After it breaks, price will finish the head and shoulders pattern forming since 2 years. It is a trend reversal formation. The nearest resistances are at levels: 1.0760, 1.0880, 1.1070.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 21st Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURPLN - rebound from important resistance, falls targeting 4.1000
Confusion after polish election in Poland led to depreciation of the Polish currency. EURPLN reached strong resistance at 4.3000 level. Rebound from that level occurred last week and was so dynamic that also the uptrend line was broken. In 5 days falls of 1400 pips and currently reached to the support area of 4.2400. That support is also strengthened by Fibonacci 50% of last upward movement. This should induce corrective rebound, after which falls could be continued. After break below that level the nearest support is located at: 4.2100, and the main target for supply is at 4.1000 level.
Since 4 years EURPLN moves in the regression channel. Upper and lower limits of that channel have been constantly tested: 4.3000 and 4.1000. Right now there is nothing which could indicate that this consolidation in coming to an end.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 22nd Dec, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD - consolidation will be continued in 2016
Every important macro data (which have influence on EURUSD) in this year was published. For the first time in 9 years FED raised interest rates, but this event had less meaning to EURUSD than predictable ECB. Markets received less than expected, however in policy of ECB there wasn’t any changes.
Since December 4 EURUSD moves in consolidation between resistance 1.1050 and support 1.0800. It is likely that for next days until the end of this year price will be inside that consolidation. What is interesting, despite divergent policies of both central banks which should bring further declines of EURUSD, technically it has a chance of the continuation of upward movement. The falls that occured between December’s top and bottom reached fibo 50% and rebounded. Nearest resistances: 1.0950, 1.0980, 1.1030, 1.1050. Nearest supports: 1.0905, 1.0870, 1.0830, 1.0800.
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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
