Date: July 19, 2017
USDJPY finally bouncing off support, time to start buying
Buy above 111.77. Stop loss at 110.88. Take profit at 114.32.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has finally dropped to our buying level which is major support at 111.77 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, Elliott wave theory, horizontal overlap support) and we expect a bounce above this level for a push up to at least 114.32 resistance (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is approaching major support at 1.2% which corresponds with the bounce we’re expecting in price.
AUDJPY testing strong resistance, remain bearish
Sell below 89.11. Stop loss at 87.52. Take profit at 89.61.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is testing major resistance at 89.11 (Fibonacci extension, swing high resistance) and we expect to see a reaction off this level for a drop to at least 87.52 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) has started dropping from our 98% resistance nicely.
GBPUSD approaching major resistance, remain bearish
Sell below 1.3170. Stop loss at 1.3257. Take profit at 1.2820.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching major resistance at 1.3170 (Fibonacci extension, long term swing high resistance) and we expect to see a reaction off that level for a drop to at least 1.2820 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance below 95% and we expect to see a drop from here.
NZDUSD profit target reached, prepare to sell
Sell below 0.7367. Stop loss at 0.7391. Take profit at 0.7300.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has bounced up and reached our profit target perfectly. We prepare to sell below major resistance at 0.7367 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance, Elliott wave theory) for a drop from this level towards at least 0.7300 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is dropping nicely from our 90% resistance and we expect a further drop from here.
USDCHF testing major support, remain bullish for a corrective bounce
Buy above 0.9527. Stop loss at 0.9500. Take profit at 0.9593.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped strongly after making the bearish channel exit. We prepare to buy above strong support at 0.9527 (Fibonacci extension, bullish price action, channel exit potential) for a push up to at least 0.9593 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing strong support above 3.6% where we expect a further bounce from.
Correlation analysis: EURUSD and USDCHF are negatively correlated, meaning they move in opposite directions. It’s good to see a drop on EURUSD and a corresponding bounce in USDCHF.
EURUSD testing resistance, remain bearish
Sell below 1.1583. Stop loss at 1.1617. Take profit at 1.1491.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has risen a lot since yesterday and is now testing strong resistance at 1.1583 (Fibonacci extension, swing high resistance, bearish price action, bearish divergence) and we expect to see a reaction off this level for a drop to at least 1.1491 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing strong resistance below 97% and also sees bearish divergence vs price signalling that a drop is impending.
Correlation analysis: EURUSD and USDCHF are negatively correlated, meaning they move in opposite directions. It’s good to see a drop on EURUSD and a corresponding bounce in USDCHF.