DAX Elliott Wave View: Short term near top
The move higher in DAX from 3/22 low is proposed to be unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where the first leg Minutte wave (a) is subdivided in a 5 waves impulse Elliottwave structure and the third leg wave © is also subdivided into a 5 waves impulse Elliottwave structure. It’s not a good time to chase long in the Index at this stage as Index has reached short term inflection area where cycle from 3/22 low can end and a 3 waves pullback at minimum can be seen.
DAX Short term Elliott Wave Chart
Short term view of DAX suggests move from 3/22 low is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 12130.5, Minutte wave (b) ended at 11942.5, and Minutte wave © of ((w)) is expected to complete at 12255 – 12351 area, which is the 1.236 – 1.618 extension area of Minutte wave (a) and (b). Expect the Index to pullback from this area in 3, 7, or 11 swing within Minute wave ((x)) pullback before the rally resumes to a new high. Chasing long in the Index is not a good idea at this stage as pair has reached the 100% area in 3 swing.
There are two other possible scenario with DAX. Another scenario is the move from 3/22 low is unfolding as an Impulse Elliott wave structure instead of a zigzag. This scenario can happen if the current move higher gets extended to 1.618 extension (12251). In this case, we can label the move to 12130.5 as Minutte wave (i), the pullback to 11942.5 can be labelled as Minutte wave (ii) and the move higher to 12251 (at least) can be counted as Minutte wave (iii). In an impulse scenario, the Index should pullback in Minutte wave (iv) then extend higher again one more leg before finishing Minutte wave (v) and ending cycle from 3/22 low.
The other scenario is the more bearish one which is an Expanded Flat Elliott wave structure starting from 3/16 high. In this scenario, the move lower to 11877.25 on 3/22 low is labelled as Minute ((a)) and the current move higher in 3 waves will end Minute ((b)). If Expanded Flat is in play, then once current rally ends in Minutte wave ((b)), we can see a strong selloff in wave (©) which should be subdivided into 5 waves internally and could go below 11877.25.
As the Index continues to make new high, there’s little reason for us to anticipate a Flat against a bullish background. The key takeaway is
We don’t like selling the Index as the move higher from 3/22 can get extended into an impulse structure rather than a zigzag
Chasing long here is risky because Index has reached the 100% area in which if the move higher from 3/22 is unfolding as a zigzag, a correction in 3 waves minimum can be seen soon
Traders who intend to buy DAX therefore needs to wait for a 3 waves pullback before looking for an opportunity to join the longside.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: More Upside
Short term DAX Elliott Wave view suggests the decline to 12491.5 on 5/18 ended Intermediate wave (2). Up from there, the rally is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((w)) ended at 12879.5 and Minute wave ((x)) pullback ended at 12616.44. Internal of Minute wave ((x)) is subdivided as an expanded flat Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 12633.5 and Minutte wave (b) ended at 12922.5.
A break above Minutte wave ((b)) on 6/14 is necessary to add validity that the next leg higher has started. Up from 12616.44, the rally is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave (a) is in progress as 5 waves. Expect a pullback in Minute wave (b) soon to correct cycle from 6/15 low (12616.44). While dips stay above 12616.44, expect Index to extend higher. We do not like selling the proposed pullback and buyers should appear once Minute wave (b) pullback is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 06/20/2017
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: Bullish Against 12617
Short term DAX Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 5/18 is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((w)) ended at 12879.5 and Minute wave ((x)) pullback ended at 12617. Internal of Minute wave ((x)) subdivided as an expanded flat Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 12633.5, Minutte wave (b) ended at 12922.5 and Minutte wave © of ((x)) ended at 12617. DAX has broken above Minutte wave (b) on 6/14, adding conviction that the next leg higher has started. Up from 12617, the rally is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 12948.5 and Minutte wave (b) is proposed complete at 12772.5. Near term, while pullbacks stay above 12772.5, and more importantly above 12617, expect Index to extend higher. We do not like selling the proposed pullback.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: Pullback Completed
Short term DAX Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 5/18 is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((w)) ended at 12879.5 and Minute wave ((x)) pullback ended at 12617. Internal of Minute wave ((x)) subdivided as an expanded flat Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 12633.5, Minutte wave (b) ended at 12922.5 and Minutte wave © of ((x)) ended at 12617. DAX has broken above Minutte wave (b) on 6/14, adding conviction that the next leg higher has started. Up from 12617, the rally is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (a) ended at 12948.5 and Minutte wave (b) is proposed complete at 12701.5. Near term, while pullbacks stay above 12701.5, and more importantly above 12617, expect Index to extend higher. We do not like selling the Index.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
Short term YM (DJI Futures) Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 4/19 low is unfolding as a diagonal Elliott Wave structure where Minor wave 1 ended at 21010 (4/26), Minor wave 2 ended at 20474 (5/18), Minor wave 3 ended at 21494 (6/19). Minor wave 4 is in progress and subdivided into a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 6/19 peak, Minor wave 4 is expected to do 7 swings and reach 21257 – 21221 area. Index should then resume the rally looking for new highs or bounce in 3 waves at least. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and expect buyers to keep appearing at extremes in the sequence of 7 or 11 swings as far as pivot at 5/18 (20474) low remains intact in the first degree and 4/19 (20311) low remains intact in the second degree.
DAX Elliott Wave View: More Downside
Short term DAX Elliott Wave view suggests the decline from 5/15 high is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure. Down from 5/15 peak, Primary wave ((W)) ended at 12303 as a Flat and Primary wave ((X)) bounce ended at 12672. Primary wave ((Y)) is currently in progress and unfolding as a triple three Elliott wave structure. Down from 12672 peak, Intermediate wave (W) ended at 12373.5, Intermediate wave (X) ended at 12567, Intermediate wave (Y) ended at 12180.5 and Intermediate second wave (X) ended at 12339.48. Near term, while bounces stay below 12339.48, expect the Index to resume lower towards 11878.65 – 12030.11 area to end cycle from 5/15 high. Afterwards, from that area, expect the Index to at least bounce in 3 waves to correct cycle from 5/15 high.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
DAX Intra-Day Elliott Wave Analysis
The rally in DAX from 8/29 low is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure where Intermediate wave (W) ended at 13089 and pullback to 12903 ended Intermediate wave (X). Up from there, the rally from 12903 low looks to be unfolding as an impulse. Minute wave ((i)) ended at 13066 and pullback to 12906.5 ended Minute wave ((ii)). Minute wave ((iii)) remains in progress and expected to end with one more leg higher. Afterwards, Index should pullback in Minute wave ((iv)) before another leg higher in Minute wave ((v)) of A. We don’t like selling the Index in any proposed pullback. For the impulse view to remain valid, ideally Minute wave ((iv)) pullback later should not retrace more than 50% of Minute wave ((iii)). Near term, while pullbacks stay above 12903 low, expect the Index to extend higher.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Analysis
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: Ending 5 Waves
DAX Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that the Index ended Intermediate wave (X) pullback at 12731.46. The rally from there is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (i) ended at 12943, Minutte wave (ii) ended at 12881.5, Minutte wave (iii) ended at 13408.5, and Minutte wave (iv) is proposed complete at 13328.5. Index has scope to extend 1 more leg higher in Minutte wave (v) before ending 5 waves up from 1/2 low (12731.46).
The move higher in Minutte wave (v) should also end Minute wave ((a)) of a larger degree. Afterwards, Index should pullback in Minute wave ((b)) to correct cycle from 1/2 low before the rally resumes. Chasing the Index higher from here is risky, but we don’t like selling the Index either. We expect buyers to appear during Minute wave ((b)) pullback in 3, 7, or 11 swing for an extension higher as far as pivot at 1/2 low (12731.46) stays intact.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: Correction in Progress
DAX Short Term Elliott Wave view suggests that Intermediate wave (X) ended at 12731.46. Rally from there is unfolding as a 5 waves impulsive Elliott Wave structure where Minutte wave (i) ended at 12943, Minutte wave (ii) ended at 12881.5, Minutte wave (iii) ended at 13408.5, Minutte wave (iv) ended at 13328.5, and Minutte wave (v) of ((a)) is proposed complete at 13421.5. Index is correcting cycle from 1/2/2018 low within Minute wave ((b)) in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the rally resumes.
Internal of Minute wave ((b)) is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave Structure where Minute wave (a) is proposed complete at 13219. While Minute wave (b) bounce fails below 13421.5, Index has scope to extend lower in Minute wave © of ((b)) to finish the zigzag correction. Afterwards, expect Index to resume higher as far as pivot at 1/2 low (12731.46) stays intact. We don’t like selling the Index and expect buyers to appear for more upside in 3, 7, or 11 swing, provided pivot at 1/2 low stays intact.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
DAX Elliott wave view: Calling for another extension lower
DAX, the index from Germany, is correcting higher degree cycle from February 2016. Short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to 12597.51 at February 26.2018 ended Primary wave ((X)). Down from there, the decline unfolded as a 5 waves Elliott Wave Impulse Sequence which ended at 11730.50 and this 5 waves ended Intermediate wave (A) of a Zigzag structure in the higher degree. Zigzag structure is a 5-3-5 sequence and according to Elliott wave theory, after ending the first 5 waves, there should be a correction against the first leg in 3, 7 or 11 swings. The correction should then fail & extend in another 5 waves into the direction of first leg, i.e either Higher/lower. In DAX case, Intermediate wave (B) bounce should fail below 12597.51 high in 3, 7 or 11 swings for another extension lower in Intermediate wave © lower.
The internals of the decline from 12597.51 high ended Minor wave 1 at 12388, Minor wave 2 ended at 12515.5, Minor wave 3 ended at 11867, Minor wave 4 ended at 12006.50, and Minor wave 5 of (A) ended at 11725. The Index is currently correcting the cycle from 12597.51 high in Intermediate wave (B) bounce as Elliott Wave Zigzag correction, where Minor wave A ended at 12028 and Minor wave B ended at 11942.5. Above from there, Minor wave C of (B) remains in progress and expected to find sellers at 12242.73-12314.26, which is the 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of A-B. The Index should extend lower in Intermediate wave © lower as far as pivot from February 26, 2018 peak (12597.51) remains intact. Also, it’s important to note that the 1-hour Chart below is showing bearish sequence tag, which represents the incomplete sequence to the downside. We don’t like buying it and once it reaches 12242.73-12314.26 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of A-B, we are expecting sellers to appear again for 3 waves reaction lower at least.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
DAX Elliott Wave View: Correction Ended
DAX is correcting higher degree cycle from February 2016. Short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that Primary wave ((X)) ended with the rally to 12597.51. Decline from there is unfolding as a Zigzag Elliott Wave structure where Intermediate wave (A) ended at 11725 and Intermediate wave (B) is proposed complete at 12270.50 high in New York earlier today. However, Index still needs to break below Intermediate wave (A) at 11725 to give validity to this view.
Zigzag structure is a 5-3-5 sequence and according to Elliott wave theory, after ending the first 5 waves, there should be a correction against the first leg in 3, 7 or 11 swings. The correction should then fail & extend in another 5 waves into the direction of first leg, i.e either Higher/lower. In DAX case, Intermediate wave (B) bounce appears complete at 12270.50, and Index should do another extension lower in Intermediate wave © lower.
The internals of Intermediate wave (A) unfolded as 5 waves Elliott Wave Impulse structure where Minor wave 1 at 12388, Minor wave 2 ended at 12515.5, Minor wave 3 ended at 11867, Minor wave 4 ended at 12006.50, and Minor wave 5 of (A) ended at 11725. Internals of Intermediate wave (B) unfolded as Elliott Wave Zigzag correction where Minor wave A ended at 12028, Minor wave B ended at 11942.5, and Minor wave C of (B) ended at 12270.50. Near term, while bounces stay below 12270.50, and more importantly below 12597.5, expect the Index to extend lower.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: Further Weakness Ahead?
Short term Elliott Wave view in DAX suggests Primary wave ((B)) ended at 12434.7 on 3.16.2018. The decline from there is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 12434.7, Minor wave 1 ended at 12160, Minor wave 2 ended at 12375.5, Minor wave 3 ended at 11827, Minor wave 4 ended at 11987.50, and Minor wave 5 is proposed complete at 11706.50. The 5 waves move lower ended Intermediate wave (1) of a higher degree.
Intermediate wave (2) bounce is in progress to correct cycle from 3.16.2018 high as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. A zigzag is a 5-3-5 structure and has a label of ABC. Potential target for Intermediate wave (2) is 12068.9 – 12261.06, which is the 50 – 76.4% retracement of the decline from 3.16.2018 high. As far as pivot at 3.16.2018 high (12434.7) stays intact during the bounce, expect Index to extend lower again afterwards. We don’t like buying the Index.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: Ending The Wave 3 Soon
DAX Elliott Wave view in shorter cycles suggests that the rally from March 26.2018 low (11704) is extending higher in Impulse sequence with extension in the 3rd wave. It’s important to note that an impulse structure should have internal subdivision of lesser degree 5 waves impulse. And in particular, DAX’s case, Minute wave ((i)), ((ii)) and ((v)) within wave Minor degree should have an internal subdivision of 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure of lesser degree.
The rally to 12152.62 ended Minute wave ((i)) of 3 in 5 waves structure, Minute wave ((ii)) of 3 ended at 11792.29 low. Then the rally to 12639.73 high ended Minute wave ((iii)) of 3 in 5 waves and pullback to 12319.80 ended Minute wave ((iv)) of 3 as a Flat correction. Above from there, the rally is unfolding in another 5 waves structure in Minute wave ((v)) of 3. Near-term, although the index has a minimum amount of swings in placed already to end the Minor wave 3. But while dips remain above 12319.80 low index is expected to extend 1 more push higher towards 13276.55 area approximately. Afterwards, the index is expected to do a pullback in Minor wave 4 in 3, 7 or 11 swings before further upside is seen. We don’t like selling it.
DAX Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis: Bounce Can be Temporary
DAX short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that the rally to 12882.05 high ended Minor wave X bounce. The internals of that bounce unfolded as Elliott wave double three structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 12640.87. Minute wave ((x)) ended at 12468.68 and Minute wave ((y)) of X ended at 12882.05 high. Down from there, the decline is showing the overlapping price action suggesting that the decline in Minor wave Y is taking place as 3 wave corrective sequence i.e either ((w)),((x)),((y)) or ((w)),((x)),((y)),((x)),((z)) structure in Minute degree.
The initial decline from 12882.05 high is unfolding as Elliott wave zigzag correction in Minute wave ((w)) lower. Where minutte wave (a) ended in 5 waves structure at 12494 low. Up from there, the bounce to 12740.12 high ended Minutte wave (b) bounce in 3 swings. Decline from there is taking place in another 5 waves structure & reached the 12338.65-12245.56 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of (a)-(b) to end Minutte wave © of ((w)). And soon, the index is expected to do a Minute wave ((x)) bounce in 3, 7 or 11 swings against 12882.05 high before further decline in Minute wave ((y)) of Y is seen. We don’t like selling it.
DAX 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart
