Do technical indicators matter when there’s important news?

Hello! I’ve noticed that many traders use technical indicators. How do these indicators matter when there’s important news? Do they still provide helpful signals, or should we focus more on the news itself?

You’re better off not trading during high impact news like NFP.

Indicators work based off of the predictive nature of the market and the release of news can make the market move in all kinds of directions and become extremely volatile making signals given indicators during this period basically useless.

1 Like

There’s a bit to unpack from your question.

  1. Price movements around economic news / data releases usually (but not always) have more to do with expected vs actuals and less to do with technical indicators.
  2. For short term / smaller time frame traders, news will have a much bigger impact than for longer term traders. Shorter term traders tend to either stay out or focus on the news. While the longer term traders will give more weight to indicators in their analysis, where major news releases could act more like inflection points or catalysts.
  3. Inexperienced traders tend to use their indicators to predict market movements and provide entry signals, which isn’t what they were designed for. The more experienced traders tend to use indicators as a tool to analyze market movements.
1 Like

Indicators?

No.

Price action?

Yes.

I mean…

From my experience indicators have no predictive power around news events.

I mean, let’s take an RSI for example…

An overbought level on a currency pair can get waay more overbought if a new release is bullish for that pair. Same with oversold levels.

Same with any technical indicator.

But price action

That’s the market interpretation of a fundamental event.

So a pin bar after a news event?!

Yes, that’s an interesting one.

A bullish or bearish engulfing during a news event?

Also interesting.

In other words…

Indicators rarely matter during news events, but price action does.

1 Like

Agreed that Price action is great combined with good trend analysis.

@EVGRINAUS yep Agreed!

Technical indicators can still offer valuable insights, but during important news events, they may become less reliable due to increased volatility. It’s essential to consider both indicators and news. Use indicators for general trends, but stay alert to news impacts, as they can dramatically shift market sentiment and prices.

Hi @zoeyfifteen, it is a good question.

There is no direct answer for you. It depends on instrument and characteristic of the indicator. There are 3 types of indicators:

  • Equilibrium-based: MA, MACD, etc
  • Momentum-based: Stochastic, CCI, etc
  • Volatility-based: ATR, Std Dev, OBV, etc

Classification is based on their formula.

During news, the equilibrium-based indicators will still survive. But the indicator have to be properly set, parameters wise.
Momentum-based indicators can be useful, when you use them on higher TF.
The last one mostly are not reliable. News impact is too strong, they can’t follow.

For example, XAU. Using MA 50 on M15 was still respected during news. But when you use stochastic, during news, it’s better to monitor it from H1 and above. Finally, ATR during news, it has no clues about what is going on. :sweat_smile:

Big players enter before the news not during , so technical indicator before news is fine