VIT Daily Analysis
Review of Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUDUSD)
as of 31/07/14
Volatility Analysis
On 31/07/14, Australian Dollar / US Dollar last price down -0.0002 at 0.9323
Period Statistical Change
10-period 6.8985 -0.25
21-period 6.7267 -0.44
39-period 7.3582 -0.00
90-period 7.7330 -0.08
Bollinger Bands are 48.05% narrower than normal. Australian Dollar / US Dollar is currently experiencing very low volatility as compared to its normal range. The probability of volatility increasing with a sharp price move is likely in the near future.
Momentum Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator
The Stochastic Oscillator is 13.9740. This is an oversold reading. Monitor for reversal signal when the Oscillator crosses above 20. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The current value of the RSI is 42.39.This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 79 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The current value of the CCI is -157.This is an oversold reading. Monitor for reversal signal when the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
MACD Momentum Indicator
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence INDICATOR (MACD) crosses its 9 period signal line which triggers a sell 1 period(s) ago.
Trend Analysis
Aroon
There were no Aroon signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy 38 period(s) ago.
Directional Indicator
There were no Directional Indicator signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 141 period(s) ago.
MACD Trend Signal
There were no MACD Trend signals generated today. The last MACD Trend signal was a Buy 40 period(s) ago.
Stop and Reverse (SAR)
There were no SAR signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 1 period(s) ago.
Summary
The current market condition for Australian Dollar / US Dollar is: Bullish
The close is currently above its 200 period moving average.
The close is currently above its 90 period moving average.
The close is currently below its 30 period moving average.
Australian Dollar / US Dollar(AUDUSD) Analysis of activity through 31/07/14
Last price at: 0.9323
The current trend is down and all orders on the short side may be considered. If already holding short positions, we would look to take partial profits at any retracement to 0.9470. Traders with remaining short positions after profit taking should consider placing exit stops in the region of 0.9470. Be prepared for a potential short term price pull back to the 0.9371 area.
Suggested standing placement of fail-safe stops…
If Long – exit all contracts at … 0.9303
If Short – exit all contracts at … 0.9470