EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook: February 26, 2013

[B]DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON EUR/USD

Last Update At [/B]
26 Feb 2013 00:21GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Falling

21 HR EMA
1.3151

55 HR EMA
1.3192

Trend Hourly Chart
Down

Hourly Indicators
Falling

13 HR RSI
36

14 HR DMI
-ve

Daily Analysis
Consoldiation b4 decline resumes

Resistance
1.3232 - Y’day’s NZ high
1.3182 - Y’day’s Asian low
1.3145 - Last Fri’s low

Support
1.3047 - Y’day’s low
1.2998 - Jan 04 low
1.2933 - 1.236 ext. of 1.3711-1.3306 fm 1.3434

EUR/USD - 1.3064… The single currency went through a ‘roller-coaster’ session y’day. Despite initial cross-induced rebound to 1.3232 in NZ, price dipped to 1.3182 in Asia b4 rallying on broad-based short covering to 1.3319. News of undecided Italian election results sent price ‘tanking’ to 1.3047 in NY.

As indicated in y’day’s outlook, our bearish view is for euro to at least retracing the MT rise fm 2012 trough at 1.2042 (Jan), since price has fallen to the ‘minimum’ 38.2% r (1.2042-1.3711) objective y’day n with the daily technical indicators still pointing hard down, further decline to 1.2998 (‘natural’ 50% r) is on the cards. Looking ahead, euro is en route twd 1.2661 chart obj. in Mar, so selling the single currency is the way to go for position takers.

Today, as euro has stabilised in Australian trading after said y’day’s sharp drop, initial consolidation is in store in Asia, however, reckon 1.3100/10 wud cap recovery n yield another fall twd 1.2998 but 1.2933 shud remain intact. On the upside, only a daily close abv 1.2145 confirms temporary low is in place n risk wud shift to upside for a stronger correction to 1.3195/00.