The past couple of days I have done a post like this, but I allowed myself to do TA on H1 and H4 charts. Having reflected on feedback that it may be hard to trust TA on shorter than D1 charts, this morning I focussed my efforts on only the D1 chart. I must admit I ‘saw’ less, and I didn’t see a lot of strong evidence for what is unfolding - I hope you can spot what I missed and share it with me.
EUR/USD 9th July 2023 06:45 BST – Focussing on D1 only
Bear or Bull
D1 check :Bullish
H4 check :Continuation pattern
H1 check :Bullish
Moving Average(AMA 55)
D1 check : Trading below
H4 check : Trading above
H1 check : Trading above
Relative Strength Index(RSI 55)
D1 check : 50.07
H4 check: 51.49
H1 check:58.04
H1(RSI 14) check : 71.28
Support & Resistance(D1)
Support and Resistance shows that yesterday broke the resistance line, signalling a bullish trend incoming.
Candlestick patterns
EUR/USD(D1)
Doji candles over past 5 days followed by major breakout
Pattern spotted on EUR/USD(D1) - Is this Bearish Engulfing?
Pattern looks to be one day bullish, next day bearish, repeats itself 8 times on each day of large climbing. Why? Is this pattern to be respected? Suggests bullish downturn. Is this what we called Bearish Englufing?
EUR/USD(H1)
Inverse hammer on previous hour, another developing now, suggesting bullish continuation, you can see the pullback developing here.
Conclusion:
Looks like continuation of bullish trend, due to breakthrough of resistance bar, but, given the pattern spotted over the past 8 large green candlesticks, I thnk this will reverse and become a bearish day.
Restricting myself to only doing TA on D1 charts has sped up the time taken, but it also ‘shows’ me less in total - Can anyone see anything I have missed on EUR/USD D1? I don’t see any wedge pattern here and I don’t waste time on TA on H4 and H1 timeframes. My biggest thought today is – will this pattern continue today – and turn the day into a bearish downturn after yesterdays unexpected strong climb.
Decided to go for bear
Take profit:1.07336
Stop loss:1.08032
Sell price:1.07755
Thoughts! What would you do here! (I will also see what happens in the next hour when the market opens.