I agree on the direction. Price has risen but failed to close above the swing high of 22/10. EUR is weaker than AUD (and always has been and always will be?). I have a sell order pending this pair.
However, I suspect the move won’t be great. AUD is weakening. This is confirmed by NZD, often a pointer of AUD’s future direction. I think my sell will trigger but it won’t go far before I give up.