• Euro looking to put in bearish outside day
• Dollar/Yen caught in directionless trade
• Cable to fresh 2009 highs but could be losing momentum
• Dollar/Swiss showing signs of short term bullish reversal
EUR/USD
EUR/USD – While the daily RSI still shows room for additional gains, stochastics are showing a negative cross from overbought and the market is looking to put in a bearish outside day pending a close below 1.4405 on Wednesday. Today’s break below 1.4365 could now act as the catalyst for a short-term reversal back towards 1.4205-30 over the coming sessions by Monday’s low and the 10-Day SMA. STRATEGY: STAND ASIDE; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL
USD/JPY
USD/JPY – Nothing compelling us to enter any trades at current levels. However, the broader structure still remains quite bearish with the market potentially looking to put in a lower top below 97.00 ahead of the next drop below 91.75. Inside day price action on Wednesday leaves us sidelined for now but we maintain a sell on rallies outlook while the price remains below 97.00. STRATEGY: STAND ASIDE; LOOK TO SELL
GBP/USD
GBP/USD – Although the market continues to ascend to fresh 2009 highs, reaching 1.7040 on Wednesday, the impressive rally now appears to be losing some momentum with the intensity of gains not as convincing. Additionally, the daily RSI has just now crossed into overbought territory which is a red flag warning sign for a short-term reversal on the horizon. A close on Wednesday at or near 1.6940 will help to strengthen short-term reversal prospects, while back under 1.6890 confirms. Our strategy will be to continue to look for opportunities to sell, but we will not look to force anything with the overriding trend still deeply bullish. STRATEGY: STAND ASIDE; LOOK TO SELL
USD/CHF
USD/CHF – The market is failing to show any decent downside follow through this week after breaking to fresh 2009 lows below 1.0590. Instead, the familiar range base is more or less intact for now with a doji close on Tuesday being followed by an upside reversal day on Wednesday. This could set up a rebound over the coming sessions back towards the 1.0700-1.0800 area. Nevertheless, we will remain sidelined until a clearer opportunity presents. STRATEGY: SIDELINED FOR NOW; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL
Written by Joel Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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