Euro Technical Outlook

The big picture analysis has been spot on but our short term timing has been anything but spot on. The EURUSD coming under 1.5283 satisfies minimum expectations for wave C of IV but expect additional losses over the next few weeks to 1.4668 (roughly). This is the 38.2% of wave III (1.2482-1.6018), and intersects with trendline support next month. This is the ultimate objective and we’ll look to position for the rest of the decline over the next few weeks. 1.5175 and 1.5250 are resistance levels going forward. The pair has sliced through the 200 day SMA, which is currently at 1.5225 (also potential resistance).