EURUSD Anchored To Parity As Positioning Flips

[B]EUR[/B][B]/USD Ratio: -1.04
[/B][B]Signal: Bullish[/B]

                                   [B]Currency[/B]             [B]Last Week[/B]             [B]Present*[/B]             [B]% Long[/B]             [B]% Change in Positions   Outstanding[/B]             [B]Signal[/B]                               EURUSD             1.10             [B]-1.04[/B]             49%             1.49%             Bullish                


[B]EURUSD – [/B]The uncertainty surrounding the EURUSD’s prevailing trend is clearly reflected in speculative positioning. After the past three week’s Speculative Sentiment Index readings reported a modest skew towards the long side, the gauge fell victim to its proximity to parity - and the doubt in direction - and flipped to -1.04. However, this is certainly not a very significant flip considering there has been no substantial bias for either side of the market since EURUSD topped out at 1.60. What’s more, the pair’s ratio has seen a number of intraday dips below parity over the past few weeks. Nonetheless, this modest negative reading follows a 1.10 figure last Thursday and 1.31 from two weeks ago. The details of the report further suggest that retailers are waiting for direction before taking a trade as positioning has changed little. Long positions slipped only 2.2% since yesterday and were 3.1% lower through the week. On the other side of the market, shorts were 2.7% higher from Wednesday and 6.3% stronger since last week. Overall, open interest has held relatively stable - rising 1.9% from last week and holding 2.8% above the monthly average. As a contrarian indicator, the SSI reading now points to gains, but with little conviction.