Hello Traders,
Forex Signals & Analysis for 10th January 2012:
Short Term Signals:
Usd/Chf Buy at 0.9440/45 then 0.9420/25 then 0.9350/55, sell at 0.9585/90 then 0.9630/35 then 0.9665/70
Usd/Jpy Buy at 76.65/70 then 76.60/65 then 76.45/50, sell at 77.00/05 then 77.10/15 then 77.20
Euro/Usd Buy at 1.2665/70 then 1.2615/20 then 1.2570/75, sell at 1.2825/30 then 1.2855/60 then 1.2925/30
Gbp/Usd Buy at 1.5395/00 then 1.5365/70 then 1.5335/40, sell at 1.5495/00 then 1.5515/20 then 1.5560/65
Medium Term Daily Analysis:
Usd/Chf This pair is still on uptrend, retracement at 0.9490/95, break is to our short term buy signals while on the upside toward our short term sell signals and high is at 0.9445/50
Usd/Jpy This pair is still on downtrend, retracement at 76.90/95, break is to our short term sell signals while on the downside toward our short term buy signals and low is at 76.40/45
Euro/Usd This pair is still on downtrend, retracement at 1.2785/95, break is to our short term sell signals while on the downside toward low at 1.2730/40, below would extend trend power toward our short term buy signals
Gbp/Usd This pair is still on downtrend, retracement at 1.5470/80, break is to our short term sll signals while on the downside toward our short term buy signals and low is at 1.5365/75
Usd/Cad This pair is still on uptrend, retracement at 1.0220/30, break is to 1.0185/90 then 1.0160/65 and possibly 1.0100/05 while on the upsdie toward 1.0310/15 then 1.0350/55 then possibly 1.0385/90
Nzd/Usd This pair is moving sideways with uptrend basis today, above 0.7840/45 to target resistance at 0.7885/90, break is toward 0.7925/30 then 0.7950/55, while on the downside toward 0.7775/80 then 0.7730/35 then possibly 0.7690/95
Euro/Chf This pair is still on downtrend, retracement at 1.2140/45, break is to 1.2160/65 then 1.2180/85 then 1.2205/10, while on the downside toward low at 1.2085/90(Buy), below would power the trend toward 1.2070/75 then possibly 1.2040/45
Gbp/Chf This pair still on uptrend basis but retreated somehow from many past days resistance at around same price level, might retreat to 1.4625/35 for a comeback upward later on, break is to 1.4590/95 then possibly 1.4520/25, while basing again above 1.4690 is toward 1.4775/80 then 1.4820/25 and possibly 1.4860/65
Euro/Gbp This pair is still on downtrend, retracement is at 0.8260/65, break is to 0.8290/95 then 0.8305/10 then 0.8335/40,while on the downside toward low at 0.8230/35, below would power the trend to target 0.8210/15 then 0.8195/00 and possibly 0.8165/70
Aud/Usd This pair is still trying to base on downtrend, below retracement at 1.0240/45, break is to 1.0295/00 then 1.0320/25 and possibly 1.0390/95, while on the downside toward 1.0145/50 then 1.0100/05 and possibly 1.0055/60
Euro/Jpy This pair is still on downtrend, retracement at 98.30/40, break is to 98.55/60 then 98.80/85 and possibly 99.40/45, while on the downside toward low at 97.60/65, below would power the trend toward 97.25/30 then 96.85/90 then 96.45/50
Gbp/Jpy This pair is still on downtrend, retracement at 118.95/00, break is to 119.05/10 then 119.20/25 then 119.60/65, while on the downside toward 118.20/25 then low at 117.95/05, below would power the trend to target 117.70/75
Oil still on uptrend but turned somehow neutral today, squeezed bt. resistance at 101.40/45, a base above is keeping uptrend to target 102.55/60 then 103.20/25 and possibly 104.30/35, while below 101.10/15 is to target 99.80/85 then 99.05/10 then possibly 98.10/15
Gold still on uptrend, retracement at 1610/11, break is to 1599/00 then 1594/95 then 1583/84, while on the upside toward 1624/25 then 1631/32 then 1640/41
***The Resign of SNB Chairman Philipp Hildebrand had a shock effect on the markets and especially for Chf pairs that did not really been effected but with around 20 pips dpwnside movement then spiked back up with mixed view for now.
I believe nothing would really change with this resign after the Chairman wife was offended by some leaks out of her bank account sata that she made trades before SNB past Intervention by somedays which was not a real big amount and at all cases I do not see it as illegal nor the Swiss law. But It’s really a Brave move by the SNB Chairman by quitting when his family life and profile is under threat and conflicts from his oppositions that were after him to resign.
But unfortunately for them, Next SNB Chairman might be no different view as Hildebrand who’s his Vice Chairman Thomas Jordan who was the basic of finding legal action behind the 1.20 Euro/Chf Peg and would certainly defend this level with Utmost Determination if he becomes the New SNB Chairman. In all cases, I see this level would be defended by any New Chairman because the Peg had been a decision by SNB(all members) not one single person or Chairman alone, besides the Swiss economy is still showing bad growth by bad news releases & the Swiss Franc is still too overvalued.
Bears might test SNB Utmost Determination in such situation of chariman resign but I doubt they have the courage to really head to near the 1.20 peg price level but maybe playing the cat & rat game far away of this level until SNB Intervention surprise them at a sudden moment(as past Intervention) and leave them asking how!! To find themselves again playing the scalping game above a new peg price level that might be 1.25 or 1.30 or maybe 1.40
Never Trade against the Central Banks especially when things are becoming more serious as currently. It’s never worth the try as past lessons for bears thought them that all weeks or months of gains by selling those pairs would disappear in few minutes if not blow their accounts despite there are still some Genius bears not yet understanding what’s the time to stop selling and turn the game to the opposite that might be the best option by Buying Chf Major pairs starting with Euro/Chf.
Have A Great Trading Day