Let’s imagine 2 different scenarios (In perfectly solid, news triggered market, not a real one);
News came and figure is higher than the forecast value but lower than the previous value. So, what would happen?
News came and figure is lower than the forecast value but higher than the previous value. So, what would happen?
Basically, what is more important ; Forecast or Previous? Which would trigger the price mostly? Should I just take Forecast value into consideration? If actual value is higher than the Forecast should I expect bullish trend?