So this month, I received -2.25%. Far from the previous month’s performance (4.3% on May, 6.27% on June)
Looking back at my trades, I have made mistakes in a lot of trades! And that’s the good that this journal gives me, it allows me to look back at my trades, and see what mistakes I need to stay away in the future.
Here is the screenshot of the summary of trades from my google document (which can be accessed here):
Here is my first trade for the month of Aug:
trade 1, a sell on USDJPY.
There seems to be a general downtrend on this pair, as specified by the blue line. Take profit is the green line (the darker one), stop loss is red line, and entry is white line. Here is the daily time frame chart:
There has been a consistent downtrend for a while, and there was a sudden drop in prices, and that prompted me to go for the sell. I did a mistake in the number of units (lots) I entered, and I only managed to put in a risk of 0.5%. Well at first I was not confident with this trade, so I didn’t change the risk.
The reason why there were two green lines, is mainly because I moved the take profit. the original take profit was the lighter green line in the first figure. However, after a few days this trade hit its take profit.
I solely based my decision to buy on the upward trend since July 31. That’s it! there was no sign of upward trend (or any sign of support) from the candles. Although the stochastics says oversold, I’m not even supposed to take that as a signal to trade!
There is a general downtrend on the 4H timeframe as specified by the blue line. But looking at the 1H time frame there is a consistent uptrend. I was hoping I could catch some of that uptrend. So I did a buy trade.
But after a while, I noticed a slowdown of the uptrend as if forming a resistance. After seeing that, I hurriedly closed the trade at 29 pips (take profit is 69 pips). I manually closed the trade at the orange triangle on the right in the following 1H timeframe chart:
There seems to be a general downtrend as specified by the blue line. There has been a bit of consolidation below 1.1500 as shown in the 4H time frame chart.
Looking at the 4H time frame chart, candles are showing a possible downtrend, so I entered the trade.
Stop loss is red line, and take profit is green line (see the daily time frame chart) for the clear take profit line.
This trade reached 0.9180, with a possible gain of 1%, but I decided to let it go its course, hoping it will eventually reach take profit. But after the weekends, prices went against me, going past almost past my entry.
Both these trades met their stop losses, (see their screenshots in the next post).
Lesson learned: do not trade on correlated pairs, even if they look like “winning” trades.
But, this trade went on for a few days, it almost hit my take profit, then went against my direction. When it was almost about to hit my stop loss, I manually closed it.
I checked it again now, and I feel bad that I had to manually close it! aarrrrgghhh.
There is a general downtrend on the daily as specified by the blue line. But in the 4H time frame, it seems the up trend is strong as well. So I first tried doing a sell on this pair.
and I entered at a point that I thought was a start of a rising pattern. But I was wrong.
I was thinking the pin candle at around Aug 15, was a sign that prices will continue to move upwards. So didn’t pay attention to the head and shoulder formation.
This past trades, I have constantly met trades which met their stop losses. So I was a bit afraid of loosing another trade, so I manually closed this trade, giving me a fund of 0.89%.
Looking back at this trade again today, and prices went beyond my take profit, so if I waited for it to reach the take profit, I could have gained 1%+. But anyway, I have already closed it, and it was still a good decision. I did not loose anything.
But after a while, I realized it was simply wrong to do a trade based on a sudden rise in prices, so I manually closed the trade, that gave me 0% of funds.
The following day, I saw a bit of retracement on the same pair, so I decided to pursue my original decision to buy in the same pair, thus this trade became my trade 18, a buy on NZDCAD still.
So eventually, this trade met a stop loss. This trade gave me -1% of funds.
I did not pay attention to the channel that formed as seen on the daily chart that formed somewhere in May. If I had plotted that, then I could have anticipated that prices are bound to move downwards.
There has been a consistent uptrend as specified by the blue line. Well there were a couple of candles suggesting prices wanted to already go down. But I still went for a buy.