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Euro Steady as Fed Highlights Data Dependence
EUR/USD held near 1.1640 in Thursday’s Asian session as the U.S. Dollar softened after dovish remarks from New York Fed President John Williams. Speaking on CNBC, Williams noted that risks are now “more in balance” and stressed the Fed needs upcoming data before deciding on September policy. His comments reinforced caution, though markets remain convinced of easing. The U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.12% to just above 98. The CME FedWatch tool shows an 87% probability of a 25 bps cut in September.
| R1: 1.1737 | S1: 1.1575 |
|---|---|
| R2: 1.1780 | S2: 1.1525 |
| R3: 1.1830 | S3: 1.1390 |
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The euro trades near $1.1660, close to July’s $1.1830 peak. The ECB signaled a pause after multiple cuts, citing Eurozone labor market strength, while German business morale hit a 15-month high. In contrast, Powell hinted at a US rate cut in September.
Under the EU-US deal, most European goods face 15% tariffs, though autos, pharma, and chips may be spared.
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