Gold Hunter #20240717

Among all assets, US stocks and gold :1st_place_medal: are most benefited by the expectation of interest rate cuts. The emotional momentum is strong.

:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: follow the trend with indicators
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2500
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2470; 2465 (stop loss)
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: emotional market, it is difficult to determine the target position. Pay attention to the signal of the CCI trend indicator, follow the trend if it breaks through +100, and close the position if it returns to the 0 line.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 15-minute chart :1st_place_medal:

Gold :1st_place_medal: retreated deeply last week, and the intraday covering momentum may be stronger than non-US currencies.

:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: Go short at highs, tend to arrange high-level short trading in the resistance area near 2420.
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2419.59 (intraday watershed), 2440.01
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2396.00 (break through and chase short); 2466.73
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: Gold trend has retreated at this stage after the intraday gap-up opening, but it is still possible to test the dense trading resistance area near 2420 above.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1-hour chart :1st_place_medal:

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The downward trend of gold :1st_place_medal: is still continuing, but it may remain volatile in the short term and wait for the PCE data on Friday to give new trend momentum.

:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: Buy on dips during the day, and cooperate with the trading ideas of high-altitude and low-multiple in the oscillation range
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2419.59, 2440.01
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2391.55, 2369.66
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: Yesterday, the school uniform pierced the important top and bottom conversion area near 2390, but then it rose sharply in this area and returned to above 2400. The staged downward momentum has slowed down. It should fluctuate and consolidate before the data to accumulate power for the next round of breakthrough.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1-hour chart :1st_place_medal:

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:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: Short-term rebound trading in the support area according to the profit and loss ratio, and short-selling after breaking the position.
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2365, 2383
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2350, 2340
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: After the sharp drop in gold prices yesterday, it continued to fall today. The area around 2365 can be used as the long-short watershed during the day. Below the long-short watershed, it tends to be short. If the area is broken, it can turn long during the day.
:white_check_mark:News aspect: The core inflation of US PCE in the evening may affect the trend of the US dollar and gold prices.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1-hour chart :1st_place_medal:


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The tense geopolitical situation in Israel :israel: has caused the gold price :1st_place_medal: to open slightly higher today.

:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: follow the trend and buy more at the resistance level and then observe the breakout.
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2412, 2430
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2388, 2365, 2355
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: The short-term rebound trend is obvious, and the possibility of hitting 2412 above during the day is high. Combined with the high opening and high movement this morning, the pattern of breaking the pregnancy line is prone to fluctuations during the Asian and European sessions.
:white_check_mark:News aspect: Pay attention to the subsequent changes in the Israeli war situation.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1-hour chart :1st_place_medal:

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:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: Continue to trade in a short position. If the upper resistance line is broken, you can consider going long.
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2395, 2415
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2370, 2352
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: Under the pressure of the trend line, the price continues to move downward, and the trend is weak. There is a high probability that the price will test the lowest level last week during the day.
:white_check_mark:News aspect: Europe’s GDP data may indirectly affect the trend of gold prices, so we should keep an eye on it.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1-hour chart​:1st_place_medal:

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:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: short intraday, chase long after breakthrough.
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2412, 2432
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2401, 2390
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: Affected by the sudden market situation, the gold price has soared rapidly. At this stage, it is fluctuating sideways at a high level in the important resistance area. Trading should pay attention to whether this area can be broken through.
:white_check_mark:News aspect: Lebanon suffered a retaliatory attack. Whether the war situation deteriorates will affect whether the gold price can stand above 2400 again in this round.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1-hour chart​:1st_place_medal:


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Yesterday, the two consecutive news of Haniyeh’s death and Powell’s speech caused the gold price to rise by $70. The emotional momentum is indeed very strong, but from a realistic point of view, Haniyeh’s death cannot change the war situation, and the war will not become more intense or calmer. The same is true for Powell’s speech. Although he mentioned that interest rates may be cut in September, the market’s expectation is a direct 50 basis point cut in September, or three consecutive cuts in the future. The current expectations incorporated into the market price are still excessive. The point that makes the market sober may be tomorrow’s non-agricultural. The only thing that supports the gold price is Harris’s elimination of Trump’s advantage, and the decline in long-term bond interest rates brought about by Trump’s cooling of transactions.

:white_check_mark:Intraday trading strategy: After the hourly K-line entity falls below 2440, follow short selling.
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2450 (stop loss)
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2420; 2410; 2400
:white_check_mark:Technical aspect: Once it falls below 2440, the head appears, and the short pressure comes. However, the gold price is prone to false breakthroughs, so entry into the market must wait for the hourly K-line to close.

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 15-minute chart :1st_place_medal:

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The price of gold fluctuates sideways at a high level and is poised for a breakthrough. You should consider stepping back to place a long position or pursue the long trend.

:white_check_mark: News: The market’s expectations for a recession in the United States have gradually increased, and Israel’s multiple attacks have increased the possibility of opening large-scale battlefields locally.
:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: Chase long on breakthrough, go long on resistance.
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2460, 2478
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2432, 2412

:arrow_right: XAUUSD 1 hour chart​:1st_place_medal:


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After the gold price :1st_place_medal: plummeted from highs, it stepped back on the trend line and rebounded. Looking at the trend, the upward trend of gold price :1st_place_medal: has not changed for the time being.
The market’s expectations for a recession in the United States :us: have gradually increased, and multiple attacks by Israel :israel: have increased the possibility of opening large-scale battlefields locally.

:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: go long on dips, go short when prices break
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2430, 2448
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2415, 2403

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1 hour chart​:1st_place_medal:


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The gold price :1st_place_medal: has fluctuated violently recently, and the trend is not clear. The bottom rebound momentum was strong yesterday, and there is a high probability of testing the resistance near 2430 during the day. The market’s expectations for the US :us: recession are gradually increasing, and Israel’s :israel: multiple attacks have increased the possibility of opening a large-scale battlefield locally.

:white_check_mark:Trading strategy: breakout and chase long, short at highs
:white_check_mark:Resistance reference: 2412, 2431
:white_check_mark:Support reference: 2391

:arrow_right:XAUUSD 1-hour chart :1st_place_medal:


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