Hang Seng Index Technical Analysis - Hang Seng Index Trading: 2022-07-18

Hang Seng Index Technical Analysis Summary

Sell Stop։ Below 20000

Stop Loss: Above 22200

Indicator Signal
RSI Neutral
MACD Sell
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Sell
Parabolic SAR Sell
Bollinger Bands Sell

Hang Seng Index Chart Analysis

Hang Seng Index Technical Analysis

On the daily timeframe, HK50: D1 went down from the triangle. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for further decline. We do not rule out a bearish movement if HK50: D1 falls below the last low and lower Bollinger band: 20000. This level can be used as an entry point. The initial risk limit may be higher than the last 2 upper fractals and the Parabolic signal: 22200. After opening a pending order, we move the stop following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal maximum. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. The most cautious traders after making a trade can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of movement. If the price overcomes the stop level (22200) without activating the order (20000), it is recommended to delete the order: there are internal changes in the market that were not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis of Indices - Hang Seng Index

China’s GDP turned out to be worse than expected. Will the correction of HK50 quotes continue?

Chinese GDP in the 2nd quarter of this year decreased by -2.6% q/q. Investors expected it to grow by 1.6%. Recall that since the 90s of the last century, a quarterly drop in China’s GDP was observed only in the 1st quarter of 2020 (-6.8% q/q) at the height of the coronavirus lockdown. In annual terms, GDP increased by +0.4% y/y. This is also worse than the forecast +5.3% y/y. China Gross Domestic Product Year to Date (according to the results of the 1st half of 2022) amounted to +2.5%. In the same period in 2021, it was +12.7%. Theoretically, this allows us to predict that by the end of 2022, the Chinese economy will still continue to grow. The last time its annual decline was observed in 1976 (-1.6%). However, economic risks could have a negative impact on Chinese stocks.